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Painful ARM Twisting: Resets of adjustable mortgages will leave costly stretch marks
Market Watch ^ | 8/6/2006 | Chuck Jaffee

Posted on 08/06/2006 8:59:22 AM PDT by ex-Texan

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"Some $400 billion in loans will get a new rate this year, and another $2 trillion are set to move in 2007. * * * Those moves won't be pretty. Just two years ago, the prime rate stood around 4%; today, it is more than twice that. As a result, payments on some ARMs will double too."

Foreclosures are going up every month. Soon to reach log jam proportions. Already, television ads are pushing buying foreclosures as the next big house flip get rich quick scheme. But wait until this time next year. Are you getting the picture, yet? Whatever Or just check my FR page if you want to learn a bit more. For all the naysayers out there: "Nothing to see here. All is fine in my neck of the woods. I'm so tired of this bubble media hype. Lock your doors and windows. Time to move on."

1 posted on 08/06/2006 8:59:23 AM PDT by ex-Texan
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To: Hydroshock; Calpernia; M. Espinola; EggsAckley

*Ping*!


2 posted on 08/06/2006 9:01:30 AM PDT by ex-Texan (Mathew 7: 1 - 6)
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To: ex-Texan

I knew this was coming...that's why I sold my house late last year for a hefty profit, and am renting until this whole mess blows over...probably by 1Q or 2Q 2007.


3 posted on 08/06/2006 9:06:06 AM PDT by TampaDude (If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the PROBLEM!!!)
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To: ex-Texan
     
 

4 posted on 08/06/2006 9:11:45 AM PDT by Seamoth (Kool-aid is the most addictive and destructive drug of them all.)
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To: Seamoth

You must be in the real estate or mortgage game . . .


5 posted on 08/06/2006 9:14:25 AM PDT by ex-Texan (Mathew 7: 1 - 6)
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To: ex-Texan
They had a 42-year low in mortgage rates, but they were more concerned with how much they would have to pay each month than how much they could afford and buy a home reasonably.

Well, in some markets they had little choice as long as they felt they just "had" to buy a house. The ubiquity of these mortgages pushed what would in normal circumstances have been moderately priced homes up to very high levels, because everybody was getting an ARM. The proper response was for people to simply walk away from those bad deals and keep renting until the market stabilized. But that would have flown in the face of the American Dream (copyright 2004 - Ameriquest Corp.) and so was never considered as an option.

6 posted on 08/06/2006 9:14:26 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ("When the government is invasive, the people are wanting." -- Tao Te Ching)
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To: ex-Texan

No, just the anti-goldbug, anti-anti-free-trade, anti-minimum-wage-hike, anti-anti-fiat-currency, anti-anti-investment game.


7 posted on 08/06/2006 9:20:19 AM PDT by Seamoth (Kool-aid is the most addictive and destructive drug of them all.)
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To: Seamoth
Yeah . . . I understand completely.

Just Check This Out, Dude Nada por nada. Whatever.

8 posted on 08/06/2006 9:23:29 AM PDT by ex-Texan (Mathew 7: 1 - 6)
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To: ex-Texan

The 500K to 1mill houses around here are going up for sale at a huge clip. These are new sections and have only been occupied for one to three years. Our Saturday real estate news is getting to book size.

We also have an increase in auction notices.


9 posted on 08/06/2006 9:25:11 AM PDT by OpusatFR ( ALEA IACTA EST. We have just crossed the Rubicon.)
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To: ex-Texan
I'm going to try really hard to have sympathy for people who've over extended their credit....

There. I'm done.

10 posted on 08/06/2006 9:29:14 AM PDT by Rokke
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To: Mr. Jeeves; ex-Texan
Interesting story here from Phoenix--

Phoenix has always had a lot of high-end rentals available, which you could get good deals on if you agreed to rent for a year. (Think of the resorts in winter going begging in summer.)

With the advent of ARMs things got even worse--most 'renters' were busing buying inflated housing prices: e.g. one acquaintance whose home went in value in 1 year from $160,000 to $280,000.

So the rental places got desperate. I locked in rent for two years, at a lower rate than before the crisis.

Will wait to pick up a nice foreclosure (here or elsewhere) for a steep discount. Remember that sub-7-percent mortgage is still very low by historical standards.

"Buy low, sell high".

Cheers!

11 posted on 08/06/2006 9:29:28 AM PDT by grey_whiskers
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To: ex-Texan
They had a 42-year low in mortgage rates, but they were more concerned with how much they would have to pay each month than how much they could afford and buy a home reasonably

We hit the trough with a 5.25% fixed .... but spinning the cylinder with one chamber filled (ARM) was never an option.

Buying in the Houston market was also a plus ... only properties inside the inner loop are overpriced. I've got plenty of house, plenty of yard and a 20-25 minute commute.

12 posted on 08/06/2006 9:35:45 AM PDT by tx_eggman (Islamofascism ... bringing you the best of the 7th century for the past 1300 years.)
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To: grey_whiskers
Foreclosure Activity Up by Biggest Margin in 14 Years
13 posted on 08/06/2006 9:37:48 AM PDT by ex-Texan (Mathew 7: 1 - 6)
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To: tx_eggman

Right on. Same here. Took a 5.75% in 1998. Told the loan officer to stuff the ARM. Now home prices are going nuts in Salt Lake, too. I can't believe the prices I'm seeing demanded by sellers now. Maybe when the correction hits I can pick up a nice foreclosure.....


14 posted on 08/06/2006 9:51:16 AM PDT by Seruzawa (If you agree with the French raise your hand - If you are French raise both hands.)
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To: ex-Texan

"People were gambling ... "

And most gamblers lose, sooner or later.


15 posted on 08/06/2006 9:53:22 AM PDT by AngrySpud (Behold, I am The Anti-Crust ... Anti-Hillary)
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To: ex-Texan; grey_whiskers; Seamoth
Foreclosure activity across California soared by its biggest margin in 14 years during the second quarter in response to diminishing price appreciation, but still remained well below average levels, an industry tracker said Wednesday.

Let me know if I need to explain this to you.

16 posted on 08/06/2006 9:56:36 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Why are protectionists so bad at math?)
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To: ex-Texan

Refinanced my 30 year 8.25 three years ago with a 15 year 5.5% fixed. If I sold and bought the same house or similar house I'd be tripling my property taxes. Here in Fla property taxes cannot increase more than 2% on an annual basis so I'm still paying close to what I was paying back in the early '90s. Those who bought within the last few years are paying thousands more in taxes for a similar home because of appraisals based on ever increasing market values. Having an ARM, watching your home value drop and still having to pay triple the property taxes of your neighbors who've bought in the 90s is more than sobering.


17 posted on 08/06/2006 9:57:43 AM PDT by HockeyPop
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To: ex-Texan

oh no...we are doomed again...just for today...


18 posted on 08/06/2006 10:02:13 AM PDT by stylin19a
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To: ex-Texan
Hate to rain on the doom and gloom crowd's parade but, mortgage rates have fallen .500 in rate in the last 30 days.
And to further that, people who chose a 30 year fixed rate over a 7/1 ARM made a bad decision. 95% of people don't keep a mortgage more than 5-7 years. Why would you chose to pay 1/2 % extra in interest to have your rate fixed from years 8 -- 30?
Doesn't matter if it's Iraq, housing, oil, etc. There are always those out there shilling and hoping for Armageddon.

People should read a good book for entertainment instead of hoping for disasters.
19 posted on 08/06/2006 10:04:42 AM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (Never bring a knife to a gun fight, or a Democrat to do serious work...)
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To: Seamoth

Heeheeheeheehee!


20 posted on 08/06/2006 10:07:50 AM PDT by what's up
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