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North Carolina: McCain 50%, Obama 47% (Rasmussen)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9/22/2008 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 09/22/2008 7:58:08 AM PDT by tatown

North Carolina is one of several traditionally Republican states where John McCain just can’t quite seem to pull away from Barack Obama. The Republican candidate has been at least slightly ahead in six of the seven monthly polls conducted in the state and was tied in the seventh. But, his advantage has always remained in single digits, often the low single digits.

This month, it’s more of the same as the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey finds McCain ahead 50% to 47%. That’s not too much different than the results from a month ago.

Eighty-one percent (81%) of Obama supporters are voting for their candidate with enthusiasm while 15% are voting primarily against McCain. Sixty-two percent (62%) of McCain voters are casting their votes with enthusiasm while 34% are voting primarily against Obama.

As always, the racial divide is sharp. In the Tar Heel State, Obama is supported by 98% of African-Americans while McCain currently earns the vote from 66% of White voters. McCain attracts 88% of Republicans while Obama has 79% support from Democrats (Full demographic crosstabs are available to Premium Members).

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: carolina; electionpresident; mccainpalin; poll; rasmussen
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I don't know what to make of it but this is two polls in a row where the results appear anything but certain here. Any thoughts on why this appears to be much closer that it should be?
1 posted on 09/22/2008 7:58:08 AM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

No way its this close in NC. No Way!


2 posted on 09/22/2008 8:00:43 AM PDT by Beeman
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To: tatown

This is pure bullsh!t. Plain and simple. McCain will win NC easily.


3 posted on 09/22/2008 8:00:46 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: tatown
I don't know what to make of it but this is two polls in a row where the results appear anything but certain here. Any thoughts on why this appears to be much closer that it should be?

Because we "hired" a moderate, or what can sometimes be described a RINO, to represent us in the Presidential contest this year when the base, particularly so in NC, is conservative?
4 posted on 09/22/2008 8:02:03 AM PDT by SoConPubbie (GOP: If you reward bad behavior all you get is more bad behavior.)
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To: tatown

Way too close, my friends.


5 posted on 09/22/2008 8:02:05 AM PDT by popdonnelly (I'll tell you a little secret: we're smarter and more competent than the Left.)
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To: tatown

“Obama is supported by 98% of African-Americans”

Now THAT is racist.


6 posted on 09/22/2008 8:02:08 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: tatown
Obama is supported by 98% of African-Americans

The media sees nothing significant about this. These good folks are merely voting their conscience and supporting the better man.

On the other hand, any white person who fails to vote for Obama has outed him or herself out as a closet KKK-member who wants to bring back Jim Crow.

7 posted on 09/22/2008 8:02:29 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Michelle, spare me your phony outrage, you know as well as I do that dress makes your butt look big)
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To: tatown

Send Sarah!! :)


8 posted on 09/22/2008 8:02:49 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Beeman
Ras admitted he probably over samples dims... but he is doing it because of registration... not taking into account the Republicans that registered dim for Operation Chaos.

LLS

9 posted on 09/22/2008 8:02:52 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (GOD, Country, Family... except when it comes to dims!)
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To: SoConPubbie

Sorry, try again. McCain is winning 88% of Republicans.


10 posted on 09/22/2008 8:03:39 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Beeman

ya,I was going to say the same thing. On electoral vote map websites, North Carolina has been solid McCain for a long time now. I can’t believe it’s gotten that close.


11 posted on 09/22/2008 8:04:19 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: SoConPubbie

I cannot believe you actually believe this. This claims that only 88% of the republicans will vote for MCCain this is a joke.


12 posted on 09/22/2008 8:04:19 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: tatown
From Rasmussen's poll on the NC Senate Race:

In North Carolina, Democratic challenger Kay Hagan has taken a six-point lead over Republican United States Senator Elizabeth Dole.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Tar Heel State finds Hagan with 51% of the vote and Dole with 45%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/north_carolina/election_2008_north_carolina_senate

13 posted on 09/22/2008 8:04:52 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: tatown
Eighty-one percent (81%) of Obama supporters are voting for their candidate with enthusiasm while 15% are voting primarily against McCain. Sixty-two percent (62%) of McCain voters are casting their votes with enthusiasm while 34% are voting primarily against Obama.

Translation: Send Palin.

14 posted on 09/22/2008 8:05:14 AM PDT by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: SoConPubbie

McCain has 100% of the base here in Mississippi... I do not buy it... not with Palin on board.

LLS


15 posted on 09/22/2008 8:05:33 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (GOD, Country, Family... except when it comes to dims!)
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To: tatown
Perhaps Ras is taking into account the dead vote: ACORN resurrecting the dead in NC
16 posted on 09/22/2008 8:05:46 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 ("In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." -- George Orwell)
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To: tatown

Don’t know about that, but what concerns me more is how little progress we’ve made in racial relations. It would appear that black folks in NC are overwhelmingly racist.


17 posted on 09/22/2008 8:05:55 AM PDT by Lee'sGhost (Johnny Rico picked the wrong girl!)
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To: CatOwner

Fantasy.


18 posted on 09/22/2008 8:06:12 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: tatown
"Any thoughts on why this appears to be much closer that it should be?"

Yes, poll manipulation; "Push Polling."

19 posted on 09/22/2008 8:07:09 AM PDT by editor-surveyor ( If Obama had Palin's resume and experience Obama would be qualified to be VP too.)
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To: tatown
NC has become a wasteland of Yankees and Mexicans. I wouldn't be shocked to the state go blue. We're like a sanctuary state for ignorant voters.
20 posted on 09/22/2008 8:07:30 AM PDT by Niteranger68 (Before spending any of your hard earned money, ask yourself "Am I funding liberalism?")
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To: tatown

Somebody’s lying, big time, or we are in deep doo-doo.


21 posted on 09/22/2008 8:07:50 AM PDT by Rudder
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To: Perdogg

Even with Edwards on the Demo ticket, Kerry could only muster 44% of the vote there in 2004. Unless there has been a huge influx of lefties since then, this poll sounds a bit off. Still, a lead is a lead. If McCain should take the state only narrowly, he still gets those crucial electorals.


22 posted on 09/22/2008 8:07:56 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: Perdogg

I don’t know much about NC politics, but to have an incumbent Senator trailing by 6 points is not good.


23 posted on 09/22/2008 8:08:41 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: tatown

..Bush won by over 12 points in ‘04—this and the Minnesota poll are wrong...


24 posted on 09/22/2008 8:09:50 AM PDT by WalterSkinner ( In Memory of My Father--WWII Vet and Patriot 1926-2007)
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To: tatown

I hate to say this, but I am starting to question the Ras polling. This one is just out there. And that’s good news, because it may mean that McCain is tied or ahead in states such as MI or PA where Ras has a ‘close’ race.


25 posted on 09/22/2008 8:10:35 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: tatown

The only “Obama” bumper stickers I see, are almost always either on a vehicle driven by a minority, or an old and battered Volvo covered with “Moonbat” stickers. I rarely see an Obama placard in front yards, and when I do they are again usually minority home-owners.

McCain/Palin stickers abound however, as well as a LOT of “NoBama” 08 which can be deceptive at first glance. I always give them a thumbs-up with a smile when I see them in traffic.

Given those limited sightings, I hope the numbers work in McCain’s favor.


26 posted on 09/22/2008 8:11:43 AM PDT by NCDragon (If you can't stand behind the troops, try standing in front of them!)
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To: CatOwner

Don’t worry about this bogus poll. Please.


27 posted on 09/22/2008 8:12:20 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: tatown

Some Dem group—Soros?? is supposed to be sending money here to NC to help that witch Hagan and Obama. I have been seeing lots more Obama ads in the last week on TV


28 posted on 09/22/2008 8:13:16 AM PDT by nclaurel (I think therefore I vote Republican.)
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To: NCDragon
Maybe all of his respondents live in orange county.
29 posted on 09/22/2008 8:13:33 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: PapaBear3625
Perhaps Ras is taking into account the dead vote: ACORN resurrecting the dead in NC

My thoughts exactly.

30 posted on 09/22/2008 8:15:46 AM PDT by T. Buzzard Trueblood ("It would be disgrace and humiliation if Obama does not win." -Woody Allen)
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To: tatown

I’m a lifelong North Carolinian and I think that longterm the state is trending away from the GOP. Sad to say but true. The reason is the influx of two groups. The first are a ton of people from up north and other parts of the US who come to the triangle area to work in the tech/pharmaceutical industry and at the universities. That area tends to be a Dem area and its where our population growth is.

The second is the latino population. Just go to an elementary school in much of the state. You’ll be stunned at how high the percentage of latino kids you’ll find. Most of them are citizens and their parents are breeding like rabbits and turning out new citizens all the time. You can bet we won’t be winning a majority of that vote without moving even more to the left on entitlements and illegal immigration.


31 posted on 09/22/2008 8:16:37 AM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: tatown

I’m not being negative, but I think Obama has a real shot at winning this election. I say that as a cautionary note, warning against overconfidence at this point.


32 posted on 09/22/2008 8:18:27 AM PDT by popdonnelly (I'll tell you a little secret: we're smarter and more competent than the Left.)
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To: SoConPubbie

“Because we “hired” a moderate, or what can sometimes be described a RINO, to represent us in the Presidential contest this year when the base, particularly so in NC, is conservative? “

so NC would rather vote for a Marxist than a “Moderate”? yeah that makes sense.


33 posted on 09/22/2008 8:19:08 AM PDT by DM1
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To: editor-surveyor
Yes, poll manipulation; "Push Polling."
How is this a "push poll"?
34 posted on 09/22/2008 8:19:18 AM PDT by 21stCenturyFreeThinker
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To: Norman Bates
“Obama is supported by 98% of African-Americans”

Now THAT is racist.

You nailed it. Why not call it what it is plain ans simple?

35 posted on 09/22/2008 8:20:34 AM PDT by Big Horn (I bac Mac)
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To: 21stCenturyFreeThinker
How is this a "push poll"?

It is a push poll because someone here doesn't like the results.

36 posted on 09/22/2008 8:21:02 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: Niteranger68

“NC has become a wasteland of Yankees and Mexicans. I wouldn’t be shocked to the state go blue. We’re like a sanctuary state for ignorant voters. “

I just posted something similar. IMO we take it this time and probably the next. By 2016 I bet we’ll be a rat state.


37 posted on 09/22/2008 8:21:08 AM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: Big Horn

“You nailed it. Why not call it what it is plain ans simple? “

Didn’t you get the memo? Only white people can be racist!


38 posted on 09/22/2008 8:21:36 AM PDT by DemonDeac
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To: tatown
Obama won't carry North Carolina. Kerry lost it by double digits with Edwards on the ticket. The only way a Democrat wins statewide in NC is if he can deceive the voters into thinking he's a conservative. Edwards did that in the Senate race back in 1998, going all over the state calling himself a family values conservative and claiming he would pray before every Senate vote to ask the Lord's guidance. He'd never held office before, so he had no prior record to assess, and he won the election. He immediately tracked hard to the left, and became so unpopular he didn't even file for re-election.

The last ‘Rat presidential candidate to win in NC was Carter, who likewise had the ability to pass himself off as a conservative in 1976. No ‘Rat presidential contender has carried the state since. It ain't gonna be a black radical leftist named Barack Hussein Obama who breaks the GOP streak.

39 posted on 09/22/2008 8:21:45 AM PDT by puroresu (Enjoy ASIAN CINEMA? See my Freeper page for recommendations (updated!).)
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To: SoConPubbie; tatown
Because we "hired" a moderate, or what can sometimes be described a RINO, to represent us in the Presidential contest this year when the base, particularly so in NC, is conservative?

I learned everything I needed to know about SCPubbie by looking at his/her/its profile ..

40 posted on 09/22/2008 8:22:03 AM PDT by tx_eggman (Privatizing profits and socializing losses is no way to run an economy)
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To: TNCMAXQ

Any chance it has something to do with this?

41 posted on 09/22/2008 8:28:03 AM PDT by 21stCenturyFreeThinker
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To: LibLieSlayer
This is a BY Product of Rush ‘s Operation Chaos from March .
Maybe Rasmussen should factor that in but he won't. A CLOSE Race gets him FACE TIME On TV Folks ! Rasmussen sent a notice last week stating he was slightly increasing dem affiliations and dropping Repub for no reason except a guess just like Gallup did but with no verbal notice .
42 posted on 09/22/2008 8:28:04 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: Perdogg

There was a poll out about a week ago that showed McCain ahead by 20 points. How could there be such a wide difference?


43 posted on 09/22/2008 8:29:18 AM PDT by Don'tMessWithTexas
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To: 21stCenturyFreeThinker

That’s 20 points higher than dems in Congress.


44 posted on 09/22/2008 8:32:56 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: Perdogg
That’s 20 points higher than dems in Congress.
True. But fair or not people tend to blame the president more.
45 posted on 09/22/2008 8:37:52 AM PDT by 21stCenturyFreeThinker
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To: CatOwner

I can’t believe we are going to lose Dole. What’s up with that?


46 posted on 09/22/2008 8:40:00 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: CatOwner

If that’s true, Palin needs to make an appearance with her like soon.


47 posted on 09/22/2008 8:41:39 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: ncalburt
Rasmussen sent a notice last week stating he was slightly increasing dem affiliations and dropping Repub for no reason except a guess just like Gallup did but with no verbal notice .
Rasmussen weights by party based on a very large poll of voters self identification and Gallup doesn't weight by party at all.
48 posted on 09/22/2008 8:41:41 AM PDT by 21stCenturyFreeThinker
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To: Dilbert San Diego

If it was truly this close in NC, BO would be leading in VA by 10-12 points and would be essentially tied in TN and WV.


49 posted on 09/22/2008 8:42:26 AM PDT by Beeman
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To: 21stCenturyFreeThinker

Read the WIZBANG website analysis of the Gallup raw data vs the Poll results.
There is a party affliation in the mix and they just won’t admit it.


50 posted on 09/22/2008 8:43:54 AM PDT by ncalburt
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