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Why Barack Obama may stumble if the House of Clinton falls.
Times Online (London) ^ | 10 May 2008 | Tim Reid

Posted on 05/10/2008 11:55:54 PM PDT by lowbuck

Bill Clinton stands on a small stage in this tiny town, torrential rain beating on the rooftop, his all-white crowd of coalminers, schoolteachers and union members cheering him on. “Don’t let them tell you she can’t win this thing,” he hollers, his voice hoarse after another day of campaigning. “I’m telling you, she can win this thing, because of people like you, and places like this.”

There is huge affection for Mr Clinton in West Virginia, where his wife faces her next primary contest with Barack Obama on Tuesday. The former First Lady holds an overwhelming 25-point lead among one of the whitest, oldest and most rural electorates in America. The state voted for her husband twice, but backed President Bush in the last two elections.

Yet as the former President appears before loyal crowds across small town Appalachia, and his wife stubbornly refuses to heed calls for her to quit the race, there is a palpable sense for many Democrats that they are witnessing a changing of the guard, the final days of the House of Clinton, after 16 years of dominance.

Even as Mr Clinton spoke, Mr Obama was paying a surprise visit to the House of Representatives, where congressman flocked around him, grasping for the hand of the man many believe is about to become their new leader. Five more super-delegates pledged their support for Mr Obama yesterday, including one who had previously backed Mrs

But if Mr Obama has his sights on a general election against John McCain, he has a more immediate and equally testing challenge: how to unite a party, and a Democratic electorate, where large, crucial swaths of voters – especially white, blue-collar and the elderly – remain passionately loyal to the Clintons, and openly hostile to him.

As Mr Clinton’s barnstorming performance in Fairlea proved, he is still a potent force, and Mr Obama is going to need him, his wife and their supporters on side if he harbours any hope of reaching the White House.

It will not be easy. Such is the hostility among many of their supporters, that nearly half of Mrs Clinton’s backers in Indiana said they would not vote for Mr Obama if he were nominated. More than a third in Pennsylvania said the same. Not one Clinton supporter met by The Times in West Virginia said they would turn out for the Illinois senator. “You’d have to twist my arm a long way,” said Lonnie Ward, 62, a retired miner queueing to see Mr Clinton next to Cowboy Dan’s Meathouse. “Bill’s my main man.” Peggy Bland, 69, said: “She’s a strong, strong, strong lady.” And Mr Obama? “Oh no, I wouldn’t vote for him.”

Matthew Towsley, who has been selling Hillary and Obama badges, said: “It’s got real bad. Unless they can put them on the same ticket, there’s going to be trouble.”

Mr Obama’s big win in North Carolina last week, and Mrs Clinton’s narrow victory in Indiana, means the nomination is within his grasp. He is planning to declare a victory of sorts on May 20, after the contests in Kentucky and Oregon, when he expects to have secured a majority among the pledged delegates on offer.

Yet Mrs Clinton and her husband passionately believe that she is a better candidate to take on Mr McCain. She correctly pointed out on Thursday that she has a much broader base of support, even plunging into the minefield of racial politics by declaring that Mr Obama’s backing among “white Americans” was weakening.

In recent contests, she has won Ohio, Pennsylvania and Indiana with overwhelming backing from whites, blue-collar voters, women, and voters over 45. Mr Obama has been propelled toward the nomination mostly by African-Americans, the young, and the well educated. Paul Begala, a former Clinton strategist, inartfully summed up their case: “We can’t win just with African-Americans and egg-heads.”

Howard Dean, the Democratic party chairman, whose once-promising 2004 presidential bid collapsed in Iowa, said he spent months trying to persuade his supporters to rally behind John Kerry, the nominee. And they did not even dislike Mr Kerry. Gary Hart said that after he lost his divisive primary battle against Walter Mondale in 1984, he worked tirelessly – and held more than 40 campaign events – imploring his supporters to back the nominee. “And I was not able to move [them],” he said.

Even if Mrs Clinton loses, she will return to the Senate one of the most powerful politicians in the US. Yet for now, she has tens of millions of supporters across America that believe the House of Clinton must not fall.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; clinton; democrats; hillary; obama
The split between the two camps has always spelled trouble to whomever gets the nomination. And while it would make sense to have Hillary on the ticket as VP given the hate between Barry O and she I just don't see it happening.

Your thoughts.

1 posted on 05/10/2008 11:55:55 PM PDT by lowbuck
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To: lowbuck

If Obama is POTUS and Hillary is VPOTUS during an international crisis, she would not be able to keep her mouth shut, and would be in his face arguing and throwning lamps ad nauseum.

And according to all accounts, Michelle hates Hillary’s guts. We all know what that means - no Obama/Clinton 2008!


2 posted on 05/11/2008 12:02:07 AM PDT by SatinDoll (Desperately desiring a conservative government.)
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To: lowbuck

I am hoping House of Klinton will fall and fall on top of their heads.


3 posted on 05/11/2008 12:04:11 AM PDT by The_Republican (Ovaries of the World Unite! Rush, Laura, Ann, Greta - Time for the Ovulation!)
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To: lowbuck

Middle America will not elect a black neo-Marxist. Paul Begala had it right, there aren’t enough “eggheads and African-Americans”.


4 posted on 05/11/2008 12:04:20 AM PDT by Hugin (Mecca delenda est!)
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To: lowbuck
If she had stepped down gracefully, MAYBE it would have been offered..but there's too much water under the bridge. And way, way, way too much drama. I can't tell you how many of my Dem friends have said that they're so disgusted that this year they'll vote for McCain.

Why would Barry want those two looking over his shoulder, sucking all the air out? And I just can't see her taking second fiddle. I bet they offer her a Supreme Court seat if she gets out fast. They'll also probably tell her that if she doesn't step down, her influence in the Dem party will be gone forever.

5 posted on 05/11/2008 12:35:16 AM PDT by Hildy
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To: lowbuck
The MSM is doing their best to say the Obama is going to be President so get used to it. It will so sweet to hear them call the majority Americans racists and stupid because their Messiah was soundly defeated in November. What will be even more satisfying will all the treats we will hear about DUmmies moving out of the country.
6 posted on 05/11/2008 12:43:21 AM PDT by skimask (Never argue with an idiot, they will drag you down to their level and beat you with experience)
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To: lowbuck

It may be that one way to party unity would be for Obama to pick Clinton for his VP, but I don’t see it happening. She’d be second fiddle, and she’s had her sights set on first chair lo, these many years, putting up with her hubby’s shenanigans to use him and his name to that end. Plus, the problem arises of what to do with Bill.


7 posted on 05/11/2008 1:14:56 AM PDT by Theresawithanh (..."I just said some things that weren't in keeping with what I knew to be the case." - HRC)
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To: skimask
"What will be even more satisfying will all the treats we will hear about DUmmies moving out of the country."

I agree. Did Baldwin leave yet?

8 posted on 05/11/2008 1:20:00 AM PDT by libs_kma (The land of the free, because of the brave)
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To: libs_kma

Since you mentioned our dear “Arreck”, I read a story a few days ago that he’s considering running for office. Now, he didn’t say exactly which office, but he did say that he’d be sure to be nicer to his daughter in future answering machine messages!


9 posted on 05/11/2008 1:23:27 AM PDT by Theresawithanh (..."I just said some things that weren't in keeping with what I knew to be the case." - HRC)
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To: lowbuck

Hussein or McCain.

take your pick


10 posted on 05/11/2008 1:29:35 AM PDT by patch789
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To: patch789
Hussein or McCain. take your pick

I pick the old fart.

11 posted on 05/11/2008 1:35:46 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (It takes a father to raise a child.)
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To: lowbuck

Good for us!


12 posted on 05/11/2008 2:06:01 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (Buy a Mac ...)
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To: lowbuck

"And while it would make sense to have Hillary on the ticket as VP given the hate between Barry O and she I just don't see it happening."

JFK and Lyndon Johnson supposedly disliked each other intensely, and yet they came together to make a winning ticket. Politics makes strange bedfellows.

13 posted on 05/11/2008 2:08:17 AM PDT by Mila
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To: Hildy

Could you imagine having Bill and Hillary as your co-vice prez? I wouldn’t want it. And Bill is a loose canon in front of the camera.

Just as you said, too much drama.


14 posted on 05/11/2008 2:08:24 AM PDT by BunnySlippers (Buy a Mac ...)
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To: Hildy
I bet they offer her a Supreme Court seat if she gets out fast.

A Supreme Court seat for a gal who flunked the DC bar exam?
15 posted on 05/11/2008 2:11:40 AM PDT by irishjuggler
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To: Hugin

As much as I dislike Hillary, she is starting to look like the closest thing to “moderate” in the DNC. The rest are radical marxists.


16 posted on 05/11/2008 2:23:48 AM PDT by mgist
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To: mgist
As much as I dislike Hillary, she is starting to look like the closest thing to “moderate” in the DNC. The rest are radical marxists.

But she's not. She did this sudden makeover when she started on this plan and went into the senate, but I don't believe it's real.

17 posted on 05/11/2008 2:52:38 AM PDT by Cementjungle
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To: patch789
Hussein or McCain

With "Election '08: Hussein vs McCain" as a slogan, McCain will win. Obama wants to avoid using his middle name, but since it rhymes with McCain, it will play well in the MSM!

18 posted on 05/11/2008 3:12:41 AM PDT by Cowboy Bob (McCain '08 : The lesser of two evils!)
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To: SatinDoll
And according to all accounts, Michelle hates Hillary’s guts. We all know what that means - no Obama/Clinton 2008!

I keep thinking the same thing, but I don't underestimate the ability of the Clintonites to convince Michelle that it's in her "best interest for her health" that she's quiet on the matter.

Can you just see it? Michelle cans Hillary as the veep, then the leaks start appearing in the newspapers. Michelle's "this or that". Barry has all sorts of scandals leaked, imaginary or not. It costs them the presidency.

Then what? Michelle's got nothing but a pile of cash, an affirmative action job and a senator husband who may not be competent enough to fend off the next election challenger when socialist policies really start taking a toll (the last one was Doctor Alan Keyes, who's inseparable decency and goodness cost him the election.)

19 posted on 05/11/2008 3:34:23 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Mila
JFK and Lyndon Johnson supposedly disliked each other intensely, and yet they came together to make a winning ticket. Politics makes strange bedfellows.

Exactly.

Do Obama's handlers know better than to have him ride in a motorcade?

20 posted on 05/11/2008 3:52:16 AM PDT by Gorzaloon
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To: lowbuck

THE FALL OF THE HOUSE OF CLINTON. Sounds like it could be an Edgar Allen Poe story.


21 posted on 05/11/2008 3:54:00 AM PDT by The Ghost of Rudy McRomney (Using Hillary to nip Obama's heels is like beating a dead horse with an armed nuclear bomb.)
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To: Hildy

There are few things I could think of that would be worse than
having Mrs. Clinton on the Supremes.


22 posted on 05/11/2008 4:08:14 AM PDT by Joe Boucher (An enemy of Islam)
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To: Hugin
Middle America will not elect a black neo-Marxist

Probably not. They will, however, elect a white neo-marxist.

23 posted on 05/11/2008 4:17:06 AM PDT by HerrBlucher (Asked on his deathbed why he was reading the bible, WC Fields replied "I'm looking for loopholes.")
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To: The Ghost of Rudy McRomney
THE FALL OF THE HOUSE OF CLINTON. Sounds like it could be an Edgar Allen Poe story.

As long as the story ends with "Nevermore", I'm happy.

24 posted on 05/11/2008 4:18:51 AM PDT by HerrBlucher (Asked on his deathbed why he was reading the bible, WC Fields replied "I'm looking for loopholes.")
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To: lowbuck

No way Obomba picks Hitlary for VP. The odds are immense that Hitlary would shortly be President and Obomba would be in Ft. Marcy Park.


25 posted on 05/11/2008 4:19:56 AM PDT by jsh3180
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To: skimask
What will be even more satisfying will all the treats we will hear about DUmmies moving out of the country.

They always threaten to leave, but alas, never do.

26 posted on 05/11/2008 4:27:02 AM PDT by 6SJ7
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To: lowbuck

Like it or not, you’re not going to see a ticket without a white man on it. Whether you like it or not - them’s the facts, folks...SSZ


27 posted on 05/11/2008 4:35:31 AM PDT by szweig (Had it up to here)
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To: lowbuck

Whether Obama would pick Hillary as VP is irrelevant. Whether Hillary’s supporters would vote for Obama/Clinton is relevent and that is not a sure thing.


28 posted on 05/11/2008 4:38:45 AM PDT by DugwayDuke (A true patriot will do anything to keep a Democrat out of the White House.)
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To: lowbuck
“I’m telling you, she can win this thing, because of people like you, and places like this.”



29 posted on 05/11/2008 4:52:55 AM PDT by vietvet67
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To: Hugin
Middle America will not elect a black neo-Marxist. Paul Begala had it right, there aren’t enough “eggheads and African-Americans”.

Agree... and if the DNC denies him the nomination... we won't have enough water to put out the fires.

30 posted on 05/11/2008 5:04:00 AM PDT by johnny7
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To: Hugin

Are there enough uneducated backward whites in the democrat party to put a candidate in the White House. Without at least 90% of the democrats most loyal base African Americans and all the new young voters can she be elected?


31 posted on 05/11/2008 5:08:14 AM PDT by mimaw
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To: szweig
Exactly.

I read that there is speculation that the messiah is looking at Ted Strickland for VP because of his reputation as a "moderate" and his popularity in Ohio and his high rating from the NRA.

And I have no faith that the average American will have the ability to look past the window dressing to the marxist cesspool we'll be in if the messiah makes it to the White House- no matter who the VP is.

32 posted on 05/11/2008 5:09:42 AM PDT by GiovannaNicoletta
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To: lowbuck

Obama is not dumb enough to have the Clintons on as VP to him nor does he fancy a foreshortened presidency.


33 posted on 05/11/2008 5:14:11 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: Hugin

Someone has to inform middle America that Obama is a neo-Marxist. Who’s going to do that? McCain won’t, because he too is a neo-Marxist (see his Global Warmening plans, see his destroy America thru illegal immigration plans).


34 posted on 05/11/2008 5:15:48 AM PDT by Jabba the Nutt (I'm just a typical bitter, white, heteronormative space worm clinging to guns and God.)
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To: Hildy
I think Clintons would take "second fiddle to Hussein. It is their surest and shortest path to the White House- two years or less- assuming they really can't snatch the nomination. Hussein would not offer it to Clintons for the same reason.
35 posted on 05/11/2008 5:17:40 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: Jeff Chandler
With McCain we may just possibly come out of the next four years with a Supreme Court not more liberal than it is. And if we manage to elect a bunch of conservatives to Congress this November (I think it will go the other way) we may dodge Amnesty and Kyoto II and the Fairness Doctrine.
36 posted on 05/11/2008 5:20:47 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: irishjuggler

Being a lawyer is not a requirement for the Court and was not always thought to be a superior asset.


37 posted on 05/11/2008 5:21:46 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: HerrBlucher

LOL


38 posted on 05/11/2008 5:24:10 AM PDT by The Ghost of Rudy McRomney (Using Hillary to nip Obama's heels is like beating a dead horse with an armed nuclear bomb.)
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To: lowbuck
the whitest, oldest and most rural electorates in America

The subtle under-current in this statement, repeated over and over in the liberal media, is the liberal journalists' relief that these people are old and will soon be dead and we won't have to put up with these racist, conservative Bible thumpers any more.

39 posted on 05/11/2008 5:24:51 AM PDT by Hardastarboard (A Zero Tolerance Policy isn’t a one way street.)
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To: Joe Boucher
if Hussein is the president, Justice Clinton would be no worse from any others he would appoint. She would be less of a doctrinaire Marxist, though. She's too corrupt to keep her Marxism pure.
40 posted on 05/11/2008 5:25:06 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: lowbuck

who will vote for the black marxist besides the blacks and ivory tower liberals!!!


41 posted on 05/11/2008 5:55:41 AM PDT by nyyankeefan
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To: Mila
JFK and Lyndon Johnson supposedly disliked each other intensely, and yet they came together to make a winning ticket.

Until Johnson got the "Hillary Syndrome" and the Dallas shooting came about.

He was arm-pit deep in that but the facts didn't really come together until after his death....by coincidence, of course.

42 posted on 05/11/2008 6:18:26 AM PDT by capt. norm (Never underestimate the power of very stupid people in large groups.)
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To: Cementjungle
As much as I dislike Hillary, she is starting to look like the closest thing to “moderate” in the DNC.

Hillary is a chameleon and she will change any facet of her candidacy to appear the way she thinks will help her get to power.

It seemed to start way back when she stopped calling herself Hillary Rodham and became Hillary Clinton again.

43 posted on 05/11/2008 6:21:48 AM PDT by capt. norm (Never underestimate the power of very stupid people in large groups.)
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To: SatinDoll
Michelle hates Hillary’s guts.

Michelle seems to be all about hate. As bad as Hillary's tantrums around the White House were rumored, I'm guessing it will be even worse with Mrs. O

44 posted on 05/11/2008 6:26:05 AM PDT by P.O.E. (Thank God for every morning.)
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To: 6SJ7

“They always threaten to leave, but alas, never do.”


As the leftist philosophy is based on lies, and their entire lives depend on denying the truth, I am never surprised when they never keep their promises.


45 posted on 05/11/2008 6:28:55 AM PDT by marktwain
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To: lowbuck; All
Hillary Obama Ties
46 posted on 05/11/2008 6:36:29 AM PDT by musicman
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To: lowbuck

www.chicagotribune.com/news/columnists/chi-kass_bd11may11,0,4134722.column
chicagotribune.com

Obama magically unstained by grime of Chicago Way

John Kass

May 11, 2008

Will Barack Obama’s presidential candidacy serve his state and city by finally drawing national attention to the sleazy and corrupt politics of Illinois and Chicago?

It is all about context. The presumptive Democratic presidential candidate’s politics were born in Chicago. Yet he is presented to the nation as not truly being of this place, as if he floats just above the political corruption here, uninfected, untouched by the stain of it or by any sin of commission or omission. It is all so very mystical.

Perhaps viewing Obama as a Chicago political creature would conflict with the established national media narrative of Obama as a reformer. Actually, there’s no “perhaps” about it.

“I think I have done a good job in rising politically in this environment without being entangled in some of the traditional problems of Chicago politics,” Obama told reporters and editors at a Tribune editorial board meeting several weeks ago.

Yes, an excellent job. Except for his dalliance with his indicted real estate fairy, Tony Rezko, a relationship Obama considers a mistake, the senator has not played the fly to Mayor Richard Daley’s spider. Almost, but not quite.

excerpt


47 posted on 05/11/2008 6:44:55 AM PDT by KeyLargo
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To: Caipirabob

*snip*....socialist policies really start taking a toll (the last one was Doctor Alan Keyes, who’s inseparable decency and goodness cost him the election.)...

I have several computers running complex and sophisticated algorithms designed to monitor dozens of message boards and alert me whenever Alan Keyes is mentioned. Just checking in.


48 posted on 05/12/2008 10:49:53 PM PDT by ehit88 (I'm(not anymore)shoveling snow while a Cubs game is on?????(my Alan Keyes t-shirts are on order))
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