Posted on 10/13/2008 3:36:27 PM PDT by Publius804
FOX News/Rasmussen Reports Poll: Obama Leads in Ohio, 49% to 47%
Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama has gained a lead over his opponent in the swing state of Ohio, according to a recent poll.
Barack Obama has pulled ahead of John McCain in Ohio, the weekly FOX News/Rasmussen Reports Battleground Poll shows.
This week's poll shows a very stable race whose underlying dynamic strongly favors the Democratic presidential candidate. Obama holds a narrow advantage ranging from two to five percentage points in Ohio, Florida, Virginia and Missouri, and he is tied with McCain in North Carolina. Keep in mind that George W. Bush won all five of these states in 2004.
The only notable change this week was in Ohio, where Obama is now on top, 49 percent to 47 percent, overcoming a one-point deficit in each of the previous two weeks and an even larger lead for McCain in the Buckeye State in the weeks prior to that. The race for Ohio's 20 Electoral College votes is now well within the margin of sampling error, but trending toward the Democrat.
In Virginia, a state that no Democrat has won since 1964, Obama earns 50 percent support for the third straight week while McCain is at 47 percent. Those results are essentially unchanged from each of the past two weeks.
(Excerpt) Read more at elections.foxnews.com ...
The steel workers are for Hussein.
“I’m Baracko Buma and I approved these poll numbers.”
McCain’s campaign has sent an incoherent message about 0bama.
It has failed to define him.
What good is talking about William Ayers or ACORN if the campaign doesn’t use these associations to draw a conclusion about 0bama?
McCain needs to use not one, but rather the aggregate of 0bama’s influences in life to bring him into focus. Frank Marshall Davis, Jeremiah Wright, William Ayers, Saul Alinsky, ACORN, The Democratic Socialists of America, The New Party. What do they all have in common?
The answer: a dangerous, radical, far left ideology.
McCain must make this about ideology, and take 0bama’s associations as instructive. He should highlight that Saul Alinsky taught radicals to cut their hair, put on a suit, and take down the government from the inside, and 0bama was so versed in Alinsky’s tactics that he taught them to ACORN activists.
McCain’s ACORN ad reveals that 0bama taught for ACORN, but it never reveals the substance of what he taught.
The substance is what we need to understand 0bama. The substance is what makes it tangible.
McCain needs to call 0bama a wolf in sheep’s clothing. A clean-cut radical with very little papertrail infiltrating the system in order to destroy it.
Exposing 0bama’s radical agenda and properly identifying it as Socialism would be enough to ensure his defeat. It is what McCain must do.
In was held today, McCAIN WINS!!!
This will swing handily in McCain’s favor the next three weeks.
There’s a Fox News poll? I thought Fox News simply regurgitated the BS that is the Gallup tracking poll. [/sarc]
That’s not enough for Obama to win on election day. The “election correction” for Ohio polls (see 2000 & 2004 for this day in history) is 8-10 points in favor of the GOP. Obama loses with these numbers.
Dems oversampled by 10%
Is anyone else tired of hearing how far behind we aren’t?
The STEAL workers are for Hussein
The problem is is that it appears that McCain is still obsessed with “bipartisan unity,” and it has blinded him. He needs to stop being so “nice” and stand up and fight for what is right! For the sake of our country, he needs to do it!
When McCain ties Obama to teaching ACORN without telling what he taught, I can see where that could be construed as racist. And that’s exactly what the media want.
How is points within the margin of error “pulling ahead”?
“very stable race”???
Shows a very stable poll, maybe. But stable and wrong is still wrong.
Don’t trust any polls, they only make you feel ugly...
I get that any race could be close, but I can’t see it here....Obama is such a lightweight and everyone is just giving him a pass.
No wonder Obama is buying air time. He’s going down.....one way or another. I just can’t see the American people electing this socialist.
Meant to say: 2 points within the margin of error...
Pure bull.
Except of course for adding in 3% for an ACORN vote.
Closer than where they were in 04 when we were all sooooo certian it was a Kerry lock.
Just for fun, does anyone know what Rasmussen thinks the breakdown by party ID is going to be for Ohio? In 2004, it was D35, R40, and I25 (with the Is voting for Kerry 59-40 — perhaps explaining why Bush won the state by only 2 points).
How do you know this, or are you just guessing? Thanks.
And might I add since everyone loves to focus on public polls so much, why in the heck do you think both the McCain and Obama campaigns are still showing up multiple days in PA if Obama has a solid double digit lead like most of the pubic polls have shown.
State polls lags the national. These are actually pretty good news considering.
The national polls (with Gallup as the outlier) are tightening. If the states trend back a smidgen McCain regains his lead. And we know state polls almost always show Dems up.
I expected wider leads for the little messiah this week. The bleeding has stopped, the market is up...
Hang in there.
This is a statistical tie.
barf
I believe this is an accurate poll for Obama...49% I believe McCann will get 51%
Obama throughout the primary polled where he finished....it was Hillary who gained actual votes....
The RCP final polling average for Ohio in 2004 was 2.1%. Bush won Ohio by 2.1%.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys.html
2004 polls don’t tell us much about 2008 polls. The pollsters have changed their weighting to reflect a big democrat advantage. That may not hold for true for the Presidential election and in fact, I don’t think it will. We’ll find out soon enough.
Except amongst blacks and college students, there is little enthusiasm for Obama here.
Ohio will go to McCain. I guarantee it.
Translation: McCain now ahead, comfortably, in OH.
...please Ohio, help save us all.
My post was in response to a poster trying to assert that the 2004 Ohio polls were way off. They were not.
FYI, Mccain is within 5% in ras national poll. and that is inspite of ras moving the dem oversample to +6.3% this week. All we have to do is show up and we win.
“The pollsters have changed their weighting to reflect a big democrat advantage.”
Most pollsters do not weight for party ID. Ras does, but he is one of the few.
Let’s turn Acorns into roasted nuts.
After reading the WND story on Jessica Hughes we have to beat this MARXIST P.O.S.. Conservatives need to hang together, the fate of liberty rests on our shoulders.
That would be incorrect, they all weight to one extent or the other.
According to the way FoxNews is making it sound, McCane should probably just throw in the towel.
I cannot believe that a Commie is going to be elected President of this great nation. Let’s not forget, he will not wear the American flag on his lapel. This is a bad dream.
They all norm to census demographics; that is not the same as weighting for party ID.
Is this ‘with’ or ‘without’ the acorn toppings?
Dems 48%; Repubs 38%; blacks 18%. Some “poll.”
Unfortunately, well outside the margin of fraud.
Fox News last poll in 2004 had Kerry winning...so.
Are you in Ohio? What’s your gut tell you?
That was done by Opinion Dynamics, not Rasmussen.
Told ya...
A poll that has a sample size of 500 with 300 self identifying dems and 200 republicans is useless without weighting.
A blanket “all the polls are crap” statement is probably too much, BUT one glaring example that should provide us some hope is that the current RealClearPolitics average for PA is Obama +13. However, Obama had several stops in Philly just the other day, Biden and the Clintons were in PA today, and McCain and Palin continue to have multiple rallies there (including tomorrow and later this week). Does anyone believe for a second that BOTH campaigns would be spending that much time in PA if those public polls are accurate?
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