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BIG Earthquake in Japan Just Now! Predicted in Advance by Two Minutes (Live)
Japanese news; direct experience ^ | 14 June 2008 | AmericanInTokyo

Posted on 06/13/2008 4:58:12 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo

We just had a very strong earthquake which fiercely rocked and rolled the main Island of Honshu in Japan.

TV broke with news on all channels IN ADVANCE OF EARTHQUAKE, warning people to "get ready". 8:43 a.m. local time Saturday (just about 10 minutes ago). 7:43 p.m. Friday Eastern Time.

Then, sure enough, the long, rolling shaking began, and increased in intensity. I estimate the shaking to have gone on for at least 45 seconds. It hit here at 8:45 a.m. It literally gave us 2 minutes to prepare. I have never experienced an advance earthquake warning.

The epicenter is considerably far from Tokyo, way up in northwest Japan. So I am sure there is little or no damage in Tokyo, but I can imagine damage and/or loss of life near the epicenter. It may well have been a 7.5. We will see.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Japan; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: artbellmyass; breaking; callingartbell; catastrophism; disaster; earthquake; excellentreport; freeperinjapan; iwate; japan; jisshin; morioka; prediction; technology
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Incredible experience. Good job, Japanese earthquake predictive technology and national TV networks.

Knowing it is coming perhaps makes the feelings more intense, with the sentiment of anticipation setting in.

1 posted on 06/13/2008 4:58:13 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Hope you and yours are OK AIT..


2 posted on 06/13/2008 4:59:29 PM PDT by Tennessee Nana
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To: AmericanInTokyo
At least you had time to put the Limoge down . . . < g >

Glad you're o.k.

3 posted on 06/13/2008 4:59:38 PM PDT by AnAmericanMother (Ministrix of Ye Chase, TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary (recess appointment))
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To: AmericanInTokyo

do you know where in NW Japan? My daughter lived for 2 years in Tajima in Fukushima Prefecture, and has several friends who are still there.


4 posted on 06/13/2008 5:00:18 PM PDT by EDINVA (Proud American for 23,062 days.... and counting!)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

They have been testing this system in California... basically because the sensors can alert a network faster than the waves move through the earth.... I am glad to see it work in Japan......In CA it will probably never work, due to different entities involved.


5 posted on 06/13/2008 5:02:15 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Wow. Stay frosty for any aftershocks.


6 posted on 06/13/2008 5:02:22 PM PDT by TheWasteLand
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To: AmericanInTokyo
From my three years in Japan I was amazed how they had act together when it came to earthquake...

Hope everything is alright...


7 posted on 06/13/2008 5:03:00 PM PDT by darkwing104 (Lets get dangerous)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

6.9


8 posted on 06/13/2008 5:03:28 PM PDT by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurtureĀ™)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
6.9 prelim magnitude
9 posted on 06/13/2008 5:03:33 PM PDT by Crazieman (Vote Juan McAmnesty in 2008! Because freedom abroad is more important than freedom at home!)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

WOW!!!! Glad you are ok!!!!


10 posted on 06/13/2008 5:03:45 PM PDT by BossLady ("People will do anything, no matter how absurd, in order to avoid facing their own soul" - Carl Jung)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Prayers up for ya dude, and thanks for the update!!
11 posted on 06/13/2008 5:03:46 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

USGS website indicates it was a 6.9..


12 posted on 06/13/2008 5:04:06 PM PDT by stefanbatory
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Now reporting 6.9


13 posted on 06/13/2008 5:04:06 PM PDT by dragnet2
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To: Tennessee Nana

Magnitude SEVEN plus


14 posted on 06/13/2008 5:04:34 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: BurbankKarl

6.9
Date-Time Friday, June 13, 2008 at 23:43:46 UTC
Saturday, June 14, 2008 at 08:43:46 AM at epicenter

Location 39.106°N, 140.608°E
Depth 10.3 km (6.4 miles) (poorly constrained)
Region EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances 82 km (51 miles) SW (214°) from Morioka, Honshu, Japan
83 km (52 miles) SSE (147°) from Akita, Honshu, Japan
98 km (61 miles) NNW (346°) from Sendai, Honshu, Japan
390 km (242 miles) N (11°) from TOKYO, Japan


15 posted on 06/13/2008 5:05:08 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Hope you and yours are all okay.


16 posted on 06/13/2008 5:05:20 PM PDT by ContraryMary (New Jersey -- Superfund cleanup capital of the U.S.A.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo; Lijahsbubbe

Felt it here, about 30 mi SW of Tokyo. Didn’t pay it much mind - figured it was one of the usual 5.0 +/- just off the coast. Yikes.


17 posted on 06/13/2008 5:05:20 PM PDT by Ezekiel
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To: A message; AVNevis; Awestruck; Bennett46; bert; Beth; Betis70; bevlar; BIGLOOK; birbear; bkwells; ..


Earthquake Ping List. If you would like to have your name
added to this list or removed from it, please FReepmail me.


18 posted on 06/13/2008 5:05:32 PM PDT by bd476
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To: AmericanInTokyo
TV broke with news on all channels IN ADVANCE OF EARTHQUAKE, warning people to "get ready".

How much advance?

19 posted on 06/13/2008 5:06:17 PM PDT by dragnet2
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To: AmericanInTokyo; bd476

2 min predicted prior to Japan just happened now.....

EARTHQUAKE PING!


20 posted on 06/13/2008 5:07:06 PM PDT by Global2010 (OKIE DOKIE)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

It literally gave us 2 minutes to prepare.

Got it.


21 posted on 06/13/2008 5:07:45 PM PDT by dragnet2
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To: EDINVA
Earthquake center was in Iwate Prefecture (in Northwest Japan), but Fukushima (Prefecture) no doubt felt it. Depth was 10 kilometers. TV/Radio is naming off the villages effected. No fears of Tsunami waves. Buildings shook in Morioka City (NHK TV is replaying video). No reports of injuries yet. However, lots of phones down and I am sure cell phone system is stressed.

Geographically, this area in Northwest Honshu to Tokyo would be like Seattle to San Francisco, in distance.

My only concern is if any nuke plants around in that area. I dont know of any though.

Now the aftershocks are starting up there.

22 posted on 06/13/2008 5:09:23 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: EDINVA

Earthquake Details

Magnitude 6.9
Date-Time
Location 39.106°N, 140.608°E
Depth 10.3 km (6.4 miles) (poorly constrained)
Region EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances 80 km (50 miles) SW of Morioka, Honshu, Japan
85 km (50 miles) SSE of Akita, Honshu, Japan
100 km (60 miles) NNW of Sendai, Honshu, Japan
390 km (240 miles) N of TOKYO, Japan
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 10.3 km (6.4 miles); depth +/- 42.2 km (26.2 miles)
Parameters NST= 63, Nph= 63, Dmin=354.5 km, Rmss=1.19 sec, Gp= 47°,
M-type=moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
Source
  • USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID us2008tfdp

Link

23 posted on 06/13/2008 5:09:51 PM PDT by Syncro
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To: AmericanInTokyo

They predicted the quake?

Just Wow!


24 posted on 06/13/2008 5:10:33 PM PDT by fanfan ("We don't start fights my friends, but we finish them, and never leave until our work is done."PMSH)
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To: bd476

Thanks for the ping.


25 posted on 06/13/2008 5:12:12 PM PDT by fanfan ("We don't start fights my friends, but we finish them, and never leave until our work is done."PMSH)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Prayers going up for Japan and all those effected by the earthquake in the Name of the Lord Jesus Christ.


26 posted on 06/13/2008 5:12:36 PM PDT by shineon
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Thanks for the info. I will pass the info along to my daughter, who’s traveling and doesn’t pay attention to news when she’s on the road. Unlike a certain former presidential candidate, she spent Christmas in Cambodia in ‘04 and didn’t hear about the tsunami for a day or two!

Glad you’re ok ... the thought of a quake hitting Tokyo is too difficult to think about.


27 posted on 06/13/2008 5:12:50 PM PDT by EDINVA (Proud American for 23,062 days.... and counting!)
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To: dragnet2
“It literally gave us 2 minutes to prepare.”

Give us an idea what you did in those two minutes. Fascinating...

28 posted on 06/13/2008 5:13:16 PM PDT by ryan71 (Typical bitter white gun toter)
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To: Global2010
Maybe 2 to 2.5 minutes advance notice. Of course, the shock waves would also take some time to travel from Northwest Honshu down towards Tokyo. We had chandeliers (no, were are NOT that rich!) swaying, and a mirror swaying. It was one of those earthquakes that turn from mildly "interesting" to "dammit, when WILL this thing STOP?!". Not fun.
29 posted on 06/13/2008 5:14:41 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: dragnet2
X marks the spot!


30 posted on 06/13/2008 5:18:19 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Watch out for a second one.

Be well.


31 posted on 06/13/2008 5:19:22 PM PDT by MindBender26 (Leftists stop arguing when they see your patriotism, your logic, your CAR-15 and your block of C4.)
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To: AmericanInTokyo; kristinn

Wow!

Did the warning and the instant posting on FR scoop the American media?

I wouldn’t be surprised.


32 posted on 06/13/2008 5:21:17 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain -- Those denying the War was Necessary Do NOT Support the Troops!)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

You sure it wasnt 48.5 seconds?


33 posted on 06/13/2008 5:22:29 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: AmericanInTokyo
UNR helicorder:


34 posted on 06/13/2008 5:22:37 PM PDT by steveo (Time flies like an arrow, fruit flies like a banana.)
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To: xzins

of course it did


35 posted on 06/13/2008 5:23:02 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: BurbankKarl

36 posted on 06/13/2008 5:23:45 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: AmericanInTokyo
AmericanInTokyo, thank you for your first person report. Please be sure to visit the USGS site and log your reactions, what you felt, your estimated time for the shaking, anything moved, etc.

51 miles SW of Morioka, Honshu, Japan
JUN 13 2008 23:43:46 GMT

Did you feel it? Report it here


37 posted on 06/13/2008 5:24:14 PM PDT by bd476
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Congrats on your EWS! Hope the damage is minimal.


38 posted on 06/13/2008 5:24:51 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: BurbankKarl

damage reports now coming in. people trapped under homes. and now it starts. sad.


39 posted on 06/13/2008 5:25:05 PM PDT by AmericanInTokyo ("President-elect" McCain Will Announce His Cabinet Bit-by-Bit To The Disbelieving Groans of FREEPERS)
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To: fanfan
They predicted the quake?

From what I understand they didn't predict it. They detected it in the north and sent the warning south. From http://nemo.sciencecourseware.org/VirtualEarthquake/VQuakeExecute.html: The speed of an earthquake wave is not constant but varies with many factors. Speed changes mostly with depth and rock type. P waves travel between 6 and 13 km/sec. S waves are slower and travel between 3.5 and 7.5 km/sec.

So 120 seconds warning for an earthquake 720 to 1560 km away. Maybe a shorter distance/longer time if the S waves are the stronger ones.

40 posted on 06/13/2008 5:25:11 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (the Clinton dream of being a two impeachment family goes right down the drain. - Letterman)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
It literally gave us 2 minutes to prepare. I have never experienced an advance earthquake warning.

It's jsut a trick with time zones. ;)

41 posted on 06/13/2008 5:25:21 PM PDT by Fundamentally Fair (3/5 > 1/2)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
Prayers extended for all in this earthquake.

42 posted on 06/13/2008 5:26:09 PM PDT by bd476
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Not the best way to start out your Saturday morning aye.

Just puts ya on edge all day anticipating aftershocks.

Be safe.

From the other side of the Ring of Fire. Global


43 posted on 06/13/2008 5:26:45 PM PDT by Global2010 (OKIE DOKIE)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Even without prediction a lot could be done. The “Ash Wednesday” earthquake here probably took a minute or more to reach us. With a net of sensors and some means to immediately notify the populace around the region, lives could be saved.


44 posted on 06/13/2008 5:27:27 PM PDT by sionnsar (trad-anglican.faithweb.com |Iran Azadi| 5yst3m 0wn3d - it's N0t Y0ur5 (SONY) | UN: Useless Nations)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,298755,00.html

TOKYO — Scientifically, it’s almost a sure thing — Tokyo is awaiting a catastrophic earthquake. In fact, it’s long overdue.

And when it does hit, officials say, there is one other thing that is a near certainty — hundreds of thousands of people will be in need of shelter that the government will not be able to provide. Studies show as many as 3 million will be homeless, some 600,000 more than shelters can now handle.

But with little space for new facilities, the city is hoping to cut down those numbers — and the number of deaths and injuries — by providing residents with the world’s first wide-scale earthquake alert system, which became operational on Monday.

The city is hoping that, with its extremely high population density and little space available to build new shelters, giving residents more information and even a slight heads up will cut down on confusion, mitigate the secondary damage caused by fires and encourage them to plan ahead for how to cope and where to go.

The new warning system uses data provided by the Meteorological Agency, which maintains an intricate network of sensors deep underground nationwide that estimate the intensity of a quake as soon as the ground ruptures.

The system works by detecting primary waves, which spread from the epicenter of a quake and travel faster than the destructive shear waves.

When primary waves of a certain intensity are detected, the alarms are set off as much as 30 seconds ahead of the shear waves.

Public broadcaster NHK will relay the warning almost instantaneously to its television and radio audience.

The alert system was launched at 9 a.m. Monday at the Japan Meteorological Agency, said Akiko Takahashi, an agency spokeswoman. Transport Ministers Tetsuzo Fuyushiba attended a ceremony at the agency, where he turned on the switch to launch the system.

The alert will be broadcast on NHK’s television and radio, as well as major network TV stations in Tokyo, she said. So far there have been no troubles reported, Takahashi said.


45 posted on 06/13/2008 5:28:03 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Pretty neat, AIT.

FoxNews will be signing you up shortly.

(Forget the earthquake warnings....Your political commentary would make it worth their money. :>)


46 posted on 06/13/2008 5:29:20 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain -- Those denying the War was Necessary Do NOT Support the Troops!)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Glad you’re OK AIT! How to scoop the media!


47 posted on 06/13/2008 5:31:26 PM PDT by Man50D (Fair Tax, you earn it, you keep it!)
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To: ryan71; AmericanInTokyo
Give us an idea what you did in those two minutes. Fascinating...

Lot's of negotiating, I'm sure! Stay safe, AIT, I love your comments.

48 posted on 06/13/2008 5:35:17 PM PDT by Free State Four
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To: SevenofNine

Godzilla on a Pogo Stick?


49 posted on 06/13/2008 5:35:41 PM PDT by SandRat (Duty, Honor, Country! What else needs said?)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

Glad you are OK. Prayers for anyone who may be needing them at this time...

Pretty amazing that you all had advance warning - even if it was just 2 minutes!


50 posted on 06/13/2008 5:35:48 PM PDT by LibertyRocks (The LibertyRocks Blog - http://libertyrocks.wordpress.com & http://www.LibertyRocks.us)
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