Posted on 02/11/2008 6:58:26 PM PST by seanmerc
I believe that Barack Obama will defeat Hillary and win the Democratic nomination. I think that this weekend's victories in states as diverse as Washington State, Louisiana, Nebraska, and Maine illustrates his national appeal and demonstrates Hillary's inability to win in states without large immigrant and Latino populations.
Hillary's results on Super Tuesday, which amounted to a draw with Obama, will be her high water mark and will represent the closest she will ever come to the party nomination.
Right now, CBS has Obama ahead in elected delegates with 1134, while Hillary has only 1131.By the time Virginia, Maryland, DC, Wisconsin, and Hawaii vote during the next week, Obama will have a lead over Clinton of about 100 delegates, even counting the super delegates who have thus far committed themselves.
March 4th will, at worst, be a wash for Obama with his probably wins in Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont offsetting his probable defeat in Texas. (Although in Texas' open primary, Republicans and Independents may flock to the Dem primary to beat Hillary).
And then come a list of states almost all of which should go for Obama, including likely victories in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Indiana. By the convention, he will have more than enough delegates to overcome the expected margins Hillary may rack up among super delegates.
And don't bet on all the super delegates staying hitched to Hillary. These folks are politicians, half of them public office holders who are really good at reading the handwriting on the wall and really bad at gratitude for past favors.
Since 2004, I have predicted that Hillary Clinton would be the nominee. But, given the consistently amazing performance of Obama, his superior organizational and fund-raising skills, his inspiration of young people, and the flat and completely uninspiring performance by Hillary, it looks to me like it will be Obama as the Democratic nominee.
One word to Mr. Morris- Toes.
Oh man! Morris is Brazen. I hope Obama does win. If Hillary cries then I will believe it.
Barak is doomed!
I don’t think Morris has EVER been right in his predictions has he?
It’s a long way to November. Hillary wouldn’t want anything to happen to that nice young family of his, now would she?
He’ll change his tune when Hillary wins Ohio and Pennsylvania next month. This guy blows with the wind.
This guy has been on and off more bandwagons than most bands.
Morris is a dick. Morris has always been a dick. Morris will always be a dick.
Any FReepers from TX going to cross over and vote for Obama?
I would in PA, if I could, but I don’t think PA has an open primary and by then, it will probably be all over anyhow.
At long last, some good news for Hillary.
I don’t know of any case.
But there's millions of mindless little dust particles gathering in his storm. All wanting to be part of the big blow that "changes the world"
"Yes it's true your honor. This Dick has no peer."
When it comes to the Clinton Crime
Family, Arkancides are never off the table..
Wrong again Dickie. The prediction that counts is the one made in advance, not the updated version after half of the votes are already cast.
Hillary is in for sure.
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