Posted on 06/21/2007 10:58:31 AM PDT by neverdem
It may be too early to make any predictions about the 2008 elections, but it's likely Republicans will win back some House seats they lost last year.
Indeed, as I noted in an earlier column, at least eight of the nine "most vulnerable" House seats are held by Democrats, according to veteran congressional elections analyst Stuart Rothenberg.
In Florida's 16th District, for example, Republicans are heavily favored to recapture the seat that Democrat Tim Mahoney narrowly won after Mark Foley resigned in disgrace in the House page scandal.
In Georgia's heavily Republican 8th District, Democrat Jim Marshall squeaked through with less than 1,800 votes. But the betting in political circles is that his seat, too, will end up in the GOP's column next year. The Republican Party is rallying behind Rick Goddard, the former commanding general at the Warner Robins Air Logistics base, who would give Mr. Marshall a very tough race.
In Texas' Republican-drawn 22nd District (formerly held by Tom DeLay), which gave President Bush 64 percent of its vote in 2004, Democrat Nick Lampson won by a thin margin, though his opponent was not on the ballot and had to run a write-in campaign. "This is probably the GOP's best opportunity to take back a district they lost last year," Mr. Rothenberg said in his latest analysis of the 2008 congressional elections.
In a volatile election cycle when Republican prospects are weakened by the unending war in Iraq and polls show a large majority of Americans believe the country is "on the wrong track," one would think the Democrats would be favored to strengthen their hold on the House.
But Republican campaign strategists now believe last year's wave that swept Democrats to power will not be replicated next year and that many seats they lost will be back...
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...
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Oh please. PLEEEEASE. Anything to have to watch Pelosi hand that gavel back. Oh pleeeeeeeeeeeease. I will give up red meat just to see that.
She will use her grand kids like a human shield as she makes her retreat with gavel in hand!
The repubs will do smething stupid or attack one of there own and lose all the momentum, we can count on that
Gavel hell, the plane goes.
I’ve given up hope. If the GOP takes control, it will just be a group I helped to elect ignoring what I want, versus people I voted against ignoring me.
They already have-the immigration bill will sink whatever chance the GOP had in 2008.
I agree. But, it will take Gopers, conserv-libertarians of all stripes to stop shooting our wounded and unite behind one Prez candidate, whoever will actually win nationally, and then give support to conserv-Gopers who actually have a chance to regain or gain seats in the House. As to the Senate, I will support candidates who face the RINO’s or wussies in the primary season. We shall see if the public likely voters actually want leftist pacifist socialists in the Congress or not especially when they view the Dems in all their evil glory!
Nobodys likes amnesty, so its a lose/lose for both parties and we already have amnesty in florida
Reid, Pelosi & Company have done a horrible job and disappointed just about everyone in their base.
But if Bush manages to push the amnesty bill down our throats, all bests are off.
As it has been for most of the past six years, the Republicans and Democrats are having a race to the bottom, to see which of them can offend the voters the most. Even if the Republicans settle on a good candidate for POTUS, it won’t save them if they push that wretched amnesty bill through.
This may have meaning for the House, but the Senate is another issue; at least for incumbent Republicans. Far too many are RINOs, and have signed on, along with the President, to this abominable immigration bill. And we Conservatives across America are NOT going to forget. Bye, bye!
While news may be made by the Republicans taking back the House in 2008, the BIG news that year may actually be about the Senate.
if they nominate a liberal, you can count on much harder time for the GOP!
Why? The GOP voted mostly against it. The Democrats voted for it.
Clone Duncan Hunter and it is a done deal even before the elections.
Just heard on Rush -
Congress’ approval rating on the immigration issue is 3%, yes, three.
Heh ... no comment.
“....The latest election strategy of the Republicans and the White House is aimed at re-energizing its party’s base which has been eroded by deepening divisions over the war, immigration and runaway spending. In the last two weeks, however, Republicans have been mounting an effective counteroffensive against the Democrats that has had Republican allies cheering.....”
If the Republican party wants to “re-energize” the base, it better declare war on illegral immigrants.
.
Hee hee! She has to hand over the keys to the plane.
If Bush and his RINO’s pass the Amenesty bill, Real republicans will not show up at the polls or donate time and money.
So they will not win anything.
if they can win back the party’s base
hahahahaha good luck with that! Seems to me they are working on abolishing the base with their dumba$$ comments and Bush pushing the amnesty bill.
Saw this poll on the 3 networks yesterday (SARC).
That's a HUGE "if". If amnesty gets rammed through, game over.
As far as the how this former Republican party base voter is concerned, if I had a car that let me down as much as the GOP, I'd shoot it full of holes, set fire to it, and push it off a cliff.
Very well said! I wish it was short enough to use as a tagline.
Not true. A bunch of Senators like it. 100% of current American presidents like it a lot. A lot of businesses who have become addicted to cheap labor think it's a great idea. The head of DHS likes it. Bureaucrats longing for a new underclass to exploit ala War on Poverty think it's the best thing since sliced bread.
“Alternative Energy King” Jerry McNierny won against incumbent Richard Pombo here in our district using a LOT of outside money. A former Assemblyman and State Board of Equalization member Dean Andal has thrown his hat into the ring to take back the seat lost by Pombo. He is a conservative and said he will only stay in Congress for a set time (self-imposed term limits). There is hope, after all.
The problem is you need something to vote for...the Republicans think they will get the I hate the Democrat congress vote. I have no enthusiam for Republicans; I don’t know if I ever will again. I don’t think the Repubs will take back congress if this immigration bill goes through.
I agree. We need a solid conservative. I have to say I would rather vote third party than vote for a Rino who will govern like a Dem and then the Repubs get the blame. The Democrats get their way and the Repubs get the shaft.
A strong candidate on top of the GOP presidential ticket will help, but I still think net losses in the House & Senate are still more likely.
but the voters dont per the polls and thats what we are referring to
So we just let the democrats have it without a fight? Like thats really working out! Geez, what a bunch of idiots we have become!
They are continually advertising against Mahoney here.
Let's not go overboard....
I was trying to say the same thing with humor. I obviously missed. :)
I think it will be a stalemate for the next 5+ years regardless who wins the White House. Congress will not move either direction and no side will have 60-67 to prevent a filibuster or override a veto.
If the party doesn’t repect the wishes of the party base then it is not our party.
The leadership thinks the same way you do, who else will they vote for if not us, so we can screw them and there is nothing they can or will do.
Well guess what, they must not have learned from the last election results.
So...the very people responsible for the deep divisions are the ones now talking about wanting to re-energize the base? I suggest that they have already energized the base. Just not in the way or the direction they had intended to.
“Oh please. PLEEEEASE. Anything to have to watch Pelosi hand that gavel back. Oh pleeeeeeeeeeeease. I will give up red meat just to see that.”
Will you forget and vote for them even if they pass the Amenesty Bill?
>No sir. This is the House, not the Senate. The House is where the power is at. I think they will learn their spending lesson and be a powerful force for good.<
If they listen to Rep. Duncan Hunter, Republicans won’t lose. And with Duncan Hunter in the White House, we all win!
Because the biggest cheerleaders for it are the Republican president and prominent Republican House and Senate leaders.
“No sir. This is the House, not the Senate. The House is where the power is at. I think they will learn their spending lesson and be a powerful force for good.”
I know you told me 3 times, but I still don’t buy it. The GOP had the House, the Senate, and the White House and did almost nothing. Now many of the Republicans are toeing the Democrat line.
A pox on both of their houses.
sorry
Hopefully we have a presidential candidate with coattails as well.
Not for a minute did I think ‘06 was a generational shift. Just a message to the bums in office.
May I answer this question-NO!
President Bush lead the charge. Prominent Repubs are forcing it through. It’s a Republican bill;a bipartisan grand compromise if you will. There is enough votes to stop cloture if they wanted to. When the Republican Senate leaders behave this way, the GOP is to blame period. The GOP thinks we are stupid-that we will forget and vote for them as the lesser of two evils-not going to do it. The GOP is in for a heck of a surprise in 2008 if the amnesty bill goes through.
Just heard on Rush -
Congress’ approval rating on the immigration issue is 3%, yes, three.
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TAR AND FEATHERS TIME!
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