Posted on 09/21/2008 10:37:03 AM PDT by WilliamReading
PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama continues to lead John McCain in national voter preferences for the presidential election, now by a four percentage point margin, 49% to 45%
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Yea, Im really going to trust something coming out of Princeton.
Ayers eyes the oval office...
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Obama’s good Wednesday rolled off and his good Thursday rolls off tomorrow. He got a bounce from clueless voters who blame the GOP for the financial meltdown. Now that McCain is finally explaining that the meltdown was the result of Obama-style policies implemented by Obama cronies, that should change a bit. On to the debates!
Status of the tracking polls.
Gallup- Obama 49 Mac 45
Rasmussen- Obama 48 Mac 47
Hotline- Obama 45 Mac 44
Not too bad concerning the nonstop reporting of “The Sky is fallin” Wallstreet news. With the bad econcomic news I expected Obama to be up 8-10 points.
I think he’s down from 6 on Friday.
Gallup is starting to look more like the other polls today . . Rasmussen and Hotline both show a 1 point lead for Obama.
At least the bleeding has stopped.
I guess this could have read, “Obama Down 2 Points Since Yesterday.”
He could be down 9 to McCain and they’d report it as “OBAMA WITHIN SINGLE DIGITS OF MCCAIN”.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Isnt this still registered voters and not Likely Voters? I bet its a tie there already with LVs
Yeah. When it comes to the “national media,” it’s ALWAYS about Obama.
Good, Obama is down 2 points in this poll. Doesn’t it include part of the weekend which tends to favor dems? O will start getting nervous and the momentum should go back to McCain/Palin. McCain will stomp O in the debate.
You’re right, this is a registered voter poll. It’s probably a tie among likely voters.
He is. I think Governor Palin’s interview with Hannity helped as well.
It absolutely is REGISTERED VOTERS. You have to read all the way down to the bottom of the article to find it.
The most accurate poll is the one that will be taken on November 4th, 2008.
McCain seems to be rebounding...
Actually with LV,poll bias and the bradley effect odumbo needs to be up by 10 to win
The incident in Pakistan has probably had some effect. Everybody knows Obama can’t be trusted with terrorists.
For the most part, this has been a dead heat between these two candidates for awhile now. If Ubama is the end-all, be-all messiah come to save America from ourselves, then why haven’t the numbers been more like Ubama 95%, McCain 3%, undecideds 2%??
I find myself remembering the polls showing Kerry ahead of Dubya in 2004, and I harken back to how they were WRONG.
America is too smart for Ubama to keep pulling the wool over the eyes of the citizens. I can’t wait for whatever October surprises are coming our way soon!
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Nice breakdown on how Gallop manipulates their polls.
How Liberal Trolls Are Working To Get McCain Elected President
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2086637/posts
“So, put it all together, and in the past week Obama has stayed steady or lost support in every party identification group, yet Gallup says his overall support went up four points. And McCain stayed steady or went up in every party identification group, yet we are supposed to accept the claim that his overall support went down by four points”
McCain was slow in responding properly to the meltdown. He spent Monday & Tuesday blaming generic “Wall Street greed” for the meltdown, while Obama immediately blamed GOP policies. It wasn’t until Obama scored some undeserved points that McCain started connecting the dots between Obama and guys like Raines & Johnson.
On Sept 17th, the Dems were all giddy about the bad news, thinking the White House is now a lock. Then last night, a spade of news stories accusing some Clinton voters of not voting for Obama due to racism. Now why would the MSM start pulling the race card, if bad economic news guaranteed Obama a win. Perhaps, the Obama’s Lehman Leap is going to fade.
It was 6 yesterday. So it represents a 2 point drop for Obambi in one day!
Why do people think that Obama could fix this financial problem? How can people possibly be so stupid?
Rush said awhile back to not trust the polls, even when they show McCain ahead. They are being manipulated to make it look like an Obama surge.
Exactly, after the headlines of last week the public woke up and the world was still here, they still had their house, they still had their job. And so the financial market bounce recedes. And it is receding in a weekend poll.
I don’t care what it says, I don’t believe people will vote for a liar, who has no history, no accomplishments, and who’s credentials could have been produced at a printer.
D’oh. are=our
Teach me to type one-handed while nursing my baby! :-)
sorry...whose, not who’s...doh
Given the margin of error JM and Barry are tied. There needs to be at least a six point spread to have any meaning.
Kerry had the lead in only 7 polls from September 2nd onward.
Bush and Kerry were tied in 12 others.
Bush had the lead in 66 others.
See for yourself.
This doesn't mean we need to get discouraged. McCain is running better than Bush did in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida. Ohio and Florida look very good in fact. McCain does have problems in Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, and New Mexico all which Bush won.
McCain needs Virginia AND Colorado OR Pennsylvania OR Michigan.
We need to campaign like never before. A lot of people have drank the "lord barry" kool-aide.
Like I posted on another forum
1) Enthusiasm level after Palin Pick - Check
2) Base back in the fold and fired up - Check
3) Evangelicals fired up - Check
4) Independents and Moderates liking our ticket - Check
5) A candidate that has a bigger % of his own base voting the other party (PUMAs,Union voters who dont like the color of his skin) - Check
So how can the polls be at the same level as before the convention. Something doesnt pass the smell test and as DJ at wizbang postulated in the link above, logic dictates that McCain is up couple of points or more.
Obama’s going to lead in the polls until late on Nov 4th when he loses the election.
Double d’oh it was right the first time! Sleep deprivation=good times! Good times. *sigh* :-)
Three day tracking yesterday:
6 6 6 = 6 point lead
Three day tracking today:
6 6 0 = 4 point lead.
I think tracking last night was dead even.
You are right. Yesterday was the first time NoBama hit the magic 50% mark but Gallup warned that he might still be in trouble with his voters.
The new ads from McCain didnt start hitting till Thursday and McCain had a week off from going after the Empty One. So hopefully this will even the polls even though I have feeling right now, McCain is either tied or up by couple of points.
I agree and there’s this. No way Obama can recover from this.
Rasmussen: Monday, September 15, 2008
Nationally, 63% say that McCain is prepared to be President while 44% say the same about Obama.
Among voters not affiliated with either major political party, 71% say McCain is prepared for the Presidency while just 35% say the same about Obama.
666 seems quite appropriate
Thursday I predicted 0bama was near his peak, and any continuing climb would be just residual inertia still being factored into rolling averages.
McCain turned it around and stopped the bleeding when his campaign remembered they are Republicans running against Democrats, and decided to go after 0bama and his allies in Fannie and Freddie, instead of going after Wall Street and Bush.
This is nothing to worry about. We’re testing 0bama’s upper limit — which appears to still be under 50%. I find this quite comforting, because it shows us that McCain would have to really work at losing, and while he started out in the wrong direction, which is why he dropped in the polls, his campaign figured out how to recover and he’ll go into the final debate phase of the election with a much stronger, consistent economic message. The time you want him retooling his message is now, before the debates. The last thing we needed was him to say that the fundamentals of the economy are strong during a nationally televised debate! That would have been like Gerald Ford saying there was no Soviet domination of eastern Europe. So it’s good McCain’s campaign was forced to retool before then.
I cannot take these polls anymore. They give me an ulcer. LOL!
It boils down to two states.
If Obama loses Pennsylvania, he cannot win.
If McCain loses Ohio, he cannot win.
DEM = (40.4%-41.0%)
GOP = (32.2%-32.7%)
IND = (26.6%-27.1%)
Actual 3 day average:
Obama- 48.08%
McCain- 47.09%
Last night sample:
Obama- 48.58%
McCain- 46.46%
Last three days(most recent first):
Obama +2.12%
McCain +1.55%
Obama +2.69%
R's- McCain 85.81%- Obama 11.99%
D's- Obama 81.71%- McCain 13.74%
I's- McCain 47.26%- Obama 44.35%
Make of it what you will.
It’s shifted back some! We are getting traction again! Mac picked up a point and Zero dropped one.
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