Posted on 06/02/2008 8:38:59 AM PDT by wsjreader
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Connecticut finds Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. Given that choice, 4% would opt for some other candidate while 5% are not sure.
In early March, Obama led McCain by twelve percentage points. However, that poll was conducted before Obamas controversial former pastor, Jeremiah Wright, became part of the campaign dialogue. Currently, Obama is viewed favorably by 57% of Connecticut voters. That rating is down ten percentage points since March.
McCain is viewed favorably by 54%, down four points from the previous survey.
In Connecticut, Obama leads among voters under 50 while McCain has the edge among older voters. McCain is supported by 77% of Republicans and has a five-point advantage over Obama among unaffiliated voters. Obama leads 67% to 21% among Democrats. Twelve percent (12%) of Democrats say they would vote for a third-candidate or are currently undecided.
McCain leads among voters who earn $40,000 to $75,000 annually. Obama leads among those who earn less than $40,000 a year and among those who earn more than $75,000.
Rasmussen Markets data shows that Democrats are currently given a 93.0% chance of winning Connecticuts seven Electoral College votes. Democrats have won the state in four consecutive elections, the last three by double digits. Prior to that, the state voted for the GOP in five straight elections from 1972 to 1988. With release of this poll, Connecticut shifts from Safely Democratic to Likely Democratic in the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power calculator.
Are we surprised?..............
Although CT isn't quite as "blue" as the rest of New England you'd expect Osama to have a wider lead than he seems to have.
These results are why I’m afraid that McCain will pick Joe Lieberman to be his running mate. Joe would pull Connecticut to McCain along with New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and possibly Maryland.
At this point in time, polls are nearly worthless.............
exactly...wait for the tape
Not to the poll takers. They put these things out one a week for months on end. Every one of them is a payday for the taker. Somebody's gotta be buying them too-even though they are worthless.
What would Britt Hume and the rest of the talking heads talk about if they couldn't pretend that this stuff was important?
Nam Vet
Fauxbama will not even be close nationally if he is the democratic candidate.
While he will not lose the electoral college as badly as McGovern and Mondale.. he will lose the popular vote by an equivalent margin. He’ll be lucky if he sees 40% of the popular vote.
Add the bradley factor and all the crap we will have on barack curious george mcgovern, then mix in lieberman’s working for his revenge and McCain walks away with the Nutmeg State by at least 55/45. That will help nail down all of New England except the socialist state of vermont, which would vote for fidel for president.
It’s time for all conservatives to jump the boat and vote for Bob Barr. Nuff said.
A lot closer than I expected!
The big question is -- do libs lie to an automated pollster as much as they do to a live pollster?
The big question is — do libs lie? YES they do.
The Bradley effect is likely, IMO, very significant in CT. I call Ct for McCain, FWIW.
This may soak up some of those excess campaign dollars that Bamer has.
I wonder what percentage of people lied when saying that they would vote for Obama.
Many white democrats won’t vote for a black guy. Some will at the last minute, stay home or vote for McCain.
McCain can win CT w/o Lieberman on the ticket.
Nuff said.
Nuff said.
Bob Barr is not a candidate. Bob Barr is merely a prretender.
A vote for Bob Baqrr is a cop out and admission the voter can’t handle a difficult decicion.
There will be two candidates and the difficult decision must be made between the two.
Third party or no vote is a cop out
People in New England are very culturally conservative even though they’re not fiscally and socially conservative. A rich elitist like Obama will not fly in New England, especially when he has connections to racist preachers.
The only reason why he’s even so close is because there are a lot of Reagan style yellow dog Democrats in those states that would vote Obama no matter what, since he’s a Democrat.
If people voted their consciences instead of a party in New England, the entire area would look redder than the disposal drain behind a blood bank.
Osama Hussein Obama’s Muslim and radical ties, much less his Chicago mob ties, haven’t been made completely public yet. IMO, Liberals believing that a Muslim Leftist Radical will be accepted and adored throughout America can be attributed to their smoking dope for way too many years.
LOL, best laugh I have had all week!
Now this I didn’t expect.
For the last two elections, we have been dominated by the red state/blue state, urban/rural breakdown. But with both parties nominating candidates not supported by their establishments, the electoral map could take on unexpected forms.
Of course, the only downside is that CT has a paltry 5 electoral votes. I made a prediction on another site that McCain had an outside shot at CT, barring a total disaster for him (and I never put that past him, especially on his potential VP pick).
“WOW! I’m surprise McWIMP is going well there!”
No surprise. He’s liberal enough to do quite well in blue states.
A choice between McFraud and Fauxbama is not a choice at all. It is a growing threat to the Republic.
Unlike the rest of the Northeast, CT has shown a willing to elect Republicans to high office (Rowlands and Rell). Rell has high approval ratings. You don’t see a lot of Republican governors with decent approval ratings these days. If CT stays close, could we hear debates of Lieberman or Rell as Veep for McCain?
CT is all-white isn’t it? Bodes well for states like Iowa and NH.
I’d be surprised though if the map was much different.
The fact you try hard to shove under the rug, out of sight out of mind, is that the hard choice must be made if you are to participate in the Presidential election process.
Failure to make the difficult choice is copping out.
I STRONGLY encourage all true Reagan Conservatives to stop being used by the blue-blooded Rockefeller country-club snob-assed Republicans and take our money, our time, our prayers and our energy to a party that does not continually insult us, and keep us in the basement and act like they are ashamed of us. McCain is a dissaster for the Republican party that has already happened. IT's over. The Republican Party is now the 3rd party that will soon be swallowed up by History. DRILL HERE, DRILL NOW, BURN COAL, SPLIT THE ATOM, F*CK OPEC.
I reiterate;
“A choice between McFraud and Fauxbama is not a choice at all. It is a growing threat to the Republic.”
It’s like the hit man asking you “where do you want the bullet, head or chest?”
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