Posted on 10/28/2008 9:52:47 AM PDT by bmweezer
In seven days, Americans will elect Barack Obama our nation's 44th president. For the past several weeks, I kept waiting for McCain/Palin to catch-up, and kept waiting for something about Obama to rise to the level of big news to change the election's trajectory, which has been very steady in pointing to a Obama/Biden victory for at least the last six weeks. However, nothing happened and in my opinion, the die is cast and onto 2012.
I expect that next Wednesday morning, we will wake up to a Obama landslide that we haven't seen by a U.S. presidential candidate since Ronald Reagan, winning at least 350, maybe up to 375 electoral votes. At the same time, the Dems will likely gain 20-30 seats in the U.S. House and get very close to winning 60 seats in the U.S. Senate.
Presidency
Obama will win all of the 2004 blue states, and take the following Bush states from 2004: Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Colorado and New Mexico. In two surprises, he will take Indiana and Montana. He will just miss out on taking North Carolina and Georgia. This would give the Dem 356-186 electoral votes. Add NC and GA, and it would be 382-156. Missouri and Arkansas could also tilt if the wave is gigantic.
Senate
Currently the GOP holds 49 seats, as the Dems (helped by 2 Dem-leaning Independents) control the chamber with 51 seats.
GOP will lose its seats in New Hampshire, Oregon, Alaska, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, and New Mexico but will retain the seat in Minnesota.
The new count will be 58 Dems, 42 Republicans
House
Expect an expanded Democratic majority in the 240-260 seat range.
Outcome
The year 2009 will be a year of reflection in the Republican Party, full of heated arguments by its leaders as to what direction the party needs to take headed into the future. However, as dark and gloomy as things might look now to GOPers, consider this: the last time that the Dems had a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate (count was 61-39), had the House and controlled the White House was in 1977/78 when Jimmy Carter was president. In 1978, the count in the Senate was 58-42, and in 1980, Ronald Reagan was elected president and brought with him a 53-46-1 GOP Senate majority, and thanks to conservative Democrats, a working majority in the House. Meaning, time and events continue to change, one way or another. The same will be true sometime in the future.
As they say, it's always darkest before the dawn.
President Palin?
Obama troll alert.
Or the DimoRATS might be thinking about what the aich they can do with their treasonous party to ever get credibility again.............
I am getting so tired of these nay-sayers! This guy and the panelists on FOX News are writing this election off before the people have voted. I wish they would all shut up and save their commentaries for Wednesday, Nov. 5th!
Come on take this crap down. Stupid idiot hand wringers.
What????
GARBAGE!!!
I’m still going with my unprecedented and obviously zany prediction of a 269-296 EC tie. That would be chaotic in ways that cannot be described.
They are trying to make voters stay home. This game is getting old!
Nonsense, the polls are way over-counting likely Dem voters.
In 2004, the polls were predicting a Kerry win at this time in the cycle.
as I have typed over and over, Republicans have only themselves to blame. They squandered all they gained in 1994 by selling their soul to the devil and giving into the excesses of DC and wanting to fit in with the liberal and media elite.
It will be an act of God if McCain, the RINO, wins. Not that that will be much help since McCain will struggle to lift his arms above his head just to please democrats. Either way we are screwed as one will get us to hell faster than the other.
With party representatives like these, it’s no wonder the GOP needs new leadership. I say, win or lose, 2009 needs to be a year of clearing out the rubbish at all levels of GOP leadership, from the national party down to the county level. Any RINOs, any compromisers, any defeatists, need to hit the ashheap.
And, FWIW, I think McCain-Palin has a better than even chance of winning next Tuesday.
Who the heck is GO Pee Nation?
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
“Ted Tally is a writer living in Las Vegas, NV and not the Academy Award winning playwright and screenwriter.”
This is posted with his article.....just another liberal hollywierd type.....
“...Nevada, Iowa, Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Colorado and New Mexico. In two surprises, he will take Indiana and Montana.”
______
I don’t think so.
I wish I could see the future too, then I could pick winning lottery numbers and be a millionaire.
This guy is a total fool. I am sick of this defeatist garbage meant to depress us.
Losers act like losers.
Gee, weezer, aren’t you praying and working?
(or is this a bit of dirty work?)
I am so sick of Trolls and whiners about being
behind in fake polls or RINOS switching sides.
Vote for McCain/Palin and quit playing to the
beat of the MSM and democrat party.
Obama Landslide. Bwahahaha! Even the crooked polls do not indicate that!
“I am getting so tired of these nay-sayers! This guy and the panelists on FOX News are writing this election off before the people have voted. I wish they would all shut up and save their commentaries for Wednesday, Nov. 5th!”
The Beltwaylicans are just positioning themselves for the cocktail and dinner party circuit.
Reagan : 1976 as Palin : 2008
He’s about as delusional as some of the people around here predicting McCain landslides. Which ever candidate wins, they’ll win with fewer than 300 electoral votes. Maybe fewer than 280.
Huh??? I guess you got your nine and your six mixed up.
This is exactly what is wrong with the Republican Party. In stead of fighting, they believe leftist propaganda and quit fighting at the last minute. They are best at whining in the minority. They have no ability to lead or fight or use power. The last time they controlled Congress and the White House they spent so much time capitulation to the left that they lost power. We need a true conservative party.
If you are not interested in winning THIS race, I’m not interested in donating any more money to feed you fools.
The polls, the press (including much of Fox News) and even Exit Polls had Kerry winning late into election day 2004. This time around the MSM is about to collapse and (I believe) they are banking on a quick Fairness Doctrine to save them and THEY WILL DO ANYTHING to make you decide it is over and not vote.
Thanks again for nuthin’ George “W.” (for “Worst”) Bush!
On Election night the MSM will announce it’s over early on in order to keep us away from the polls. Don’t pay attention to them. They have their agenda and we have ours .... elect McCain/Palin!
You skipped the 2010 elections, and btw blow it out your rear. I don’t need to hear this crap with the election 7 days away. We all have a crystal ball and its name is BS.
As a Floridian, I can say with much certainty that McCain/Palin will win here. Of all the democrats I know, only one is voting Obama, all the rest are voting McCain. If they are representative of my area (the I4 corridor), McCain will take the state.
This guy is a loser and is badly, very badly, misreading the mood and temperate amoung middle America. A huge number of the undecided are going to actually cast votes for McCain/Palin. They will win PA.
A true Indian Summer
Snow is New York to North Carolina
Frost to Florida
I wis Al Gore was right its too cold.
So, tell us why did you post this?
Ted Tally is a writer living in Las Vegas, NV and NOT the Academy Award winning playwright and screenwriter.
You know what I call someone who posts crap like this on mFreeRepublic a week before the election? I can’t tell you, it would get me banned.
Forgive them Lord, for they know not what they are doing.
Dream on collectivist.
W-R-O-N-G
Are you on crack?!?!?!?! We won’t have a country in 2012 if we let this Marxist get in office!!!
This guy fell for the brilliant Obama/media strategy of declaring the race over early.
It worked against Hillary.
Not sure about this time.
As much as we all want to scream, “B.S.!”
Deep down inside, we suspect as mush is true.
God have mercy.
while I don’t agree....if does serve us right. We have the Ann Coulter’s (I’d die before voting for McCain)...and the Michele Malkins (Jose McCain) and numerous others that have been bad mouthing McCain well after he got the nomination. And Then! (only a few months ago) They suddenly wake up to the fact that he’s running against a Marixst and try to get out the vote. A lot of us on the right have failed our own cause and our own country.
The Dems have ONE message...and a mechanism in place to sell it.
We need to (somehow) get our act together and take back Congress.
Laverne, your story is being told over and over and over again. THIS IS 1994 FOLKS. We will shock and awe on election day just as in 94, it’s just that we are starting so much further behind the starting line so that the absolute numbers will be as then.
***....zany prediction of a 269-296 EC tie.***
fuzzy math?
He's bought into the MSM 'give up' mantra, drunk the kool-aid, and wants to surrender.
We get them every election, best to ignore them as they offer ZIP.
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