Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
Posted on 05/07/2008 5:25:04 AM PDT by safetysign
The race for the Democratic nomination has reached a critical intersection. Hillary Clinton suffered a body blow with her failure to win big in Indiana.
But with the rock star candidate hobbled by the preacher and bomber, it's hard to imagine that Barack Obama won't be looking more like an aging one hit wonder come fall against John McCain.
So what's different now that Indiana and North Carolina have had their say? Not all that much. Whether it's Reverend Wright or concerns over his considerable lack of qualifications for the job, he has become a candidate who mostly wins states with unusually large black populations, or red states where there are few blacks. On the other hand, in Indiana it was a nail-biter, so Hillary didn't come up with the story changer that would have cut the legs out from under Barack. It's keep on keeping on time for this process.
In the string of the final six contests, Hillary's storyline could get a boost. With the exception of Oregon, she has a good shot at winning all of the upcoming contests. Her plans are unchanged -- she's going all the way to the convention.
If only the party knew enough to be proud of her. Through the grueling ordeal of personal attacks, money problems and disdain from the media, Hillary has handled the frustration of going from the ordained candidate to the discarded with remarkable agility. You may not like her, but it sure is tough not to admire her fortitude -- this woman keeps her eye on the horizon. Plus, she seems impossible to defeat.
And guess what? These are all good things.
If she, instead of Obama, were the fantasy candidate, Hollywood would already have a script in development on Hillary's campaign and life: The Greatest American (Woman) it might be called. (Barry Gibb would write the soundtrack, Streisand and Diddy would sing, Denzel would play Barack while Alec Baldwin would play Bill Clinton, and it would be as doomed a project as is the Obama candidacy, so they'd be loving it.) But this is a story that Democrats don't like, so no one's going to option the script.
While Hillary's performance this year can be likened to watching a 15 round heavy weight title fight with all its grueling punishment and plot changes, the relationship between voters and Barack seems to evolve more like a love affair, with all the overtones of irrationality and emotion the analogy suggests.
When Obama walks in the room the first time, heads turn, hearts beat faster, the lust-o-meter hits the upper limits. Yes we need judgment; Yes we need Hope, Yes We Can!
Over the short term, he wears well. He's smart, he's fair, he's decent, and it sure seems as if he's honest. A pretty special guy. It looks, remarkably, like Barack is the real deal.
Then we start to meet his friends, family and business associates, and we get a creepy vibe. Those aren't people I'd surround myself with, we say to ourselves. The guy makes lots of excuses, says he understands how we feel, but he just can't walk away from those bad kids he grew up with politically.
The glow of perfection devolves, as surely it must, when Obama faces the test of time. Intelligence starts to read as arrogance, eloquence gives way to stammering and words too carefully chosen, and the true life story, we learn, doesn't quite match the sales pitch. A sinking feeling sets in, one that says this was an attraction driven by the irrational exuberance of lust instead of true love.
That's how the Democratic nomination is playing out, with the two candidates on opposite trajectories -- Hillary getting better with time, Barack looking worse. Who'd have thunk it?
Take a look at the Pew Research Poll from last week. The national trends are shocking. In March, Barack was tied with Hillary among white voters who are Democrats or lean that way. Now he is down sixteen!
With working class whites, the gap is more devastating. Hillary's ten point advantage from March is now at forty! These trends continued in Tuesday's vote. This is no joke -- it represents an electability crisis.
Barack has become a niche candidate. If you're black, rich or went to an Ivy League school, then you're definitely in his camp. College professors love him. College kids love him. People who wax nostalgic for the good old days of blowing up buildings would swear off ammonium nitrate forever to see him win. And there are many who miss the explosive sixties, just not enough of them to make Barack into a viable general election candidate.
But with other groups that we're told are key Obama constituencies, the numbers are also sobering. Barack's six point lead among those making more than $50,000 per year has become a five point deficit. The college educated, a critical base of support, only favor him by five.
Every signal says the party would be better off with Hillary, and the natural move would be to embrace her and abandon Barack. After all, the process still allows a shift. Why should Barack get the nomination just because the Reverend Wright story didn't unfold until late in the primary season?
The choice between Barack and Hillary is a scary one for Democrats, but it would be easy if they just trusted the process. It's somewhat confusing why they've allowed themselves to be trapped in this box of needing to have Obama be the winner. Is it because of the cash that Barack has showered upon superdelegates?
Allowing Democracy to follow its course wouldn't be so difficult. First, explain to everyone that this is a normal part of the nominating process -- sometimes, at the end of it all, the primaries fail to yield a winner. Happily, though, there's a failsafe built in to resolve the situation -- we go to round two. In round two, the party leaders (superdelegates) get to vote. They are not asked to rubber stamp the leading candidate, otherwise they'd be of no value and their unique status would never have been created. Their job is to use their wisdom and experience and concern for the interests of the party to steer the best candidate to the nomination. To suggest otherwise is silliness.
Were Democrats to cease the hand wringing over the role of superdelegates and market them to the country as something wonderful, people's perceptions would likely follow along just fine.
The inability of Democrats to embrace Hillary and have a shot at beating John McCain reflects a failure to learn one of the great lessons of Barack 101. Explain things to folks in a clear and reasoned manner, and they'll probably go along with you out of appreciation for the respect you've shown them, if not as an acknowledgment of the power of your argument.
What we will see next from Democrats is not wisdom, however, but a rush to failure. At a time when superdelegates should start flipping to Hillary, we'll continue to see them announcing for Barack at moments orchestrated by his campaign.
They're heading the wrong way because Clintons make Democrats feel dirty, because Barack is their fantasy, and because they're scared about losing all the new voters they've been signing up, whom they consider to be the future of the party.
Here's the question that Democrats must answer: Is the party's commitment to Barack Obama more important than this election? If his hold on them is strong enough, they'll give him the nomination and throw the election. If not, they'll send him back to the bench to wait for next time, and give the nomination to the only Democrat in the race with the chance to be president -- and the first woman president in U.S. history, at that.
That may not warm the hearts of liberals like a good long toke on the great bong of Barack, but they've got to admit, it's far better than spending the next six months trying to explain why working class folk should embrace the party of Bill Ayers and Bernadine Dohrn.
Duuuuuude, I mean he’s like so charismatic, ya’ know? I think, I mean he’s cosmic, dude.
Where’s my “Got Hope?” button?
What does that mean, anyway?
It means that the wearer is a lazy moron with a vast deeply entrenched sense of entitlement who is going to vote for the candidate who promises him the most loot from other peoples' hard work.
He’s never explained what “Hope” and “change” means. He’s never explained what he means when he says that he’ll change the way Washington “does business.” And, his followers, stupidly, never ask.
“That may not warm the hearts of liberals like a good long toke on the great bong of Barack,”.......
Duuuuuude, you mean that my Barack bong is all a figment of my imagination??????
NOooooooooooooooooooo
Clinton actually served her purpose well; by staying in the race when rational people would have dropped out, she’s facilitated the exposure Obama in ways that McCain is too cowardly to do, and that the MSM would ignore anyway.
But after yesterday, it’s time to call the priest for last rites. As a national candidate, Her Thighness is breathing her last.
I hope the poll numbers are true; no, I pray they are true. Obama scares me. He really does. If this guy gets into the White House he will have a fawning press and a filibuster proof Congress to work with. He will wreck our economy and reduce America to another failed attempt at socialism. I might personally weather the storm with a little belt-tightening, but I worry about my boys. Both of them will enter the job market in Obama’s “United Socialist States of North America.” And I told them to go get real degrees and not study “community activism.” Too bad there won’t be any real work to do after the productive part of the American economy shuts down.
Bong-On, Obamamites!
Yup, sure enough, the only large blocks of voters this guy’s got are: Blacks, college kids who remember to show up at the polls; and snobs on both coasts(including a lot of college professors who think the real world exists on campus and not off campus).
Most white folks aren’t gonna vote for Messiah Obama; not because he’s half black, but because he’s an empty suit with a good speech writer.
The last time the Democrats went with someone similar, it was James Earl Carter. That was a great four years, wasn’t it?
Thank you again, Rush Limbaugh! Operation Chaos has been a total military victory for the Free Republicans of America!
Tell them to study Chinese.
McCain lost well over 20% of Republican voters in Pennsylvania, Indiana and North Carolina. With those numbers he’s not a shoe-in running either against Clinton or Obama. Keep that in mind.
Obama may be an empty suit, but unless the GOP fields a strong candidate, the outcome may not be what Republicans want. Do you really believe those percentages will return come the general?
I'm positioned to stop working in toto and live off entitlements. LOL!
but my two younger children are another matter.
At the age of 5 I'm teaching my son Japanese. Not spanish.
I am preparing for them to be able to flee when America as we know it passes into history and emerges into a semi socialist 3rd world swamp.
Its coming right now from amnesty to Obama and everything in between, including the total dumbing down of students in the state education camps.
They don't need to, they know the Marxist, racist, changes that Bambi will make and they are all for that change.....change they, and Marx, can believe in.
The Superdelegates know it, but they can't do anything about it because they're beholden to the dependent black class that they created. Ironic, yet just. Very just.
What are you, some spoiled brat college grad who suckled from the Great and Generous Parental Teat until you were convinced that work was for the common folk?Some faux-educated liberal twit whose opinions are based on the LSD-inspired ravings of aged sixties-era hippies?
Some dreadlocked middle-class white boy who's desperately trying to identify with the "oppressed masses" out of guilt at having been born to THE MAN?
Some alternate-lifestyle gimme-my-rights protester-of-everything who repaints their sign every weekend for another bout of EVERYONE'S WRONG EXCEPT ME?
Or are you French?
Honestly, I'd have more respect for you if you were French.
“Then we start to meet his friends, family and business associates, and we get a creepy vibe.
...
With working class whites, the gap is more devastating.”
How many working class whites have had to endure a black co-worker who gets special treatment, who can get away with almost anything and not be disciplined or fired?
Don't worry, he's this year's McGovern/Mondale/Dukakis.
Psychotic.
I'm raising my hand! My diverse colleague disappears for hours at a time. Sometimes for 5 hours or more. The boss acts bemused and shrugs his shoulders when anyone mentions it.
What does this mean?
McCain is not a shoo in against anybody at all this election.
McCain would lose 34 states against Hillary.
Obama may be beatable.
- We shall see if McCain can beat the candidate who will out fund-raise him by 3 or 4 to one, who will have the total backing of the MSM 24/7, and who is riding the anti GOP trend.
Personally, I'm not optimistic. - I can see how it could be done, of course, but I also expect McCain to make several major gaffes himself as the season progresses, starting with a nice visit to La Raza.
Waiting for “moderates” and “independents?” - don't hold your breath.
Support all lower candidates as much as you can. - Directly. Since McCain has merged the RNC funds with his regional campaigns, much of that RNC money will now go to him, not those other lower candidates.
He needs that RNC cash just to stay afloat now. - Thanks, John.
If anyone does not see that there is a clear pattern and plan to all of this, including the Manchurian shift to the left, then ... well, just try.
Thanks - bill
Specifically Mandarin and the other practical choices: Farsi or Arabic./Just Asking - seoul62.......
“I just you know like feel you know that this country really really needs a change you know and he just you know speaks so you know like so so ... I dunno I just think we need to elect a black man cause you know they were kept down so long you know it’s time for a change and he you know when I heard him speak you know made me feel so good and he is going to end the war and all you know and he is for Americans helping Americans you know and he doesn’t care about skin color you know and Hillary had a chance already you know...”
Anything can happen.
Or else there wouldn’t be a former President Carter!
Right, McCain ain’t no trip to Paris.
Very good article and thread. The coalition of collectives are collapsing like an empty suit/pantsuit. Humpty Hillary and Pied Piper Barack are fairy tale candidates.
Excelsior!
mark
“My diverse colleague disappears for hours at a time. Sometimes for 5 hours or more.”
Thanks, I can’t blame working whites for not voting to make this situation worse. That’s part of the “vibe” obama’s (ex) pastor emits.
By that I assume you meant Texas :)
Why give him more credit than due...
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
Since you didn’t mention it I’ll bring up McCain’s embrace of global warming alarmism. That, his amnesty stance, and his working with Democrats are his largest drawbacks.
He’s tried to make nice to conservatives by talking up his intention to support conservative judgeships. Yeah, that’ll work. Let’s face it; come a McCain Presidency there’s no guarantee he’ll have a Congress that will go along with his wishes. And McCain being McCain, he’ll opt for appointments that won’t stir the pot. Nice try, John, but no sale to me.
Now I know thats right.........................., you know what Im sayin????
Hillary and her minions will do everything in their power to sabotage Obomber’s run against the Republicans because she does not want Obomber’s power to increase. She will then be able to win back the White House in 2012.
Listen live to Chicago’s all black radio station and see for yourself the 24-7 racist rants against Hillary and white people in general. Blacks in massive numbers vote strictly on race.
“In round two, the party leaders (superdelegates) get to vote. They are not asked to rubber stamp the leading candidate, otherwise they’d be of no value and their unique status would never have been created. Their job is to use their wisdom and experience and concern for the interests of the party to steer the best candidate to the nomination. To suggest otherwise is silliness”
The proper duty of the superdelegates would be to:
1. Choose Hillary as “the candidate”, then...
2. Choose Obama as the vice-presidential candidate, then...
3. Get both candidates together and offer the choice.
Of course, Hillary could refuse to run with Obama, but at her own peril.
If Obama declined to run with Hillary, he’s young enough to be the front runner next time around.
But if I was a superdelegate, and wanted the party to win, this is the decision I’d make.
I’m glad I’m on the other side!
- John
1, John McCain will be the next President of the United States
2. We will be hearing for generations that Obama lost because the US is racist.
"With working class whites, the gap is more devastating. Hillary's ten point advantage from March is now at forty! These trends continued in Tuesday's vote. This is no joke -- it represents an electability crisis. "
"Barack has become a niche candidate. If you're black, rich or went to an Ivy League school, then you're definitely in his camp. College professors love him. College kids love him. People who wax nostalgic for the good old days of blowing up buildings would swear off ammonium nitrate forever to see him win. And there are many who miss the explosive sixties, just not enough of them to make Barack into a viable general election candidate."
"To win in November, a Democratic presidential candidate has to carry most of the industrial heartland states that stretch from Pennsylvania to Missouri. That becomes even more imperative if a Democrat can't carry Florida -- and because of his relative weakness in South Florida, Obama is unlikely to do so against McCain. Ruy Teixeira and I have calculated that in the heartland states, a Democratic presidential candidate has to win 45 to 48 percent of the white working-class vote. In some states, like West Virginia and Kentucky, the percentage is well over a majority."
You can't win a general election with a coalition of America hating Bitter African- Americans and America hating Bitter white liberal elitist billionaires/millionaires, who buy brie, Chardonnay, and expensive rat politicians like the elitist Hussein Obama/Samma.
"Bitter Gate: the gift that keeps on giving!!!
" Crackerquiddick ~ Bitter Gate " and “Wright is wrong Gate” are huge problems for the elitist would be Sneerer in Chief, Hussein Obamasnob!!
For an inside look at the real Hussein Obama and his elite hate America backers at San Francisco where Hussein Obama made his elitist remarks,
Go here to see the thread with all The Pictures posted and Here to see another thread about this meeting of elite left wing America haters.
There are some very interesting pictures and comments re the actual meeting on those threads.
"Hussein Obama’s big mouth, small brain, condescending, America-hating, grandkid-baby-terminating, born-alive-infant-abandoning, America-hating-wife, kooky-moonbat-America-hating-pastor, racially-divisive, race-baiting, crotch-saluting, America-flag-disrespecting ... chickens ... coming home to roost ...!"
Behold the would be Sneerer in Chief! 
Hillary Wins Pennsylvania
Jackie and Dunlap have some advice for the Democrats."So now all you Democrats out there, you need to gather up all the homosexuals, and your atheists and your elitists and your baby-killers and your tree-huggers and your flag-burners and your socialists and your communists and your undercover Islamofacists and the Screen Actors Guild and the last living members of the Weather Underground, throw up a bunch of pictures of Obama and Hillary, grab one and go with it!"
Click the pic to watch the video!
I don't believe for one minute that McCain can beat Obama! God help us all!
The liberals should be careful what they wish for. Marxism will affect them as much as us!
Don’t agree. It seems that nothing stops Osama, no natter what.
Judging how McCain is starting off, he hasn’t a Chinaman’s chance of beating Obama.
People are angry with Bush and angry with the Republicans.
They are angy about the Iraq war-
and then McCain comes out with his ‘hundred years’ remark (he’ll never live that down).
They want a change- and Osama Obama is promising them just that.
McCain apologizes all over the place everytime somebody gets the nerve to hit Obama where it hurts.
From McCain’s behavior so far, it’s hard to tell which side he is on.
For the Republicans to win this thing, they’re going to have to hit him hard with the facts about Obama that we are all aware of on this board;
> Obama’s Muslim past and present connections
Will the Republicans hit him on this? Oh, No! Not PC.
(Polls have proven that the one thing that will bring Obama down is to cast doubt in the minds of voters about his being a Muslim.)
We are not even allowed to speak his middle name!
Bush and the Republicans have already told us there’s nothing wrong with Muslims.
Islam is the ‘Religion of Peace’!
> Obama’s supporters, advisors and connections
(the list reads like a who’s who among Marxists, Muslims, racists, international thugs and America haters in general)
The former head pastor of TUCC and Obamas spiritual advisor, Rev. Dr. Jeremiah A. Wright, Jr. praises Louis Farrakhan, and the Nation of Islam in the church magazine.
Wright even praised Hamas in the church bulletin!
Louis Farrakhan has endorsed presidential candidate Barack Obama, saying he is the “hope of the entire world”.
Obama claims “I decry racism and anti-Semitism in every form”.
But the new pastor is keeping on with the anti-America retoric and praising Wright. Why hasn’t Obama renounced the Trinity United Church of Christ? Why is he still a member?
Beyond the Farrakhan issue is the TUCC’s anti White, and Anti American mission. “We are a congregation which is Unashamedly Black” and excludes all other races. (they have cleaned up their anti-white dogma recently, but the original can still be retrieved)
The church has embraced ‘things African above things American’. This should be regarded as outrageous as a Republican presidential candidate belonging to the Aryan Brethren Church of Christ.
Will the Republicans attack Obama about this? Are you kidding me?
Oh, H*ll no! NOT PC!
> Obama’s radical left voting record as Senator:
- Opposed the Defense of Marriage Act; would work to repeal it in the U.S. Senate; would not vote for any legislation that would restrict the ability of gays and lesbians to marry.
- Opposed the Born Alive Infant Protection Act four times in Illinois. A similar bill passed the U.S. Senate 98-0. The Born Alive bill would have prohibited a baby from being born alive but left to die according to the mother’s wishes. Obama inexplicably opposed this bill not once, twice, or three times, but four times.
- Obama took almost $90,000 in bundled contributions from the Council for a Livable World. The council is a well-known anti-defense organization.
- Obama puts rigid ideology before what’s best for the people of Illinois, and presumably he would do that as President as well. He has on several occasions made public his opposition to the NAFTA trade agreement and his belief that it must be negotiated. All the while thanks to NAFTA, Illinois exports $1.3 billion in agricultural goods to Canada.
- Obama refused to vote for a bill in the Illinois State Senate that would have increased penalties for drug traffickers.
- Obama voted against a bill that would have delivered the death penalty to gang members who murder first responders.
- Obama was the only member of the Illinois State Senate to vote against a bill that prohibited early release for sexual predators.
Will the Republicans hit him on this- on his seeking out Marxist professors in college, on his racist remarks in his books, on his cold-blooded stance against the ‘born alive infants bill’. on his pimping illegal aliens, etc, etc.?? Unlikely.
I could go on and on.
Rush says the Republicans haven’t the cajones to to call him out on any of this, that the election will have to be fought on the Limbrough Show.
Do the arithmetic - McCain will need 59% of white vote just to tie Obama. He can possibly get there (and only if oil prices go down between now and Nov), but it’s a long shot.
Actually sine African Americans vote almost exclusively for the Democrat candidate McCain wont be facing any bigger problem than all Republcian candidates do. Obama has rebuilt the McGovern Coaltion-the Young, the Rich and the far left. it didn't work in 1972 and it wont work now,
Black turnout will be very high this cycle, perhaps 13% of the total vote. And Obama will carry it by 90%, not by 80 (as Gore and Kerry did). Plus he will carry Latino vote by 20-25% or so.
So, white vote will be only 75% of total this time, and McCain has to get 60% to win. GWB only got 58% in 2004.
How will the hispanics vote? McCain may be able to make some real inroads there. Mexicans and African Americans are at odds on many issues. Hispanics view blacks as lazy and they can take their jobs. No to mention the gang violence between hispanics and blacks..
I seriously doubt it. There is great tension between blacks and Hispanics. I would not be surprised if the vote is close to even. I also believe a lot of Hillary supporters will stay home. We can check with each other after the election but I predict McCain will win by 5 to 7 points minimum.
Obama lacks substance and is not leadership material and more than high school cheerleaders are; he’s a product of the MSM.
Exactly-there is no there there.
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