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The Democrats' cynical timing (David Frum)
National Post - Canada ^ | Saturday, April 21, 2007 | David Frum

Posted on 04/21/2007 8:54:48 AM PDT by GMMAC

The Democrats' cynical timing

David Frum, National Post
Published: Saturday, April 21, 2007


This war is lost." No, that was not said by some angry protester, not by some gloating terrorist, but by the Majority Leader of the U.S. Senate, Harry Reid, in remarks to journalists Thursday.

That's the same Harry Reid who voted only three months ago to confirm General David Petraeus as commander of U.S. forces in Iraq.

Gen. Petraeus appeared before the Senate -- Reid's Senate -- to describe a new strategy in Iraq, backed by almost 28,000 additional US troops. Petraeus detailed his plans and warned he would need at least six months to achieve success. Reid voted to give him that chance. So did 80 other senators: Petraeus was confirmed 81-0.

Those 28,000 troops are flowing into Iraq at this very moment. They will continue to arrive into the summer.

But the new "clear and hold" strategy has already gone into effect: U.S. troops carried out 7,400 patrols in Baghdad in the first week of February 2007 - and 20,000 in the second week.

Despite last week's atrocious bombings in Baghdad, the surge is already yielding results.

At a press briefing Friday in Washington, Pentagon officials pointed out that attacks on civilians in Baghdad dropped by 50% in the first six weeks of the new plan as compared to the six weeks before the plan began. Civilian casualties across Iraq declined by 24% in the first six weeks of the new plan as compared to the six weeks before.

Baghdad's Shiite militias have gone to ground, and U.S. military intelligence believes that the radical cleric Moqtada al-Sadr has fled to Iran.

For the first time since the January 2005 elections, strong and positive news is coming to Iraq. And this is the moment that the leader of the Democrats in the U.S. Senate chooses to throw in the towel?

Reid's office hastily issued a semi-retraction: "As long as we follow the President's path in Iraq, the war is lost. But there is still a chance to change course -- and we must change course."

What might such a course look like? Reid is clear about only one thing: The new course begins with a withdrawal of U.S. troops.

Democrats disagreeamongst themselves when that withdrawal should start. Reid says 12 months from now. Some of the more liberal Democrats in the House of Representatives say six months. The most radical want to start the pullout in just two.

But almost all Democrats agree that the right time to announce their decision to quit is right now, right in the middle of the surge, right in the middle of the battle.

Some cynical Republicans wonder whether Democrats want to cut off the troops now precisely because they fear that the surge might succeed.

Others suspect that the Democrats are just posturing: They count on the President to defy them and continue the surge anyway. If the surge works, the public will forget or anyway not care that the Democrats opposed it. If it fails, they can say, "I told you so."

Whatever the motive, 40 years after Vietnam, the Democrats remain a party desperately uncomfortable with military force. Democrats can tolerate the use of force only for very short intervals, so long as casualties remain low and the media remain indulgent, as happened in Kosovo in 1999. But let the war prove long or hard, let events unfold in surprising or frustrating ways, then they just fold up like accordions.

Even relatively hawkish Democrats cannot resist. Look at Joe Biden, the Delaware Democrat who now chairs the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Long robust on Iraq, Biden now shrugs off the surge's early successes. The surge, he wrote in an April 12 oped, is just "squeezing a water balloon." If conditions improve in Baghdad, well that's just a preliminary to deterioration elsewhere. He has called for withdrawal to begin within 3 months.

The U.S. public has soured on Iraq, and politicians like Reid and Biden have absorbed that mood. The Democrats benefited from this sourness in 2006, and they are betting everything on benefiting more in 2008. Well maybe.

But here is another bet. Since Vietnam, Democrats have struggled desperately and unavailingly against their image as the party of weakness on national security. In March 2005, a group of elected Democrats headed by Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh warned their colleagues: "No political party will gain or hold power --nor will it deserve to--if it cannot provide people with a basic sense of security." They added: "While we have roundly condemned the Bush administration's mistakes in Iraq, it is essential that partisan enmity not obscure America's vital interest in helping the newly elected Iraqi government succeed." Good advice -- but advice that has long since been discarded as Democrats in Congress rush to embrace defeat.

DFrum@aei.org

© National Post 2007


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: harryreid; iraq; islamofascism; warfunding

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1 posted on 04/21/2007 8:54:50 AM PDT by GMMAC
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To: fanfan; Pikamax; Former Proud Canadian; Great Dane; Alberta's Child; headsonpikes; Ryle; ...

PING!
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2 posted on 04/21/2007 8:57:09 AM PDT by GMMAC (Discover Canada governed by Conservatives: www.CanadianAlly.com)
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To: GMMAC

“The U.S. public has soured on Iraq, and politicians like Reid and Biden have absorbed that mood. The Democrats benefited from this sourness in 2006, and they are betting everything on benefiting more in 2008. Well maybe.”

millions of negative tv images on iraq by the democrap tv,

and a president that did not sell the war well,

and rumsfeld, franks, bremer, et al that screwed up the war...

vietnam redux.


3 posted on 04/21/2007 8:57:39 AM PDT by ken21 (it takes a village to brainwash your child + to steal your property! /s)
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To: GMMAC; Alberta's Child; albertabound; AntiKev; backhoe; Byron_the_Aussie; Cannoneer No. 4; ...

-


4 posted on 04/21/2007 9:01:13 AM PDT by Clive
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To: ken21
On the other hand, Rush Limbaugh is correct that the Rats now effectively "own defeat".

A concept well beyond Johnny Cochrane's "Be careful what you wish for ..." and more into the realm of the proverbial dog who chased cars for years, finally caught one, and then didn't know what to do with it.
5 posted on 04/21/2007 9:08:33 AM PDT by GMMAC (Discover Canada governed by Conservatives: www.CanadianAlly.com)
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To: GMMAC

Much conjecture but the Bush metric remains as the fact on the ground. The public will know the surge is succeeding when we start to stand down. The media won’t be able to hide that.


6 posted on 04/21/2007 9:09:03 AM PDT by ex-snook ("But above all things, truth beareth away the victory.")
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To: GMMAC
This generation's Dooficrats have a great deal to live up to. Their predecessor's call for "Peace In Our Time" fit on a T-Shirt and the term "Killing Fields" did too!

I wonder what their response will be when the millions who die because of their policy will perish in NYC, Chicago, LA, and DFW?

7 posted on 04/21/2007 9:12:19 AM PDT by Young Werther ( and Julius Ceasar said, "quae cum ita sunt." (or since these things are so!))
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To: GMMAC
Some cynical Republicans wonder whether Democrats want to cut off the troops now precisely because they fear that the surge might succeed.

The Democrat party is 100% invested in our defeat. The surge in troops seems to be working. The Democrats must ensure defeat to survive. That is what this is all about. Harry Reid and his ilk do not give on damn that what they say causes United States Military Troops to die. They are beyond contempt, they are simply scum.

8 posted on 04/21/2007 9:26:00 AM PDT by cpdiii (Pharmacist, Pilot, Geologist, Oil Field Trash and proud of it.)
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To: Young Werther
“I wonder what their response will be when the millions who die because of their policy will perish in NYC, Chicago, LA, and DFW?”

They will blame it on the Republicans. Face it the war is lost, but not the one in Iraq. The war was for the American Media and we lost and lost badly. Rosie O’Donnell is now the voice of America. Her most irrational, traitorous rants go unchallenged. Yet any effort of a conservative to justify our political view is regarded as a hate crime.

The media picks the conservative candidates. Rudy and Johnny M are hardly the choice of conservatives. The fairness doctrine will soon silence the few remaining conservative voices on talk radio. And the gun grabbers will ensure that there will be no resistance to the left wing tyranny. The soviets proved it time and again it doesn't matter what you say if yours is the only message that the people hear.

9 posted on 04/21/2007 9:31:02 AM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: Young Werther
It will not matter to them which way things go. If you are "against" something, there is an infinite number of ways you can be proven "right". If you are "for" something, there is essentially only one way you can be shown "right".

If millions die in NYC, LA, etc, the democrats can say, "See, we were right. Bush was wasting time in Iraq and not protecting us at home."

You get the picture.

10 posted on 04/21/2007 9:31:21 AM PDT by Chaguito
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To: cpdiii
The same seditious crap is going on up here but, perhaps our elected conservatives are a bit more willing to shove it back in the defeatists' faces?

Lots of marvelous quotes in this article & on the thread following it:
Harper accuses Liberals of making political hay on soldiers' deaths

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11 posted on 04/21/2007 9:43:17 AM PDT by GMMAC (Discover Canada governed by Conservatives: www.CanadianAlly.com)
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To: GMMAC
Baghdad's Shiite militias have gone to ground, and U.S. military intelligence believes that the radical cleric Moqtada al-Sadr has fled to Iran.

We need to work on getting the press to change this guy's moniker. How 'bout "radical terrorist and wanna-be cleric Mookie al-sadr?"

12 posted on 04/21/2007 9:55:16 AM PDT by upchuck (A living, breathing example of the Peter Principle. Oh, forgetful, too :)
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To: GMMAC

Time to pull out of Kosovo!!

Pray for W and Our Troops


13 posted on 04/21/2007 9:59:20 AM PDT by bray (The Surge is Working against both Enemies of America)
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To: GMMAC

Democrats basically need to be referred to as the Loser Party from now on.


14 posted on 04/21/2007 10:05:40 AM PDT by listenhillary (Islamofacists are playing our media like a master virtuoso)
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To: GMMAC

Reid’s office hastily issued a semi-retraction: “As long as we follow the President’s path in Iraq, the war is lost. But there is still a chance to change course — and we must change course.”

Nice try Harry.....your retraction won’t work...


15 posted on 04/21/2007 11:10:27 AM PDT by vietvet67
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To: vietvet67
Nice try Harry.....your retraction won’t work...

Yes it will, because the MSM is using the RESTATED version on the news. They actually gave him a Mulligan.

16 posted on 04/21/2007 11:40:55 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (The Drive-By Media is attempting to Cronkite the Iraq war.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

Maybe so but the MSM did show his original statement enough times that the cat will be hard to put back in the bag.

People don’t usually give politicians much slack in retracting or altering their original statements.


17 posted on 04/21/2007 12:34:48 PM PDT by vietvet67
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To: GMMAC; Txsleuth; SE Mom; bray; holdonnow; tet68; snugs; eeevil conservative; Trueblackman; ...

Let’s talk about what else has happened since Vietnam, politically speaking. Specifically, electorally speaking.

Actually, let’s go back a bit. In the last 48 years, the White House has been occupied by Republicans over Democrats, by a year count of 28 to 20.

However, if you start counting from 1970 - that’s 38 years, for those in Rio Linda - the number changes to 26 years Republican, to 12 years Democrat. 1970 was about the midway point of Vietnam, and two years later, their big antiwar candidate McGovern was trounced by Nixon. But I digress.

Let’s jump to 1980...in the 28 years since, the record is 20-8...the 8 represented by two presidents named Clinton (did they not say repeatedly “two for one”?

My point is that for all of the times that we suffered having Democrat leadership in the House and Senate, current times included, the results of the Presidential elections have been quite differeent. And someday, someone with great courage (in the government) will mention the obvious, about the Iraq vote and war.

In 2002, the Democrats had control of the Senate - with about as slim a margin as they have now, I might add - due to Jim Jeffords shifting to Independent. It was a year after 9/11, a year after they passed a vote authorizing the President to do whatever it took to protect this country from a repeat of what had just happened, and was still a gaping wound at the time.

So the Democrats, as Frum properly noted to be weak on defense since (at least) Vietnam, had a golden opportunity to prove that they were the “strong on defense” party, and a parade of Democrats from both houses talked about how vital it was to defeat Saddam Hussein (including Kerry, BreckGirl, and a bunch of these other mierda).

Interesting enough that this joint resolution happened right before the 2002 midterm elections. I submit, as I have since joining this board, that when the Democrats not only failed to regain the House, but lost the Senate, that they couldn’t run fast enough against the war, and against the President, rightly figuring that the DriveBy Media would give them cover.

In terms of the House and Senate, the Left might be right - if I recall, the Dims had the House for 40 years straight, before the “temper tantrum” of 1994, and just now got it back - but the statistics go against them for regaining the White House with people like Reid, Pelosi, Kerry, Biden, et. al. in their caucus.

My two cents.


18 posted on 04/21/2007 12:40:08 PM PDT by Christian4Bush (Dennis Miller said it best “Liberals always feel your pain. Unless of course, they caused it.”)
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To: Christian4Bush

Thanks for the ping.

I have to disagree with Frum’s point that Biden and Reid have absorbed the public’s souring on the war.

I think Biden, Reid, Murtha and the rest have CAUSED the American public to be soured on the war.


19 posted on 04/21/2007 12:58:35 PM PDT by Txsleuth
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To: Christian4Bush

I saw on the Fox ticker that Minn. Sen. Klobachar gave the Dem response to Bush’s weekly address.

Bush spoke about the tragedy of Virginia Tech, with prayers for healing.

Klobachar said they need to SEND A MESSAGE to the Iraqi government that the USA won’t be their indefinitely.

How much NICER it would have been if she would have sent a message to THE TERRORISTS..that their act is getting tiresome...and they aren’t long for this world.

The Dems are really good at threatening Prs. Bush, Cheney, Rove, Condi, ....and the Iraqi Government....but, cater to the propaganda needs of the terrorists.


20 posted on 04/21/2007 1:03:22 PM PDT by Txsleuth
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To: Bahbah; Mo1; jedward; STARWISE

PING


21 posted on 04/21/2007 1:06:55 PM PDT by Txsleuth
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To: GonzoGOP
“I wonder what their response will be when the millions who die because of their policy will perish in NYC, Chicago, LA, and DFW?”

They will blame it on the Republicans.

And they'll have the perfect explanation: "Bush paid no attention to border security." Doesn't matter that it's hypocritical on their part to say it.

22 posted on 04/21/2007 1:18:12 PM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ("Wise men don't need to debate; men who need to debate are not wise." -- Tao Te Ching)
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To: Christian4Bush

Interesting. I daresay if there were still Democrats such as Daniel Patrick Moynihan and Scoop Jackson, we wouldn’t be witnessing the takeover of the once great (though completely wrong on the issues!) party by true socialists.

The Democrats have let this happen to themselves- and I don’t see an end in sight.


23 posted on 04/21/2007 2:12:39 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet & FredFan)
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