Posted on 09/22/2008 3:13:16 PM PDT by Chet 99
Results from four of the five battleground states in the FOX News/Rasmussen Reports polling are similar to the presidential election four years ago. Virginia, however, is more competitive than it was in 2004.
Polling this week in Florida and Ohio shows little net change from the previous week with McCain holding a very modest advantage in each state. McCain and Obama both increased their level of support slightly in each as the number of undecided/third party voters declined by three points in each.
In Florida, McCain is in the lead by five percentage points, 51% to 46%. In Ohio, McCain is also ahead, 50%, to 46%.
Pennsylvania and Virginia also showed little change this week, but both of these states shifted slightly back in the direction of their historic voting patterns after being tied a week ago. Now, Obama is up by three in Pennsylvania (48%-45%) and McCain is up by two in Virginia (50% to 48%).
(Excerpt) Read more at elections.foxnews.com ...
I think PA is there for the taking for McCain. Kerry I think won there by 130,000 votes, 52 to 48%. Obama will not poll as well as kerry did. McCain better than Bush. So PA should flip to McCain this time.
let’s hope we end up with the same result.
This is good news. McCain is set for a swing toward him just like Bush. I still believe McCain is headed for a much bigger electoral victory than Bush. We just need to get out there and get out the vote.
By November, I think they will be there.
Great points.
It’s ALL coming down to Friday night...
If McCain can get Obama off-message and flustered, or even better yet, ANGRY, this election is OVER....
Where’s CO?
Don’t know, but these are good results considering that McCain has just had what may be the worst week of his campaign.
Obama needs to do well Friday night just because the next debate Americans will watch Palin wipe the floor with Biden. After that he won’t be able to get them back.
“...McCain is headed for a much bigger electoral victory than Bush. We just need to get out there and get out the vote.”
You’re right but...
I think the FRAUD will be greater than it ever has been.
WE need to vote AS MANY times as the dims.
;^)
All “likely” voters.
McCain/Palin very competitive.
Hopefully, McCain can make the sale at the debate as he did at Saddleback and the Convention.
Voted early in GA. One warning from my very limited observation in one Courthouse, the black folk are coming out. No question as to who they are voting for. Will not matter in GA, but it will in the close states. Get out and vote and get all your like minded friends and family.
First off, I wouldn't count on it. Secondly, even if she does outperform Biden, do you really believe it will be reported that way? I remember watching Lazio seriously outperform Shrillary, only to have the media freak out over him invading "the world's strongest, smartest woman's" space.
It won’t matter how its reported. The American people are going to watch these debates...probably more then they ever have before. They will make up their own minds.
Fox and Rasmussen are polling those same five states every week up until election day. I sure would like to see them add Colorado to their list as well.
Not really. Bush never really scored a knockout punch in any of his debates vs. Kerry or Gore. He still won. They basically undid themselves with their arrogant elitism (funny thing, for "C" students). Obama can't help but revert to his elitist, head tilting self when McCain starts to land a few punches. Without the security of his teleprompter, he will be his own undoing.
:-) Sorry, but as much as I want to believe that, it’s really not how it works.
Arlington county is processing a record 1,000 applications a week. There's been an especially dramatic increase in young applicants thanks to "Rock the Vote" at college campuses. The City of Alexandria has broken all of its records, with nearly 12,000 new voters. It's the same in other northern Virginia jurisdictions. Since the start of the year. Fairfax has registered an unprecedented 25,000 voters. Prince William County numbers are up more than 13,000 and Loudoun County has more than 11,000 new voters. Reporter said: "Virginia is a swing state. There's been a dramatic increase in absentee ballots too.
Your lips to God’s ears. All I know is that several polls have McCain down in Virginia. He loses Virginia the game, and perhaps the nation as we know it, is over.
And we can’t forget the dead, double, made up, and illegal voters that will be coming out too.
If they do, then their sheer number could overwhelm McCain and give Obama the victory. It would be unprecedented though, and my guess is their numbers will not be nearly as great as what is anticipated on election day.
I have to wonder how much these kids who are so crazy for Obama know about his real record. I wonder how many have looked in detail at his proposals. I wonder if any have taken into consideration the damage that will be done.
Four years from now when the economy is a mess, many of them have had to drop out of school, or their parents are broke, I guess they will have to live on “hope and change.”
Okay, so we agree to disagree! Look how well the attacks against Palin worked in their favor!
I remember that like it was yesterday. Lazio crushed her in that debate... Not reported that way, though
Again, I admire the optimism...
Bush scored a knock out in the debates by being “normal”. When Al Gore tried his tactic of invading Bush’s space, like a freaky alpha dog, and Bush looked over at him and sort of nodded like you nod at a freak,,the debates were over. That moment won the election for GWB.
Regarding the national polls. Gallup and Rasmussen, the two favored national polls here at FR, play funny with the percentages of Democrats and Republicans in their polls. And Gallup uses ‘registered voters’ and Rasmussen uses ‘likely voters.’
But........
The only thing that matters is voter turnout and Bush in 2004 had close to 4 million more Republican voters turnout than did the Democrats. If that pattern holds in 2008, we WIN!!!!! Yab-a-dab-a-dooooo!!!
Note: I realize the electoral college is the last word but my point was simply to address the percentage of voters.
Penn is huge and if Obama can't protect it, that is the end game.
Battleground Poll Tracking McCain (48%) Obama (47%)
Battleground | 9/22/2008 | Battleground
Posted on 09/22/2008 6:50:39 AM PDT by tatown
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2087648/posts
Unfortunately I think they will. I know at UPenn in PA, they’re registering kids everyday. You know, A BUNCH of kids with the Che t-shirts and Obama buttons on their school bags. At the registering booth, they’re selling their “Barack the Vote” shirts. They practically worship him as some type of Socialist revolutionary.
I think it all depends on base support right now. If McCain does a good job in the debates, acts like a conservative, he wins PA and the election. If he goes lefty on us then he throws away the election. We’ll have to see what happens. I think the first debate is this week.
Well, the X factor in this election cycle is the PUMA voters who were shunned by the DNC and will crossover to vote against Barack O-bama...I don’t believe they have even wanted to poll those voters for fear of the tongue lashing they’d receive! I think the media has swept that entire group under the proverbial rug and they are very wrong to ignore that voter group!
It won’t be any easier for the dems in 2012, when they re-apportion the representatives.
Look for New York and Massachusetts to lose and Texas and Utah to gain Electoral Votes.
From your lips to the Pennsylvanian voters' ears.
if I’m wrong in my predictions I’ll ask Zogby for a job. I’ll probably fit in well there.
You must have had a sneak peak into the Obama war room because I bet their biggest concern is to avoid anything that could set up a “Bentsen/Quail” moment because it could prove fatal.
The key is can he help himself? I hope not.
I know that the reports on registration are accurate because they come from the registrars.
However, what I cannot yet figure out is who they are registering for? Some say that Governor Palin just energized the Conservatives and the "base" like never before. Add to that fear of Obama's policies and proposals to make this a socialist (or Islamic) nation. Others say that the anti-Bush propaganda drilled into students on campuses and all the pro-Obama (making him to be the Black Kennedy) is driving them to get involved for Obama. He promises them the world and that is what they want.
Bottom line is, if record numbers do show up at the polls, who will they show up for?
I sure hope so. PA would win this thing hands down for McCain.
They go to class being fed liberal propaganda by pro-Obama professors, games and parties...
What news do they get and from where? ABC, NBC, CBS, PBS, MSNBC & CNN on TV when they have time to watch. I doubt they have time for Laura, Rush, Sean, Levin on talk radio. Talk radio seems an older crowd or political junkies like me for the most part (except for a few young Republicans whose parents are political junkies).
They are handicapped by the media blackout of the real Obama record or the real force behind the puppet and his record of nothing or worse than nothhing. They probably don't know, nor would believe that he and his campaign team are the reason for our current economic and energy crisis. He has them convinced it's our fault and that he has the hope for the real change that will make their dreams come true.
Obama is the equivilent of the Muslim geenie or "gin" that grants them their wishes or hearts desire.
To sum up what was said, they are a bunch of stupid kids. :)
Arizona will gain too. Probably Florida as well. Virginia will - if we can hold it.
..this is just a hunch, but I do not think the Rendell machine is going to lift a finger to help Obama—he’s helping Hillary lay the groundwork for 2012—IMO PA goes RED in November...
Strange. Rasmussen polls are going against the tide. Survey USA and ABC/Wash. Post show Obama taking Va. Plus other national polls are showing wild swings to Obama.
Rasmussen is showing the election to be static despite, the bad economic news. Interestingly, American Research Group state polls are similiar to Rasmussen polls.
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