Posted on 05/12/2008 10:56:37 PM PDT by Red Steel
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in North Carolina found that the race for Governor remains close as neither candidate attracts the 50% level of support following Primary victories last week. Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) has a 45% to 39% edge over Lt. Governor Bev Perdue (D) while Libertarian candidate Michael Munger earns support from 4% of North Carolina voters.
In March, Perdue had a three-point lead over the Republican.
McCrory is viewed favorably by 56% and unfavorably by 29%. Perdue’s ratings are 50% favorable, 41% unfavorable. Munger is less known, earning favorable ratings from 24%, unfavorable ratings from 35% and 41% who are not sure.
In North Carolina’s Presidential race, John McCain holds a modest lead over Barack Obama.
The U.S. Senate race in the state is surprisingly close with Kay Hagan (D) at 48% and Elizabeth Dole at 47%.
Thirty-eight percent (38%) of voters say that Governor Mike Easley (D) is doing a good or an excellent job while 24% say he is doing a poor job.
Rasmussen Markets data currently shows that Perdue is given a 56.5 % chance of winning the election in November while McCrory is given a 60.0 % chance. These figures are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants.
See survey questions and toplines. Crosstabs available for Premium Members only.
McCrory will win on the basis of the favorables/unfavorables alone.
But will McCain be an anchor dragging down Republicans in the fall?
Excellent. We need some gains. We hemorrhaged state offices in 06. NC hasn’t had a GOP Guv in while.
We shall see, though some of these races and candidacies will run separate and apart from McCain, regardless of how that goes. It’s been 20 years since NC last elected a GOP Governor. McCrory’s a bit too RINO for my tastes, but the Dems are going to have a hard time painting him into a corner (many are panic-stricken that they will lose the race).
One thing that seems to hold true in these contests, disregarding head to head % matchups, is that you have to keep your eye on the disapproval ratings. If one candidate’s is substantially higher than the other (by 10% or more), I don’t care what the race is, they lose. I was watching the Hastert open seat contest and didn’t see the approve/disapprove numbers for the candidates until days before the election. I initially said the Republican would win... until I saw his disapproval rating was just below 50% and way higher than the Dem’s. I knew then we had lost the race... and we did.
But being the former mayor of Charlotte, doesn’t that mean McCrory has an uphill fight east of I-95 in good-ol’-boy territory, even though he’s an R?
}:-)4
He’s still the Mayor of Charlotte.
“But will McCain be an anchor dragging down Republicans in the fall?”
Possibly but McCrory has a real shot at winning in November. Mayor Pat needs to stay FAR away from McCain...
That’s worse. :) I’ll admit to not knowing much about the guy, except from one interview on a sports station once where he was a total ass. Is he a RINO or does he actually have some conservative principles?
}:-)4
“In North Carolina’s Presidential race, John McCain holds a modest lead over Barack Obama.
The U.S. Senate race in the state is surprisingly close with Kay Hagan (D) at 48% and Elizabeth Dole at 47%.”
This was the race in NC that McCain had such a fit over its ad, asked them to remove it, and Republicans there told him to shove it?
Cool.
He doesn’t seem like a RINO to me although he wasn’t the more moderate candidate in the primary.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.