Posted on 09/21/2008 1:30:42 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
A new Quad-City Times and Lee Enterprises poll of Iowa voters shows Democrat Barack Obama holding a commanding lead in the state with a little more than six weeks to go before
Election Day.
In a survey of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections, 53 percent said they would support Obama, and 39 percent said they would support Republican John McCain.
A total of 3 percent in the poll said they would support someone else, and another
5 percent were undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at qctimes.com ...
Here’s the second poll this week showing The One with a double-digit lead in Iowa. McCain has never run strongly there and I don’t expect that this will be any exception.
Iowa is a problem. What is wrong with the farmers this year? Must want to keep their ethanol flowing.
No internals?
McCain opposes ethanol subsidies, which pretty much cooks his goose in a state like Iowa.
Wow! Just so much good news today!
Thank goodness that McCain leads in Virginia and Ohio and that 4 states which have been Democrat strongholds (Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota, Pennsylvania) are all toss ups.
This is all according to RealClearPolitics as of today.
Correction. Obama leads in St. Clair and Cook County Illinois. It’s sad, those two counties win the state for him.
Why would they waste money polling Illinois?
McCain is going to win this if he just sticks true to himself and doesn’t get thrown off message. He needs to follow his instincts and unload everything on Obama going into this last month. We need 527s, we need everyone on the ground getting everyone riles up. This election is going to be one to remember.
“Why would they waste money polling Illinois?”
To see if there’s a sudden shift of opinion there. Obama has never faced a competitive general election before.
Spot on.
I suspect that McCain will take Minnesota, Pennsylvania, or Michigan, maybe and even Wiskey.
If Obama holds all of Kerry’s states and takes NM, Iowa, and Colorado, it’s over - four to eight years of Obamanation.
Surprisingly I saw a poll yesterday that had obozo leading by six. If it weren’t for Chicago, Illinois would be as red as they get. But, with the enormous graveyard vote in Chicago, we downstaters just get drug along for the ride, oh and for the taxes that they fleece from us.
Good point. Take a look at how the Messiah did in Southern Illinois even in the primary.
I’d be surprised if Obama wins anything other than Chicago. But that will be enough to carry the state.
Actually, if McCain loses Colorado, NM, Iowa and takes MN, PA, and MI, that will more than make up for CO, NM and Iowa.
McCain would win.
McCain, though will take CO and NM.
Not that it will probably happen, but I would love to see a 50 state sweep for McCain/Palin! McCain/Palin carrying Illinois would be awesome and a major embarrassment for Obama/Biden (possibly even a change to Barack Obama/Hillary Clinton sometime before November 4).
But we will have a GOP governor in 2 years guaranteed. Dem party has made itself extremely unpopular here, just like in most other states where they have the governorships outside of the northeast.
That’s what I said essentially.
We have a tendency to cling to our “guns and religion.”
St. Clair county can go either way. It really depends on the voter turnout in East St. Louis and Belleville. The democrats have a pretty good stronghold here in St. Clair and Madison counties.
I wouldn’t hold your breath. Until the IL GOP divorces itself from the Combine, you’re only going to end up with a liberal RINO candidate that will likely be beaten. In fact, if Obama loses, I’ll say there’s better than even odds he will run for Governor in 2010.
Where are you from? I went to school at SIU Carbondale
Don't count NM roadrunners....errr...chickens before they're hatched.
State Plans 2.5 Million Paper Ballots for Nov. 4 (New Mexico Fraud)
Dauhuh...........Tell us something we don’t know..
O’Fallon. It’s I-57N to I-64W from SIUC.
I can’t get A TRUE read on FL... Is he ahead or behind......?
Shocker!
McCain, though will take CO and NM.
__________________________
Colorado yes, NM, I don’t think so. I think it goes democrat this time around. Now I do think Penn is a very interesting state and one that McCain has a very good chance to fleece from the dems.
gee this was a poll of people who regularly vote in state elections
In ridiculously democrat states
If only people who do NOT usually vote in state elections would get up off their butts and help prevent a marxist class envy racist and her husband from being elected
Uh, ok. So what? Hasn’t this been the case, like, since for the entire campaign?
JoMa
I would really like to see a poll of non-urban America-even a poll that questioned in cities less than 100,000. Does anyone have any stats on the rural “Main Street” vote?
Bear in mind that a great many who post there are not from the QCT area, don't know what the percentage would be.
I figured Iowa would go blue a long time back. Remember Obama made his first spectacular win in Iowa, beating Hillary. Still, people out in the rural areas who work hard don't have internet access as good as we city folk so most boards are predominately urbanites, and many in the rural areas of Iowa are very conservative.
Before the Iowa primaries, the QCT came out endorsing Hillary. Then a day or so later, endorsed McCain for the Republicans. Now I think any Dem will do for them.
This is all according to RealClearPolitics as of today.
If McCain leads in VA and OH, then Obama leads in MI, WI, and PA, and MN is a tossup, to be fair. This using your definition of "leads in Ohio" (McCain is +1.6%).
You’re forgetting CO. McCain CANNOT win without CO, and he has trailed in the last two polls and in three of the last four.
RealClear average is Obama +17% in his home state. he won’t be an Algore, that’s fer sure.
This election is narrowing by the day in the strategic sense. Are only real shot at a pick-up is MI & NH. We will not win MN nor PA. The demographics nor the politics of those States make it possible. Ditto that for Wiskey, voter registration doesn't allow for a GOP win or an Obama loss.
Obama real shots at a pick-up (that matter) are OH (I doubt it), CO (toss-up big time), NM (likely) and IA (which by itself means nothing).
We must keep OH and CO (both).
Obama must keep MI.
McCain should STOP campaigning in Iowa. They are just too greedy for farm support giveaways.
Normal farmers are not socialists but this bunch from Iowa are really something! They have their hands in our pockets in normal times and now that they have their ethanol wh___s in Washington they want all of our money.
I want more Candian, Austrailian corn brought in! Bumpum
This race is way too close for my comfort. An Obambi presidency frightens me to no end, as he is a hardcore marxist who has zero executive experience, lies like a rug, and is closely allied with people who not only hate America but want it brought down.
Can anyone say civil war?
Running for governor, and even worse from his point of view, winning, would require that he do something for four years instead of chit-chat. Not his style.
During the 200 election I swear I saw a Gore/Lieberman sign at the entrance to a graveyard. Even though it was probably put there as a spoof I still found it hilarious.
Make that the 2000 election.
I think he has Illinois and losses Iowa.
I think McCain wins at least one of PA; MI, MN, or Wiskey (lesser extent). I think McCain hangs on to all of the states Bush won in 2004 except for Iowa and/or NM.
If someone disagree with my assessment from these states, let me know.
Does anyone else get depressed when we see these headlines?
Looking for a ray of hope here...
Polly
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