Posted on 01/23/2007 7:04:11 AM PST by areafiftyone
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone poll shows that former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) continues to hold an eight-point lead over Senator John McCain (R) in the race for the Republican nomination. Giuliani now earns 30% of the vote, up from 28% a week ago. John McCain (R) has support from 22% while former House Speaker Newt Gingrich remains in third at 12%.
Former Massachusetts Mitt Romney is back in double digits at 10%. Another former Governor Mike Huckabee registers just 2% as does Senator Sam Brownback. Senator Chuck Hagel registers support from 1% of GOP voters.
While McCain continues to hold a solid second place in this polling, a separate survey shows he has lost ground in general election match-ups. In fact, for the first time in any Rasmussen Reports polling, McCain has fallen behind a Democratic competitor, trailing both Illinois Senator Barack Obama and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards. McCain may be hampered by the situation in Iraq (considered the most important issue by voters). Most Americans believe we should be reducing the number of U.S. troops fighting in that country while McCain supports the President’s call for more troops.
Giuliani continues to lead all Democrats--see a summary of these match-ups along with favorability ratings and perceptions of the candidates’ ideology. A summary is also provided for Democratic contenders.
While Giuliani has consistently led in polls of potential GOP primary voters, there is an intense debate among political observers as to whether the former Mayor of New York can actually win the nomination. Those who say Giuliani cannot win point to his views on key social issues and his own lifestyle which includes multiple marriages and divorces. Others say that Giuliani’s leadership quotient and charisma will overcome those points for Republicans fearful of seeing a Democrat in the White House.
((((((RUDY POLL PING)))))
I prefer Rudy over McCain but Romney over all.
Actually if you read the poll Romney is doing much better. I bet you in about 6 months Romney will be 2 and McCain will drop down to 4th!
Not bad for a guy who isn't even running.
What's Rudy's position on the surge?
Am I alone in thinking I want nothing to do with either one of them? Has the GOP sunk to such a low, that they are considered the front runners by the media?
“Success or failure in Iraq is not a matter of partisan politics but a matter of national security. All Americans should be hoping, praying and offering constructive advice for the success of our troops in Iraq and for those Iraqis seeking to create a stable and decent government. In that spirit, I support the President’s increase in troops. Even more importantly – I support the change in strategy – the focus on security and the emphasis on a political and economic solution as being even more important than a military solution.
I would add to it a heavy emphasis on measuring results and having the flexibility of adapting our strategy to make certain we restore security as quickly as possible.
We must not wait for a year or more to measure the success of our strategy but must develop a system to do so monthly weekly even daily so we give our troops the necessary support to succeed.”
McCain would be a disaster as the GOP nominee.
Guliani won't be much better. With his recent surge, it is a call for concern.
Guliani, like it or not, folded rather than face Hillary for the NY Senate. [Why?]
It appears she will be the Dem candidate in 08.
If Guliani is the GOP nominee, and if he does have to face Hillary for the White House, will Rudy fold again?
[If you say 'no', then ask yourself, 'why did he fold in NY?' Postrate cancer? Curious. John Kerry had surgery for the same condition just months before he ran for the White House. It didn't seem to interfere with Kerry's run.]
Not exactly my first and second choice either!
Unfortunately, the process is now such that any potential candidate must spend a couple of years building up money and support. Not sure if this is directly related to CFR or just the way things have evolved. I suppose it is still possible for a 'dark horse' candidate to come in and knock everyone's socks off but it would just about take a miracle for someone who has not started working on their candidacy to do that now.
Ill bet once more tapes surface of Rommney he will be running as a Democrat!
Don't believe it. Hunter was obviously left out of the survey.
This is from a few days ago: http://news.yahoo.com/s/cq/20070116/pl_cq_politics/longshothuntertoutswininarizonastrawpollasmccainrunsfourth
Right now, the Rassmussen is really worthless other than to indicate who has the best name recognition.
Be afraid Rudy haters....be very afraid! lol.
I doubt more than 1% of the country has HEARD of Duncan Hunter.
I don't think so. In ever poll so far Hunter has been polling either 1% or 0%.
I love Rudy. If McCain doesn't get the nomination,I hope that Rudy will. He'll make a fine president and whomp Hillary's butt.
IIRC, he was the first of the potential candidates to come out in full support of the Prez and the surge.
Dittos.
Prostate cancer.
Me too. I am unaware of Rudy or Romney being in outright violation of the oath to uphold the Consitution.
Newt Gingrich/Ben Stein '08
You missed the last paragraph of my previous comment.
Postrate cancer didn't seem to deter John Kerry's run for the White House.
OH PULEEEZ! Rudy's father died of Prostrate cancer. Rudy caught his and opted for implantation of radioactive "seeds" in the prostate. Before the procedure, Giuliani was treated for four months with Lupron, a drug that blocks the production of testosterone, the male hormone that prostate cancer cells thrive on.
The "seed" treatment was followed by external radiation.
Giuliani said he chose double radiation over surgery because the expected side effects of impotence and incontinence "would be less, and more manageable. I had side effects for some time, but now my health is fine, and the side effects are gone."
Everyone is different and chooses different treatments. Would you have liked him to campaign dragging and IV along with him?
The bad news just keeps coming. With any of the top three or four mentioned, we'll be lucky to get 40% of the popular vote.
I do fear that Rino Rudy will win the nomination. It will almost certainly mean a rat win. He is unelectable rino liberal.
A quick glance at the primary/caucus schedule (still subject to change) shows that the primaries begin on Jan. 22 and effectively end on Feb. 5 with possibly 15 states having primaries on that date.
Things have gotten so front-loaded it's much, much harder than ever for some darkhorse to build a groundswell of support - money going in before the primaries is more important than ever.
Until I looked at the sched, I was sort of vaguely aware of this, but it really hits you once you look.
Frankly, it's hard to even make a case for a guy like Romney being able to make it vs. McCain/Giuliani in that environment - much less tha cabal of either already hated (Gingrich) or zero name recognition "True Conservative" faves here.
NO northeastern inner-city liberal RINOs need apply.
Too bad RINO-rudy's relatives don't grow weary of posting this tripe.
In case you haven't noticed, Free Republic and the country as a whole are two different electorates.
If Rudy can win the nomination (as you postulate), then he is *far* from unelectable in the General.
Yep...that's pretty much where I am on the candidates. Some of the second-tier guys are OK if they can get some traction.
I noticed. What's your point? We'll be lucky to get 30%?
A pro gay, pro illegal, pro abortion, and anti gun liberal like Rino Rudy will swell the ranks of third party voters or just get many conservatives and evangelicals to stay home.
McCain, although I dislike him, could probably win the general election. Giuliani...no way. Romney...maybe.
Anyone outside the trio of McCain/Romney/Giuliani has precisely zero chance of winning the general election, rather than the reverse.
At least frame the debate in a rational way.
But the fact that they both had prostate cancer and one chose to run and another didn't is to overlook the types of treatment chosen and the timing. I don't know all the details but I do know that Kerry had surgery and Giuliani had hormone therapy and a treatment with radiation in implanted pellet form and 25 external radiation treatments over a five-week period.
Ron Paul sounds good on everything except his stance on defense...the rest are more hole than boat. Is it folly to still hope for a candidate in the mold of Reagan or Goldwater? Sure, one runs into the problem of letting perfect become the enemy of good enough...but damn.
Well, you're living in a fantasy world devoid of contact with people who don't share your own political views.
There's no sea of 20 million social con voters who sit out EVERY election until they get a candidate that PRECISELY matches all of their views and then they finally come out to vote.
A McCain for President yard sign will NEVER cast it's shadow on my front lawn.
As for Rudy he has what it takes to strike fear in the democrat front runners - but I'm not jumping on his band wagon just yet.
I saw an article with dates last year. I didn't keep the link.
According to it, Rudy dropped out of the race in the early spring, but didn't actually undergo treatment until the late summer, early fall.
That is a disparity that could have significance, especially if the Clinton camp has a bombshell they can explode after the Conventions and before the election.
Politics is dirty, after all. Leave no stone unturned or it could swift boat a candidate.
One thing I think many miss about Rudy.
He will carry a lot of Democrat votes - just like Reagan did.
His appeal is plain talk (not sound bites), he can speak without a script, his mastery of issues, and he is a leader.
Right now - a lot of people react to what they hear - the real test will come when these folks have to get up on stage and talk to all of us - and the media.
IMO that wouldn't have much of an effect on Rudy's race even if it were somehow injected into the campaign as a negative.
As for Rudy being able to handle the toughness of politics, any person that can take on the mob (as a prosecutor) and win can certainly handle Hillary.
I hear ya.
Rudy has the intellect to slice and dice anyone he will come up against in a debate.
And the sense of humor to appear likeable while doing it. Hillary will look like a wooden indian next to him.
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