from http://www.csom.org/pubs/recidsexof.html
Let me find the Fed stats or link to back that up as well...
Posted on 05/13/2008 9:18:24 AM PDT by Clint Williams
Stumbled over this chart last weekend. I checked the numbers and... he's right. There are approximately 6 sex-offense arrests of "non-sex offenders" for every sex-offense arrest of a sex offender.
Another table on the same page shows that there are approximately 5 child-sex-offense arrests of "non-sex offenders" for every sex-offense arrest of a child molesters.
Perhaps the Megan's Law registries need to be expanded...?
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Interesting Stats. Now factor in that 1 person in 10 is in prison according to some stats last month, say 1 in 15 people are convicts.
Interesting. I wonder what the numbers have done over the past decade and whether the lower numbers of reoffending sex offenders has gotten lower due to the fact that they’re watched more closely than in the past.
Maybe it’s just a temporary adjustment as the porn-addicted begin their life of crime.
We’ve only had such ready access to porn since everyone started using the internet. Until recently, porn-users were considered by our culture as the same as sex-criminals.
Maybe this is the next phase.
One of them numbers anyways.
It turns out the Washington State Institute for Public Policy did a study on this very point. End result: it’s possible.
http://www.wsipp.wa.gov/rptfiles/05-12-1202.pdf
If so, there could be a lot to gain, in terms of reduced crimes and fewer victims, by expanding the registry.
Speaking of child molesters, I would argue that they are watched more closely in the first 3 years than in previous times, but once you get past that 3 year mark the recidivism rate rise dramatically according to the fed statistics. And all you need is one repeat offense by some child molester to destroy a life. The risk is just to great.
There is no rehabilitation for these monsters. Leftists (I'm not speaking about anyone on this thread) use the 3 year statistic as their argument that these animals can be rehabilitated, let out of prison and their recidivism rate is low but they never seem to mention the recidivism after 5,10,15,20 years. Like I said earlier, once one of these monsters falls off the wagon it is devastating.
In your universe, rape and such did not exist prior to the first edition of Playboy Magazine?
I don’t like the idea of putting non sex offenders on a sex offender registry but maybe it wouldn’t be such a bad idea to put them on another sort of list accessible to the public.
Bookmark
A table showing Americans’ obsession with sex crimes real and (mostly) imagined would be an interesting thing to see.
Do you have the data to back that up? I can’t seem to find it.
I will find if for you. Give me a little bit to dig it up.
What are you so touchy about, LOL.
from http://www.csom.org/pubs/recidsexof.html
Let me find the Fed stats or link to back that up as well...
What I see from that chart is that non-sex offenders outnumber sex offenders by about 27 to 1, and that any given sex offender is about 4 times more likely to be arrested for a subsequent offense as any given non-sex offender. Not shown is how the total number of sex offense arrests and convictions compare to the numbers for ex-con sex and non-sex offenders.
Are you arguing that on the basis that 1.3% of non-sex offender ex-cons go on to be arrested, and .83% to be convicted of a subsequent sex offense (let’s call it about 1 in 100 for argument’s sake), that all ex-cons should go on the sex offenders rolls? I’d guess that this would both water down the registries with those who haven’t, and aren’t likely to commit sex crimes, as well as expanding the rolls so greatly as to make management of them very much more difficult. It seems to me that any benefits of this would be outweighed by the negative consequences.
Is the public really safer if we say "worry about this group" but "ignore this group that commits 6x more rapes"?
They have these things called "computers" that can do all sorts of marvelous stuff. ;-) My cellphone service keeps track of millions and millions of customers without difficulty.
felonspy.com is one such site
I wonder why this is? It would seem that the opposite were true. I wonder if anyone has investigated the why of this statistic.
Aberrant sex drives always existed,
it’s just that the current access to porn turbocharges the acceleration towards acting on those drives.
In South Africa One in three of the 4,000 women questioned by CIET Africa, non-governmental organisation, said they had been raped in the past year. Can you seriously assert that rapists in South Africa rape because they have a higher degree of access to porn than Americans? I doubt that any significant percentage of South Africa's violent rapists have access to printed porn, much less high speed Internet access
My point is that forcible rape is a violent crime, and the typical forcible rapist has a history of other violent crimes. He doesn't rape because he's watched too much porn, but because he's used to getting what he wants through violence
Pornography can reach out and snatch a kid out of any house today. - Ted Bundy
You seriously think that Ted Bundy would have grown up to be a normal and well adjusted member of society if he had not any access to porn?
Pornography treats people as mere objects to be used for our own selfish gratification. Pornography also destroys the meaning of true love. The Bible is clear: “But among you there must not be even a hint of sexual immorality, or of any kind of impurity” (Ephesians 5:3).
Never forget that what goes on in our minds eventually influences the way we act. Jesus warned, “I tell you that anyone who looks at a woman lustfully has already committed adultery with her in his heart” (Matthew 5:28).
Make it your goal to keep your mind pure, as well as your
body.
- Billy Graham
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