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Kristol: A Genuine and Immediate Crisis (major European bank about to fail)
Weekly Standard ^

Posted on 09/27/2008 12:48:53 PM PDT by Chet 99

Kristol: A Genuine and Immediate Crisis

I've received phone calls in the last hour from two economists I respect, one of them Larry Lindsey, the other in a position where he'd prefer not to be named. Both have government experience, neither is alarmist by nature, and they say this:

The huge European bank Fortis is apparently about to fail. The ripple effect on the American banking system could be disastrous, with bank runs, liquidity crises, and stock sell offs possible Monday. Wachovia may well fail next week. As Larry put it, this really will be 1933 soon if we don't move rapidly to stabilize the banking system.

And here's the bad news: the current bailout bill, whatever its merits and likelihood of passage, does nothing to address this.

Congress should pass by Monday simple legislation doing two things:

1. Giving the FDIC authority to provide unlimited deposit insurance through the FDIC for transaction accounts in banks.

2. Authorizing the Secretary of the Treasury to provide unlimited protection of principal in money market funds through the Treasury's exchange stabilization fund.

Maybe my acquaintances (and I) are too worried; maybe this legislation wouldn't quite be the right solution. But I wanted to sound what may be, unfortunately, a needed alarm.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: 110th; banking; banks; financialcrisis; globaleconomy; globalism; kristol
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1 posted on 09/27/2008 12:48:54 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99

I think it was fine for Kristol to report there’s tension in the European markets- but he didn’t need to name names- this could cause a run on Wachovia.

It’s irresponsible.


2 posted on 09/27/2008 12:51:34 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: Chet 99

Who is Krystal’s friend? Putin?


3 posted on 09/27/2008 12:53:17 PM PDT by penelopesire ("The only CHANGE you will get with the Democrats is the CHANGE left in your pocket")
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To: Chet 99

Someone needs to call the boys on Capital Hill.

I am afraid the house Republicans are doing more harm than good.


4 posted on 09/27/2008 12:53:37 PM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (McCain/Palin 08...Dont stop believin...)
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To: SE Mom

Bingo. As much as I detest Paulson and the Greespan/Bernanke team, there IS really a global crisis that was caused by government intervention for which there is no private market answer.

Paulson/Bernanke don’t want bank runs and Kristol (whom I admire) should not contribute to the problem.


5 posted on 09/27/2008 12:54:03 PM PDT by whitedog57
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To: Chet 99

Unlimited federal guarantees, unlimited federal protection, unlimited federal funds?

The socialist chickens are coming home to roost.

As ye sow, so shall ye reap.


6 posted on 09/27/2008 12:54:42 PM PDT by Jim Robinson
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To: SE Mom
There's already been a week-long run on Wachovia.
7 posted on 09/27/2008 12:57:17 PM PDT by wideawake (Why is it that those who like to be called Constitutionalists know the least about the Constitution?)
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To: Chet 99; Admin Moderator

Duplicate

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2091888/posts


8 posted on 09/27/2008 12:58:40 PM PDT by Petronski (Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
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To: Chet 99

Obama “ The failure of Fortis is the fault of Repubicans and Bush. McCain is another Bush.It is deregulation in Europe and Anglo-Saxon capitalism that cuased Fortis to fail.

To each according to his need;to each according to their ability.”


9 posted on 09/27/2008 12:58:40 PM PDT by Reaganez
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To: Jim Robinson

I don’t feel so bad now about not having saved enough for retirement. It appears there’s a good chance no one’s nest egg will be hatched. Sad and scarry times.

But, anyone with any sense should have known that this couldn’t go on forever. With the world having gotten so small it was only a matter of time before something snapped.

Or we can take the Biblical approach. If you believe in “end times”, and I do, this may all be a sign.


10 posted on 09/27/2008 12:59:15 PM PDT by Terry Mross
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To: Jim Robinson

my fear is that we might just have to bite the bullet, Jim.

I feel like the house Republicans are fighting a losing fight with noble intentions.


11 posted on 09/27/2008 1:00:14 PM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (McCain/Palin 08...Dont stop believin...)
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative
I am afraid the house Republicans are doing more harm than good.

Yeah, that's it. It's the house Republicans fault.

12 posted on 09/27/2008 1:01:42 PM PDT by workerbee (Sarah Palin's very existence is a threat to the Left.)
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To: SE Mom

There is already a run on Wachovia.

On Drudge as we speak:

WACHOVIA shares plunge as investors question fate...

...early merger talks with CITIBANK


13 posted on 09/27/2008 1:01:44 PM PDT by counterpunch (Jim Jones was a Community Organizer)
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To: whitedog57

EXACTLY.

We all need to remember a few things.

The markets are run on perception and even emotions.

The markets can behave like a mob.

It takes very little in this climate to send signals that are, as Rummy would say, are unhelpful.


14 posted on 09/27/2008 1:02:13 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: SE Mom
What is Larry Linsey’s reputation?

Anyone know?

Thanks!

15 posted on 09/27/2008 1:02:55 PM PDT by roses of sharon (The MSM vampires must die!)
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative
>>>>>I am afraid the house Republicans are doing more harm than good.

So who'd rather see the House GOP members roll over and vote for this unconstitutional piece of garbage. That is fiscally irresponsible on every level. We don't need more big government intervention. We need free market solutions and more limited government.

16 posted on 09/27/2008 1:03:03 PM PDT by Reagan Man ("In this present crisis, government is not the solution to our problem; government is the problem.")
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To: workerbee

the deck is stacked against them in a fight against Hank Paulson. Boaener is nothing more than a hot head.

I agree with the house republicans in principle. But what is the writing on the wall ?


17 posted on 09/27/2008 1:04:29 PM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (McCain/Palin 08...Dont stop believin...)
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative

You can’t solve a problem created by socialism through socialist solutions. Socialism (government) is not the solution to our problem, it is the problem. (RR)

We’ll have to work through it. The entire world will have to work through it. There’s no other choice, other than caving-in to worldwide socialism. The Marxists will have won without firing a shot.

Hang tough!


18 posted on 09/27/2008 1:05:27 PM PDT by Jim Robinson
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative

Someone (the taxpayer) needs to do something quickly to save the Wall Street fat cats and their exorbitant salaries and lifestyles!


19 posted on 09/27/2008 1:05:57 PM PDT by Boiling Pots (Hey B. Hussein, are you going to prosecute me now?)
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To: SE Mom

The cat is out of the bag on Wachovia already. The stock tanked after hours on yesterday. After losing almost 30% in regular hours trading, the news after market closed that they are desperately seeking a buyer drove them down another 35%. By Monday or midweek latest, Wachovia will likely stop trading like WAMU did, at 16 cents.

I do not think it is irresponsible to speculate on how bad this problem could potentially be. The bank I do business with is locally owned and operated for near 80 years, conservative in their lending, but I still ask my bank manager every couple of weeks lately how things are looking. When I spoke to him Thursday, I did not get a straightforward answer like I’m used to hearing.
I’ve got a feeling your money is going to be safer in smaller, independent banks, rather than the big franchises.


20 posted on 09/27/2008 1:06:13 PM PDT by jsh3180
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To: Jim Robinson

Neil Cavuto is covering this now live- has European market guy on.

Worrisome- not yet alarming.


21 posted on 09/27/2008 1:06:37 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative

Curl up into a little ball, then. Times are tough.


22 posted on 09/27/2008 1:06:43 PM PDT by workerbee (Sarah Palin's very existence is a threat to the Left.)
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To: Reagan Man

picking a fight against Hank Paulson was a waste of time. Again, I agree with them on principle.

but it was never going to anywhere. There was going to be a bail out all along reguardless. and it was always going to be Hank Paulsons plan.

We should have took this stand in 2006 before we lost the election.


23 posted on 09/27/2008 1:06:52 PM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (McCain/Palin 08...Dont stop believin...)
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To: SE Mom

I believe the MSM would like to see a run on banks. IMHO.


24 posted on 09/27/2008 1:06:55 PM PDT by K-oneTexas (I'm not a judge and there ain't enough of me to be a jury. (Zell Miller, A National Party No More))
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To: SE Mom
I've got a Wachovia checking account and my first thought on reading the article is maybe I ought to get my money out of there. But the FDIC would cover it up to $100k, right?

Strange to even be thinking about this kind of thing.

25 posted on 09/27/2008 1:06:56 PM PDT by Yardstick
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative

If the House GOP (and by extension, McCain) is seen blocking a bill over the weekend, and the market melts down on Monday... good heavens...

It may be unfair, but perceptions are what matters in politics...


26 posted on 09/27/2008 1:07:12 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99

The one lesson from this whole mess should be that government must stay out of market manipulation and social engineering.
Despite the lies that Democrats are spreading to the American people about “deregulation” being the cause, I think Europe and Asia are going to slap down the US government very hard for what they did with Fannie and Freddie. I think their practices, and the very institutions, will be radioactive from now on.


27 posted on 09/27/2008 1:07:30 PM PDT by counterpunch (Jim Jones was a Community Organizer)
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To: Reagan Man

The free market did not get us into this mess, pass the word.

Government backed loans to the uncreditworthy is not a free market!


28 posted on 09/27/2008 1:07:32 PM PDT by Boiling Pots (Hey B. Hussein, are you going to prosecute me now?)
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To: Politicalmom; Josh Painter; jellybean

Neil Cavuto is on now live- Fred will be up shortly.


29 posted on 09/27/2008 1:07:38 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: Chet 99

I Panicked 5 days ago !!!!!!

Im all Panicked out!!!!!!


30 posted on 09/27/2008 1:08:50 PM PDT by woofie
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To: Chet 99

Four of the five largest banks in the world, are now Chinese.

Our banks are in trouble, because we are SPENDING all the money in them. On imported trinkets.

“Free trade” is destroying America.


31 posted on 09/27/2008 1:09:51 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (CHEVY VOLT COUNTDOWN: V minus 92 Weeks. Waiting...)
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To: Chet 99

Absolutely.

I can not believe how many Republicans are not taking this seriously. I could not believe Michelle Bachmanns “whistle pass the graveyard” attitude for instance.


32 posted on 09/27/2008 1:10:03 PM PDT by se_ohio_young_conservative (McCain/Palin 08...Dont stop believin...)
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative
The democrats control the House. They can pass this bailout bill today if they want to. The democrats want political cover because polls show most people are against it. The House Republicans are not holding up passage, they have a different approach to be incorporated into the bill. If the democrats refuse to negotiate, they can pass the Paulson bill and live with the results. The holdup is a function of Democrats refusing to negotiate for Republican support, the ‘crisis’ is entirely of their making.
33 posted on 09/27/2008 1:10:08 PM PDT by Old North State
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To: Yardstick
"the FDIC would cover it up to $100k, right?"

Well, it appears we're about to test that question. Does the federal government have an unlimited supply of paper and green ink? What happens to the value of our currency if it does?

34 posted on 09/27/2008 1:11:32 PM PDT by Jim Robinson
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative
Financial Terrorism from President Bush saying we are all doomed if we don't support Socialist bailouts isn't helping.
35 posted on 09/27/2008 1:11:35 PM PDT by BGHater (Democracy is the road to socialism.)
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To: Jim Robinson

Amen, is it going to be like Germany in the 30’s and we elect a “Hitler”?


36 posted on 09/27/2008 1:16:18 PM PDT by Terry Mross
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To: Terry Mross

You don’t know how true that statement is.

Join Camp Obama:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2091941/posts


37 posted on 09/27/2008 1:18:13 PM PDT by Jim Robinson
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To: Jim Robinson

Man, I knew this country wouldn’t last forever but I sure didn’t think it would fold in my life time. Wow! Scarry stuff!


38 posted on 09/27/2008 1:19:43 PM PDT by Terry Mross
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To: woofie

FOR GODS SAKE THIS IS NO TIME FOR HUMOR!!!!!!!!!!!


39 posted on 09/27/2008 1:20:41 PM PDT by woofie
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To: Jim Robinson

Do you think these kinds of posts could foster more panic (runs on banks) and exacerbate the problem?


40 posted on 09/27/2008 1:22:34 PM PDT by woofie
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To: Chet 99

BUMP


41 posted on 09/27/2008 1:22:39 PM PDT by bubman
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To: Yardstick

I have an account at WAMU, and my first instinct was the same, but I held steady. I am however going to open a checking account at my locally owned credit union ASAP.


42 posted on 09/27/2008 1:23:21 PM PDT by ThisLittleLightofMine
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To: ThisLittleLightofMine

My wife was on me for a week to take my few grand out of WAMU and put it in our Credit Union Account. Must go do that on Monday. I’m not sure JP Morgan is going to be able to handle the run on WAMU.


43 posted on 09/27/2008 1:25:57 PM PDT by Terry Mross
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To: se_ohio_young_conservative

In 1932, not only did FDR win - but the GOP in Congress was essentially wiped out. The Dems had over 2/3rds control of Congress as well. There needs to be a deal before the market opens Monday for many reasons.


44 posted on 09/27/2008 1:28:07 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: SE Mom

Isn’t Wachovia on life support? Oxygen, Sucrose IV’s, morphine,..... the whole works?


45 posted on 09/27/2008 1:28:36 PM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 . Conservation? Let the NE Yankees freeze.... in the dark)
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To: Chet 99
It may be unfair, but perceptions are what matters in politics...

The Democrats and the MSM are salivating over the possibility of a national economic crash before the election. Remember, the Great Depression is what got FDR elected and the socialists firmly entrenched in power for a generation.

Every socialist dream that the Democrats have - nationalized medicine, massive redistribution of wealth, cutting and running in Iraq, and gutting the military - will all be possible under the guise of trying to recover from the "Bush Depression."

46 posted on 09/27/2008 1:29:26 PM PDT by kennedy (No relation to Teddy.)
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To: bert

Yep- but it appears there’s a lot of inter-connection between these major financial institutions.

Someone sneezes- by the end of the week they all have pneumonia.


47 posted on 09/27/2008 1:30:48 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet)
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To: Jim Robinson

The FDIC is only useful if the gov’t can pay the insurance.


48 posted on 09/27/2008 1:31:17 PM PDT by atomicweeder
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To: Chet 99

Whew! I thought that Billy was going to propose sending $700 billion more to Europe to buy up their bad mortgages too.


49 posted on 09/27/2008 1:31:48 PM PDT by Virginia Ridgerunner (Sarah Palin is a smart missile aimed at the heart of the left!)
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To: Cringing Negativism Network

chuckle, har, har.

Brigadeers still live among us.


50 posted on 09/27/2008 1:32:26 PM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 . Conservation? Let the NE Yankees freeze.... in the dark)
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