Posted on 10/07/2008 10:10:19 PM PDT by BGHater
John McCain failed to stop Barack Obama's momentum during Tuesday's debate. Only a miracle could save the Republican Party this election at this point.
Unless Republicans have a really good October surprise planned, an illegitimate Obama child for instance, this election is over for John McCain.
According to Real Clear Politics, every state that is not a solid McCain or Obama state, with the exceptions of Georgia and Indiana, is leaning Barack Obama by an average of about 4.8 points.
McCain also received deafening blows in percentage points in CNN’s polls after the debate, with Obama beating McCain in most of the questions by about 20 points, even in the category of leadership.
Today new evidence linking Obama to extremist William Ayers was released, but even that was not enough to stop Obama’s momentum. I can only hope the Republicans come up with something better than that, because this race is becoming uncompetitive very quickly.
As John King said on CNN after the debate, “If the numbers stay the same, game over . . . If you think people give a damn about the William Ayers thing, they don’t.”
David Gergen continued to stick to his guns, saying there may be a hidden Bradley effect in Obama’s numbers and citing the Stanford study that found Obama’s race may cost him as much as 6 points at the polls. Even if this were true, if John McCain does not bring his A game to the final debate next week, Obama’s popularity will continue to increase, putting him outside of the 6 point margin of racism.
Barack Obama still evaded questions, including his refusal to explain how much he would fine small businesses for not giving their workers a healthcare option, but overall, I thought his performance tonight was much better than his performance at the last debate. However, John McCain’s performance remained stagnant.
The Ohio voters in CNN’s undecided focus group agreed. While I would argue that data from the 32 Ohioans should not be taken too seriously, as 32 people is not very representative of Ohio’s total population, Barack Obama’s approval rating went up among the voters by 4 percent while John McCain’s remained the same.
So rather than talk about what Barack Obama did right, as his movement does not need anymore help, I’ve decided to devote the rest of this shorter, midterm week blog, to the key mistakes John McCain made tonight and will have rectify before next Wednesday’s debate.
ONE: I was glad to see McCain actually propose a solution to the economy and say that the new U.S. financial advisor would have to be someone Americans already knew and trusted, so thank you Sen. McCain for that. I thought revealing his plan to buy up bad mortgages was mistake that could cost him the election, though.
First of all, it’s unfortunate that people who will lose their homes will be without a place to live, however, it’s important to remember that the decision to buy a house outside of their means was theirs alone. We should have to pay for their mistakes. I know many people think the government should bail out Main St. as well as Wall St., but I disagree. Peer pressure and advertising is not an excuse for making a bad decision. A better version of this plan would be to set up criteria for deciding whether people qualify to have their house bought by the government at the current value. One of the criterions should be, “Could they have afforded the house in the first place had the economy not went south?”
Not only do I feel this policy proposal was a mistake because of my ideology, strategically it was a mistake because McCain can no longer criticize Obama for all his new spending plans. It’s great that McCain is going to initiate a spending freeze, but the deficit is not going to decrease if the governments starts buying up all the bad house mortgages in America. Moving on.
TWO: A town hall participant asks how the “bailout” is going to benefit the average person. Instead of answering the question, McCain insults the man, who just happened to be black, saying, “First of all it’s not a bailout.” He continued to insult him by condescendingly saying that he and most other Americans probably did not know what Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were before last week. Maybe the man did not, and I doubt the average American did either, but that’s not something you say out loud, and especially not to someone who is black! He also mentioned his campaign suspension in his so-called answer. Haven’t his advisors told him that move went over poorly?
THREE: McCain’s reference to his bipartisanship, especially the McCain-Feingold act and his work with Joe Lieberman, was effective the first time he mentioned it. But then, he kept repeating it for every answer and it got old. I understand McCain’s strategy is to repeat things enough times so that they stick in voters’ minds, but repeating lines that many times in one debate is simply annoying. Repeat the statements throughout a period of days or debates instead. I stop listening when you start to repeat yourself, and I bet I’m not the only one.
P.S. The more you say that you have successfully worked across party lines and that you have also taken on your party’s leadership, the more I am confused. So, basically your party doesn’t like you, and thus you are forced to persuade Democrats to adopt your ideas?
FOUR: McCain apparently thinks we can conquer healthcare reform, energy independence and reform of entitlement programs all at one time. Can I just say, what the heck was McCain thinking when he said that? This was another opportunity he missed to remind voters that Barack Obama is naïve and too ambitious. Yet, McCain was the one who came off looking out of touch with reality after this question, and Barack Obama actually made sense. When asked the right way, Obama finally told voters where his priorities lied in numerical order. Plus 10 points on the Obama scale. And in case you missed it, energy independence was at the top of his list.
FIVE:John and Cindy McCain talk to a few town hall participants and quickly leave after the major networks switch to their post debate analysis sessions. Barack and Michelle Obama take the time to shake hands with all 80 of the participants and even have quick conversations with them. The participants were supposedly undecided before the debate. No doubt many of them decided to vote Obama afterwards. Nice job, John.
In other news, Obama also exceeded McCain in the number of times he used the word “fundamental” in the debate, 6 times, compared with McCain’s four times, for anyone else who is keeping track.
There is still time. Let’s not give up yet. Things can change quickly.
They certainly did have the requisite number of black questioners, which was obviously no coincidence.
Fortunately, we hold a real election instead of just handing the crown over to The One that the MSM pundits declare is the winner.
What a great article. I feel like killing myself after reading it. There are four freaking weeks left! A lot can still happen!
No dont give up....we are fighting and voting for America!
WE ARE NOT IN IT FOR MCCAIN. WE LOVE SARAH AND SHE WILL HAVE HER TURN.
WE ARE VOTING AGAINST BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA!
No Beg to differ.
Obama Communist and Oding backer! The word is spreading he will be defeated.
http://atlasshrugs2000.typepad.com/atlas_shrugs/
And now look at this on Atlas Shrugs which, after railing at the media for failing to report what is actually going on in Kenya, makes the following claim:
Raila Odinga has, in his own words, a ‘close personal friendship’ with Barrack Hussein Obama Junior.When Obama went to Kenya in August of 2006, he was hosted by Raila and spoke in praise of him at rallies in Nairobi: Obama’s bias for his fellow Luo was so blatant that a Kenya government spokesman denounced Obama during his visit as Raila’s ‘stooge.’
Today’s WND article also reports my previous findings:
At a news conference today in Nairobi, Corsi plans to announce he can now affirm the following as a result of his reporting in Kenya:
Obama and Odinga have been in direct contact since the senator’s visit to Kenya in 2006.
Reported at Atlas Shrugs on January 4, 2008 here.
Obama remained in active phone contact with Odinga through the New Hampshire Democratic Party primary in Jan.
“The Student Voice of the University of Kansas”
What a shock.
You probably ought to indicate you’re posting from a college newspaper.
Obama voters dont care if he chopped off their mothers head they will still support him. they dont care if he is a terrorist. So knowing that he is a great big fraud and will destroy the country does not matter. Of course after helping congress run this country in the ground there isn’t much country left.
Let it rest a bit. Not answering the question so you can give a stump speech is par for the course. And Obama DID not have momentum going into tonight. It was tightening across the board, unbeknownst to the dumb broad who wrote this.
However, he did proceed to pee himself with his 300 billion “we’ll buy your house” proposal. That could be fatal.
It’s from a college newspaper. Big surprise they’d be backing the O-Man.
Good God Francesca - retake 4th grade grammar - "...had the economy not GONE south"
They certainly did have the requisite number of black questioners, which was obviously no coincidence.
The audience was selected by Gallup, the polling organization, and was split three ways among voters leaning toward McCain, those leaning toward Obama and those undecided.
Tom Brokaw of NBC, the moderator, screened their questions and also chose others that had been submitted online.
You snivelers are unseemly and embarrassing.
http://www.hillaryclintonforum.net/discussion/showthread.php?t=33711
Hell, Hillary voters are more productive.
So, by your own words, newbie, you think folks shouldn't speak truth based on race? Bless your little pea-picking heart.
You have lots to learn.
/johnny
listening to replay of obama explainging bailout. same words of bush said today plus some lies promoting himself. this dude is a total jerk and as plastic as they come.
All this parsing is crap. CNN is crap. I watched the debate and nothing either candidate said changed my mind. I was satisfied with McCain’s performance and he spoke to me about NOT raising taxes. He admits that the economy is hurting people. That’s what I saw in the attitudes of people gathered around the TV. People are scared about their investments tanking. Really scared. Address and solve this issue and you will win.
Yeah, so where's my "I Did Not Nominate John McCain" bumper sticker?
If Israel wants to continue to exist, it will hit Iran within the next two weeks. That is the only thing that will stop Obama.
That was a quote from the article. Not me.
Why is it implied that every thread someone posts that they support that idea? It’s a article. Nothing more.
This is from a college newspaper. That’s about fourth-grade level these days.
I still say Bill and Hill will have the last word in all this.
Even if nobody ever knows.
I think they will discretely slip a little October surprise into the mix in the coming weeks.
Gads......
I thought that suspension of his campaign ended up looking like a stupid stunt. Did he really accomplish anything by it? I don’t know. From what I could tell he just voted along with everyone else. Did he help get the cash to ACORN and LaRaza deleted? It would be nice to know.
Unless Republicans have a really good October surprise planned, an illegitimate Obama child for instance, this election is over for John McCain.
Does anyone really think an illegitimate child could have a negative effect on an African American candidate.
“I thought revealing his plan to buy up bad mortgages was mistake that could cost him the election, though.”
Money quote of the evening. THIS is our October Surprise.
I pray that “The Bradley Factor” is in the double-digits.
Hillary voters supporting McCain are also working harder for McCain and more upbeat he is going to win. I would rather talk to some of them then some of the people I saw on here tonight on the thread.
Anytime people start talking about CNN, my eyes glaze over. CNN is like reading a 25 page DNC talking points memo fresh off the fax. (YAWN)
Well there's an unbiased poll result from CNN (/sarc)
Polls are meaningless - The poll that counts will be in November and will reflect the "Bradley" effect. The estimated 6% bump in the numbers will ensure a McCain/Palin victory.
Sarah Can Save it.
Hillary’s supporters are the ones alerting us to a lot of the fraud from the Obama camp.
maybe if the states can weed out the fake votes, as they are trying to do in las vegas.
from the gateway pundit:
Secretary of State Ross Miller said the fraudulent registrations included forms for the starting lineup of the Dallas Cowboys football team.
“Tony Romo is not registered to vote in the state of Nevada, and anybody trying to pose as Terrell Owens won’t be able to cast a ballot on Nov. 4,” Miller said.
This may be right, but honestly, I don't understand the American people if they don't think that relationships with Wright and Ayers are not immediately disqualifying from the presidency. At least the public needs to be made aware of Ayers (presumably most should know something about Wright) so they can make an informed vote, so thanks to Palin for having the courage to speak out about it.
That wouldn't have much effect, if any. That would, after all, only be obout sex.
No, the only single thing that would make a real knockout level difference would be proof, absolute proof, of Obama's non qualification to be President.
That said, many smaller things still can do the job. Ayers, the "contributions" by Fannie Mae and Freddy Mack to Obama. The questionable campaign donations, etc, etc.
A one sided and laughably hysterical analysis.
Which is often a higher level than the Dinosaur Media.
please keep it up! i am voting for sarah! why? i’ve been waiting for someone like her to squash these mods for decades. thanks for keeping me inspired. jm sure doesn’t.
He's right.
It's all too little, too late.
Never was such momentum (as in the momentum created when Palin was chosen) sqandered so quickly.
It's very sad.
Four years under BHO may just do in our free republic.
Hussein said, “Two years ago, I sent a letter to Fed Chairman Bernanke warning about the impending subprime mortgage crisis...”
The problem for this drooling, lying imbecile? Two years ago, Alan Greenspan was the Fed Chairman, not Bernanke. In fact, I’ll bet that two years ago, Husseinhad no idea who Bernanke was or how to get in touch with him.
FROM THE CHAT ROOM...SMART STUFF.
you see this is what happens after all the dust settles...barack talks and talks a good game...then we find out he had a cork filled bat!
John McCain held his own and despite my wanting him to go over and kick the Messiah where the calf don't suck, he still won in my opinion.
If, and that is a big if the economy gets worse, then, many of those Obama voters will start to realize that experience in hard times does count.
Same old phikapmom - whoever pays ya gets the vote yet you continue to call us names and complain about us.
I would have to agree - Obama won that debate, and he is likely to win this election (short of some sort of miracle).
Overall, I am extremely disappointed in the Republican party. Bush has turned fiscal conservatism on it’s head, and he has essentially turned this country into a socialist nation. His buyout of wall street is nothing more than a massive and insulting rejection of the principals the founding fathers used to create this great nation. Is it any wonder that McCain is doing so badly in the polls? He represents the failure of the Republican party, and (rightly or wrongly) will be the scapegoat for an extremely irritated fiscal conservative base that feels betrayed.
How many asians or hispanics got to ask questions?
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