Posted on 05/11/2008 6:29:00 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
The latest Rasmussen Reports poll in Michigan shows McCain attracting 45% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 44%. Six percent (6%) say they would vote for a third-party candidate and 5% remain undecided. Those results are similar to a late-March survey that also showed McCain with a statistically insignificant one-point advantage. In February, McCain had a three-point lead.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
This is a strong showing for McCain in a state that hasn’t supported a Republican Presidential contender since 1988. A lot of blue-leaning states are showing similar trends.
Pretty impressive, I think. If I were a Democrat, I’d be worried about this.
You got that right, my friend - that’s about the margin Juan would beat him in MI November, by 10-15 percent.
Meaningless polls. even though more people are paying attention earlier, expect Obama to surge ahead in many battle ground states until the GOP convention. If McCain doesn’t go after Obama, he will win convincingly. If he does, then McCain will sweep most of the upper midwest and turn it into an electoral rout.
No way McCain can win MI. The money will be flowing in inner city Detroit and voters will be shuttled from polling place to polling place to vote multiple times. The GOP plays by the rules while the Dems will pull any stunt to win.
If he takes NJ, the race is going to be over early in the evening.
Not good. Obama is very close and will overtake McCain by the time the general rolls around. We have to keep in mind that the RATs have not yet settled.
McCain will blow this before you know it.
McCain didn’t win Michigan in the primaries. I would be very skeptical of any result this early.
I will not vote for McCain unless Romney is the VP. Otherwise, I will stay home or vote for Ron Paul or maybe Bob Barr.
Polls today are quite useless except, if Michigan is that close, it shows how weak any Obama ticket really is.
This is a strong showing for McCain in a state that hasn’t supported a Republican Presidential contender since 1988. A lot of blue-leaning states are showing similar trends.
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If McCain campaigns well, this should be another “McGovern-style defeat” for the America-hating socialist, Osama Hussein Obama....
Even more reason to put Romney on the ticket.
No it doesn't. The Muslim population is 3% or less.
Mc DumdA$$ loses by 10 % IMHO.
You can double your voting power by voting for Obama instead of a 3rd party. Simple math. Seems like the obvious thing to do if you want McCain to lose.
Remember that Obama usually polls about 10 points more than the actual votes he has been getting in the primary.
Here is some more cheerful news.
Tempting, but I cannot vote for Obama for most of the same reasons I cannot vote for Dole.
So you'll let the COUNTRY drift LEFTWARD when OBAMA appoints justices. Thank you, McCain is not my first choice, but at least he'll appoint JUSTICES that will UPHELD the CONSITUTION, not make laws. I want Michael Steele to be McCain's VP!
Most of Michigan's white democrats are social moderate to conservative. They are economic liberals. Outside of college campuses and the inner city, Obama will not play well here. He will not do well in democrat base areas with city names like Warren, Bay City, Trenton, Wyandotte, Burton, Alpena, Clio, Ironwood, Jackson City, Westland, Redford, and Flat Rock. He'll also have trouble with many democrats in blue collar Republican leaning areas and swing areas. I don't see Obama getting many votes in Port Huron, Battle Creek, Charlotte, the white areas of Saginaw - or anywhere north of Mount Pleasant. I'm not even sure he'd play well in white liberal areas of Oakland County (Bradley effect).
The combination of his race and persona are major weakness here. Blacks will vote for a white democrat, but not vice versa except for one secretary of state office. The black percentage here is fairly high, around 15%, but you need about 43% of the white vote to win here, and I'm not sure that is going to happen here as many of the democrats are senior union members. This goes back to Coleman Young.
Obama could get OHIO....possibly PA...depending on his VP choice. (think Ted Strickland)
Despite the heightened interest in this political season among those of us who are political junkies, the majority of likely voters in “the General” aren’t thinking much about November and won’t until days before the election. Until then, these types of polls are little more than name recognition exercises.
You’ll take obama unless you can get the mormon in somehow, eh?
I’m inclined to think he’ll select Jim Webb from VA.
excellent point
McCain must be stealing the election before it happens. /2001
Michigan now requires a picture ID card to vote. If there are enough Republican poll watchers in Detroit, that will quell a lot of fraud.
I think that Hillary stood a much better chance in this state than Obama - partly because she (however hypocritically) supports their votes being allowed to count and also because of the racial problems. Michigan is being confronted with their own Reverend Wright-styled politician in the Mayor of Detroit.
It’s quite possible that Mitt Romney, of all people, could help Senator McCain do well in Michigan, too. Because don’t forget that, in spite of the fact that Michigan has leaned Dem in recent years, it was only 51%-48% for Kerry over President Bush in 2004 and 51%-47% for Gore over Bush in 2000. It’s a tight state - just like Pennsylvania - and Democratic mismanagement in the state (very weak 2-term governor) have proven that the GOP isn’t any worse than the Dems.
Ridiculous position. So you're stay home even if McCain's running mate is another Mormon and to the right of Governor Romney? Conservative Utahs like Jon Huntsman, Rob Bishop for V.P., you'll stay home? Stalwart conservative officials like Duncan Hunter, Tom Tancredo, Mike Pence, J.C. Watts, Sarah Palin, Sonny Perdue, Haley Barbor, Mark Sanford, none of them are good enough? McCain could even hand pick the highest ranking Mormon official in the nation, Thomas S. Monson, to be a heartbeat away from the Presidency, and you wouldn't support him over a socialist RAT?
Out of the millions of Conservative Republicans in the country, ONLY the guy YOU personally voted in the primary is an acceptable running mate?
Incredible. Good thing we didn't have people like you around during the Reagan revolution. Walter Mondale would have probably won the election.
If there's a whole host of Mitt Romney voters out there like you, I take back everything I said about the Fred Thompson voters being more arrogant than Romney supporters. At least I haven't seen many of them proclaim that the Almighty Fred Thompson is the ONLY acceptable running mate on the planet.
While I’m not a McCain fan, I’m gonna go out on a limb here and predict that Obama will lose to McCain in a near landslide.
Huh? IIRC Obama has said that he will support putting additional taxes on US industries and businesses, which are already the most heavily taxed in the world. And since he is promising to promote a very expensive social agenda I believe that he means what he says about raising taxes.
Maybe I'm naive or just don't know enough about investing and investors to understand what is going on here, but I can't see how raising taxes on American businesses' profits can be good for investors unless they are invested in foreign businesses that directly compete with similar American companies. If I am not understanding this properly maybe someone who does understand will enlighten me.
That's a pretty big if. He will need to ruffle Ted Kennedy's feathers in order to do that.
The Obamamessiah is already to be the False Prophet of the Liberal Nutroots.
And it’s too late to do anything about it, now.
Ain’t Karma a bitch?
Obama is a taller Dukakis.
FYI
I wish I could be sure of that. It would make voting for him more tolerable, but the fact is that I'm not sure at all. I have said many times that I won't vote for McCain, but as an Obama presidency seems more and more likely I am re-thinking my position.
I still believe that something has to be done to bring the GOP to it's senses unless we are satisfied to nominate more RINOs and lose more elections from now on, but the cost of losing this election may be too high for whatever good it might do for the resurrection and restoration of the conservative wing of the party.
That’s a pretty big if. He will need to ruffle Ted Kennedy’s feathers in order to do that.
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Yes, true. But anything ruffles Teddy’s socialist, mobster mindset that in any way represents something pro-Constitutional or pro-American...he is the shining example of why we need term limits. It would not surprise me to find out the Kennedys are still selling boot leg liquor to beat the federal taxes....
I used to think that way too. No more.
There is no way that I would let a Marxist like Obama get elected without giving my vote to his opponent. I'm no McCain fan but I'm going to vote for him in November.
Two liberals on the republican ticket? No thanks, it would be a deal killer for me.
She never dreamed ANY whites would vote for him....which is what she is so indiscreetly saying now.
Lose the nomination to a BLACK man...What are the chances.
What she still doesn't realize is that a lot of votes for Obama are anti-Hillary votes.
That is your right. I cannot sink that low. McCain will cause more damage than Obama. McCain would have little or no opposition. With Obama, there is at least a chance that some Republicans will oppose him.
You’ll see lots of polls likee this in the next few days...They’ll be from Hillary’s camp to try to convince Obama he needs her on the ticket. Just watch.
And how about Supreme Court Justices..are you willing to sacrifice that? I hope you come to your senses before November.
McCain will make no better choices than Obama. He has a history quite to the contrary. Those that think that judges give them a reason to vote for this man are fooling themselves.
I’m willing to take that chance...I’m sorry you aren’t. It’s unfathomable to me how anyone can think a Vietnam war hero, a man who campaigned vigorously for GW Bush in 2000 and 2004, who is pro-life and who understand that Islam is our enemy is no better than Barack Hussein Obama. Unfathomable.
No way Mr. McCain wins Michigan.
A poll in 2006 had the commie governor Granholm at 43% before the election, with the highest unemployment in the nation and quarter after quarter of negative growth.
The commie was re-elected with 57% of the vote.
There is no way, shape, manner or form any republican takes Michigan. Hundreds of thousands of working, productive citizens have left this liberal hellhole. Productive people tend to vote against liberalism.
The number of people - welfare, bureaucrats, retirees - on some form of government largess dominates this putrid socialist/welfare state.
That is the way I see it. I don’t see these polls meaning anything yet anyway.
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