Posted on 06/02/2007 2:50:39 PM PDT by yoe
Memo to Hillary Rodham Clinton: Your deputy campaign manager was right.
An internal campaign memo late last month urged the Democratic front-runner to bypass first-up and momentum-generating Iowa because of Clinton's lackluster showing despite drawing large crowds - a memo she immediately disavowed.
Yet, the reality from Des Moines to Dubuque lends credence to deputy campaign manager Mike Henry's assessment that for Clinton, Iowa is "our consistently weakest state."
Presidential rival John Edwards has capitalized on the remnants of his 2004 presidential operation in the state, the freedom to visit in the absence of a day job and a fresh populist appeal to grab the lead in recent polls.
Clinton's other top rival, Barack Obama, has drawn large crowds and hired a team of experienced organizers with a deep knowledge of Iowa's arcane caucus system. Even lesser-known candidates Bill Richardson and Chris Dodd have gained some traction with ads on Iowa television.
"If the caucuses were held today, it's fair to say she would probably not win," former state Democratic Party Chairman Gordon Fischer said. "It's going to take a tremendous amount of work to catch up - it's doable, but it's going to be difficult."
The notion of the Democratic front-runner losing Iowa would jolt the presidential race. The state's last three winners captured the Democratic nomination as Al Gore beat back Bill Bradley's strong challenge in 2000 and John Kerry saw his moribund candidacy revived after his victory in 2004.
Clinton's husband, Bill, then the sitting president, cruised in 1996.
Hillary Clinton isn't as familiar to Iowa voters, and within days of the memo, she was back in the state, completing the last leg of her "Four Corners of Iowa" tour. She and six of the Democratic presidential candidates will be in the state Saturday night for a state party dinner.
Obama is skipping the event for a series of fundraisers on the West Coast, a decision that upset several Iowa Democrats.
I'm shocked.
AAAAAwww. Too bad.
If Hillary keeps performing like this, will her “wet affairs” people be unleashed?
I’m beginning to think that Hillary could finish in third or fourth place. If she finishes in fourth, she is finished.
May she get hit early and hard. May she be the first to destruct.
I find that hard to believe.
Like putting her in jail.
That was a dreadful speech. I can’t see how that appearance benefited her at all.
We all loathe her, even those in the middle and to the slight left in politics loathe her and distrust her. Even the Moonbats have no time for her because they’re busy throwing Pelosi under the bus at this time because she isn’t doing JACK for them and their mis-guided causes even after THEY put her into the Speaker position. They’re mad.. .in more ways than one, LOL!
Has anyone beside me noted the huge LACK of coverage on Pelosi these days? It’s not that we’re not posting it, the MSM isn’t even covering her; they’re HIDING her because she’s such an embarrassment to The Party.
I don’t know how to explain it. The Beast has low ratings all around; she’s even down there with President Bush these days and Congress as a whole has it’s ‘Worst. Ratings. Ever.’ (As well they should.)
‘Hillary!’ is listening to her inner circle of worshipers and yes-men, but in The Real World, she’s toast. ;)
I have family in Iowa. They don’t like lesbians. Sorry Hillary.
“A carpet-bagging socialist fraud with a fake southern accent doesn’t appeal to middle America?”
Come on. You could’ve gotten “shrew” or “fishwife” in there if you had tried harder, LOL! :)
Iowans don’t need a stinking Marxist-Stalinist village coming into their towns. Stay home Mrs. Bill Clinton and take care of your wayward husband first before telling other women how to run their homes and lives.
But I was being kind. :-P
I just added “Pinginapantsuit” to the Keywords. I feel better now. :)
Me too. I think the problem is she’s to familiar to them and they know to much about her.
Iowa Democrats are pretty liberal, but they’re also Iowans. They can’t stomach Shrillary’s obvious arrogance and viciousness. I believe something similar happened to Howard Dean there in ‘04. Kerry is an a$$hole too, but a less obvious one. Iowa could be a race between the Breck Girl and Hussein.
Thanks SB.
Thanks! Use it all you want!
http://www.seadogbytes.com/
http://www.seadogbytes.com/RecentSeadog.htm
Hilldog is losing in Iowa and South Carolina. Is there any early state in which she leads?
Tom, I hate to admit that I don't know what "wet affairs" are...but I have to admit it! Can you please explain this phrase to me?
:-)
?
If she is still in the race, Iowa will do to her what it did to Dean in 2000.
Except her screeching will be much much worse, but it won’t be in public.
Hell to pay, indeed.
I still worry...because clintons C*H*E*A*T.
The term “wet affairs” is the euphamism by which Soviet spooks of the former KGB would refer to operations that resulted in the “liquidation” of the subject.
Thank you!
That’s an important phrase to know!
(I’m embarrassed that I didn’t know it.)
:-)
Iowa is a must win for both Obama and Edwards. Obama because he comes from a border state. Edwards because he has led in the polls here in Iowa for 2 years. If either one fails to win Iowa, he is probably out of the race.
HRC does not have that kind of pressure. She does not have to win Iowa. But she has nothing to gain by devaluing Iowa since it has the potential to defeat one or both of her rivals.
She needs 270 Electoral College votes to win. She’ll never accomplish that because we in the “Flyover States” will never vote for her. She may get a few states on the Left & Right Coasts, maybe Chicago-Land, but not from those of us in the middle.
She didn’t even run for the Senate from either of her “home” states of Arkansas or Michigan. She wouldn’t have won that Senate seat if Rudy hadn’t of dropped out due to his cancer. Lazio was a WEAK contender against her. I don’t think she’s even going to get the DNC nod as their candidate for 2008.
What’s your scenario for her gaining 270 EC votes? How could she possible “cheat” into a win?
My only fear is a Third Party popping up and siphoning votes. That’s how her husband Slick won the Presidency. I don’t see much on the horizon for that, but I don’t remember how late in the game Ross Perot entered the race, do you remember?
See my Post #35. But...you can still pull weeds for me, LOL!
As I've stated in the past year, watch for a couple more stupid moves by Dubya which will provoke a Third Party entry. Most honest folks will be so fed up with politics and frustrated with the status quo, so they'll buy into it.
Obama is such an empty suit, I'd love to see him the Democrat nominee, but the Dems know that too. His job is to suck any remaining air out of the room. Edwards too, would be a fantasy Republican dream, but that won't happen. All these code Pink and lefty demonstrations? All orchestrated to make Hillary look butch on military and defense issues.
R. Limbaugh predicts her Presidency with a 80% chance.
I'll go 100%, but leave myself an out with the Nuke - WMD scenario.
Gags me to say it, but at this point le Beast is unstoppable, short of a itty bitty nuke or two. Did I mention on a hot day, I can't tell Rhubarb from ragweed?
I’m not bright in the ways of cheating, so I can’t tell how she might achieve her theft of office. Through our experiences with these criminals, I have learned to fear that if it can be done, she’ll do it.
Dear Lord...I pray that she can’t!!!
When did Rush say she’ll be our next president? Gawd. I find that hard to believe.
BUT...if it’s to be so, and America needs to go even further down the tubes to kick the GOP in the arse and give us another Reagan Revolution, that might not be the worst thing to happen to us throughout history.
There have been darker days.
I still don’t believe she’ll win. I can’t. I won’t.
Always nice to see a respected pundit join in my long stated opinion.
Folks are Democrat for a reason, most of them are financially dependent on the establishment.
So when they say they don't "like" Hillary, it's to the level of disliking chocolate chip vs. butterscotch ice cream.
As the Hispanics and blacks start to fight it out for the favor of the Democrat Party establishment, watch both groups do 'turn out the vote' drives like never seen before.
I suspect Ohio and New Mexico along with Texas, will end up in the Dem's column.
RE: “Great stuff:”
Thanks, but #2 (the red/black one), of course, was thanks to ‘Silly’ at #22 — http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1843821/posts?page=22#22
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