Excellent news from New Hampshire!
Now, will other polls also reflect this?
Rasmussen is out with a poll today as well. Ditto ARG.
Race is closer.
I’m not surprised that Jeb Bradley is ahead of Shea-Porter, who’s a moonbat in a GOP-leaning district who only won due to the toxic atmosphere for Republicans in NH (not to say nationwide) in 2006. Republican turnout will be much higher in NH this November because (i) it’s a presidential year and (ii) John McCain is affirmatively popular in the state. Bradley is not exactly my favorite Republican, but his voting record was not *that* bad, and I hope he wins the nomination and takes down Shea-Porter.
The other district will be much harder to win back, since (i) it leans Democrat, (ii) the Democrat freshman, Paul Hodes, is far less liberal than Shea-Porter and wasn’t a fluke winner like she was and (iii) the longtime RINO incumbent that Hodes unseated in 2006, Charlie Bass, isn’t seeking the seat. We should run a good candidate in case lightning strikes, but our odds of winning there in 2008 are, unfortunately, quite low.
As for the Senate race, it will go to the wire just as in 2002, and like in 2002, my money is on John Sununu, Jr. McCain is going to carry NH in November, and I think Sununu will use that wind on his back to get to 50%.
Shea-Porter is also trailing in her rematch against Jeb Bradley, so that’s a seat we should retake (although Bradley is no prize). The Hodes seat is not as likely to return to us since Bass isn’t running again.