Posted on 11/01/2007 5:55:50 AM PDT by LS
Clinton 46%, Rudy 41%
Clinton 49%, Fred 37%
Clinton 47%, McCain 40%
Clinton 52%, Huckabee 31%
I should add, 500 likely voters (small sample, but “likely” vs. the Pew poll yesterday of “adults”).
500 likely voters in a liberal Blue State? I’m shocked........shocked that Her Thighness is doing so POOOOOOORLY!!!!!!!!!!!
Perhaps there should be a "new" category of polled persons: LEGAL VOTERS...............
Check out the Quinnipiac poll I just posted. Even slanted to the Dems, and not counting “likely” voters, Hillary loses to Rudy.
40-40-20......those numbers are ±5, and constant in just about any poll....It’s that 20% in the middle that decides everything.............
Better stick to likely voters, as legal voters, especially in a blue state, won't have any bearing on reality.
Voters could care less at this point
These polls are worthless
If our eventual candidate can clearly communicate what is actually at stake in this election, I think the "mush" will slide to our side.
Forget MD. It is an “Eastern Block” state, always will be.
Then again, if she's bad enough, they just might flip. Who was the one Kennedy relative that lost a few cycles back? That was a Governor's race, though, as I recall, and on the next cycle the electorate booted the 'Pub out and went back to the 'Rat fold.
I'm surprised Hilly's lead isn't in the double digits.
That 20% in the “mushy middle” also breaks down in a 40-40-20 split, typically....resulting in 8-8-4 split of the 20, so you are really down to about 4% of the whole that can tip the system one way or another. Now when you consider that during General Elections, only about 50% of the eligible electorate bother to come out, that 4% gets very very small in numbers. That is why we have Florida 2000 and Ohio 2004 being so dang close. The whole system of ours is dependent on just a very few people who don’t pay much attention until about 48 hours before the polls open...............
GuilliRomney is a moderate democrat. Still, the Ice Princess does better, Why? because she is a “true” lefty.
I also think when push comes to shove next November that a large majority of those same people will hold their nose and vote for him when faced with the prospect of 4-8 more years of the Clintons.
If Hillary is ahead by only 5 in this hard core Demo state then she is not doing too well.
Maryland, where both of my children live, should be thrown out of the Union. It is a communist state, very close to taxachewshits.
Perhaps this is why the rumors of Hillary's alleged lesbian affair with a Middle Eastern Muslim staffer are seeing the light of day all of a sudden. Some Democrats are seeing the possibility of their party snatching defeat out of the jaws of victory through a Hillary Clinton Presidential candidacy.
Did Romney fall off the potato truck in this poll?
The fact that Hillary can’t break 50% against the top tier GOP candidates in a state that went 54% for her husband in 1996 and 56% for Gore and Kerry in 2000 and 2004 should be an ominous sign concerning Hillary’s electability.
That’s exactly the point. This should be a 20-point advantage for Hillary.
You nailed it. That’s why I posted this. She should have a 15-point lead over Rudy and McCain, 25 over Fred or Huckabee.
It’s possible they didn’t poll for Romney (can’t imagine why, but pollsters do weird things-—or maybe it was so low I didn’t include it).
Indeed-y.
It doesn’t matter what this poll says. Maryland will go to the Dem candidate, whoever it is. 5 counties and Baltimore control this state. It sucks living here!
I wonder what the effect the large Italian-American population in MD had on this poll. I can see alot of people coming out to vote for the first Italian-American president. This would be true all through the north-east also.
Like Bill, Hillary’s going to need a Perot (Ron Paul).
The only way Ron Paul (who did run as the Libertarian presidential candidate in 1988) would likely consider a third party run is if (1) he performs very strongly in the primaries, including the big February 5 one, and (2) the GOP nominates someone like Giuliani or McCain. The real third party threat may come from New York mayor Michael Bloomberg, if it is likely that the GOP will nominate a conservative like Fred Thompson. Unlike any candidate for either party's Presidential nomination, except Romney, Bloomberg had plenty of resources to self-fund a campaign.
Oh my, I forgot about Bloomberg. I just know the Clintons will do whatever they have to. Thanks for the post.
ITT should be rolling in Maryland. 5% is NOT a big margin and ITT hasn’t had anything thrown at her at all. Wait until the campaign gets rolling. Anywhere between 45% and 55% say they would NEVER vote for ITT.
Md. is a huge Dem state as poor Mike Steele found out. Still, the huge Catholic vote might help Rudy when he puts the fire to the Hildabeast on her gaffes on illegal immigration and her lack of real religious support for our culture.
The only reason I posted this is to show that Hillary should be up BIG double digits in this states, and is not.
I was called for this survey. I indicated that Hillary Clinton was quite likely the anti-Christ.
He wasn’t even mentioned in the poll.
It’s amazing that any Republican is running within 5% of any Democrat in Maryland.
It’s amazing that any Republican is running within 5% of any Democrat in Maryland.
22 out of the 25 counties in Maryland can reliably vote GOP. But the other three and Baltimore City are Democrat locks.
All a GOp candidate needs to do it split Montgomery, Howard and Charles, and let PG and Baltimore go to the liberals. Reagan did it, Bush Senior did it and so can Rudy.
LOL!! Good for you.
Maryland “Freak State” PING!
Can't happen now. Mont. Co. has a lot of illegal immigrants who are registered to vote. They weren't here when Reagan and Bush 41 ran. No chance for much of a GOP vote there.
Another change is that Howard has a much higher African-American population than it did in Reagan or Bush 41's time. They will vote for hillary.
MD is a Dem lock. Esp. with hillary at the top of the ticket.
Charles has increased its black population by FIFTY PERCENT since the 2000 census as PG pushed south. So it isn’t getting any easier.
I agree that Howard and Montgomery aren’t what they used to be, but Ehrlich managed to win with that same strategy in 2002. I’m not saying Maryland is a red state by any means, but it can be purple with the right candidate and a few breaks.
Particularly if the current Democrat dope in the governor’s mansion makes good on his pledge to tax the daylights out of everyone in the state.
Ehrlich won because of Michael Steele’s popularity in PG. There was an active group of “Dems for Ehrlich/Steele”. That took the Dems by surprise, so it worked. By the last election, the Dems had that “problem” corrected.
MD is not just a Dem state - it’s a machine state. Only a surprise twist by an underestimated GOPer could make a difference (same for Dems who aren’t part of the machine)
Ehrlich won because of Michael Steele’s popularity in PG.
Yes, Maryland is indeed a Democrat machine state. How else could Sauerbrey lose all those cemetaries to Glendening?
But its a bloated oafish machine, and can be taken with the right set of circumstances.
You’re far more optimistic than I am. A lot of people are leaving MD, and more will with the coming tax increases. The most Liberal will stay. I don’t see a state-wide GOP winner in the near future (or far future, for that matter)
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