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Francine Busby (D) running even with Brian Bilbray (R) in special election
Survey USA ^ | May 11, 2006

Posted on 05/11/2006 5:09:42 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

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To: Names Ash Housewares

Good point.

The same thing is happening in Ohio where the GOP seems tainted by Gov Taft's ethical and criminal problems.


21 posted on 05/11/2006 6:26:55 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: calcowgirl

That's why I'm upset, the GOP eliminated the other choices too.


22 posted on 05/11/2006 6:27:28 PM PDT by John Geyer
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To: John Geyer

Bilbray is good on the borders and was very gracious to roach.

Busby is an open borders pelosi and dean democrat.


23 posted on 05/11/2006 6:28:07 PM PDT by santorumlite
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To: Clintonfatigued

I wouldn't mind if Busby won. Bilbray is a liberal Republican and a career politician, and if Busby wins, the voters can choose a real conservative next time and clean her clock.


24 posted on 05/11/2006 6:30:49 PM PDT by Holden Magroin
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To: John Geyer

I have family in the district and they are angry and flat-out disgusted with the GOP. No good choices.


25 posted on 05/11/2006 6:34:11 PM PDT by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: santorumlite
Busby is an open borders pelosi and dean democrat.

Comprehensive Immigration Policy
By Francine P Busby
Candidate for Member of Congress; California; Congressional District 50

Francine believes that the problem with our immigration policy is that we don't have one. On one hand, we have a "Keep Out" sign and on the other hand we have a "Help Wanted" sign. For years, we've heard heated rhetoric from politicians in Sacramento and Washington without any concrete results. Is it any wonder that citizens are frustrated and demanding action? We need to implement a comprehensive immigration policy that addresses all aspects or our immigration issues. Unfortunately, current leadership in Washington and Sacramento has been unwilling to address the issue. Francine supports John McCain's bipartisan immigration reform plan that will strengthen border security, increase penalties for employers who hire illegal immigrants and ensure that no jobs that Americans want are going to immigrant workers first. The legislation would also assist states and localities with the increased costs of education and healthcare that have come as a result of federal inaction on illegal immigration. She also supports the creation of a Smart Fence that uses proven 21st Century radar technology to detect and prevent undocumented border crossings. It's environmentally-friendly and cost-effective.
And NO, I do not advocate voting for her.
26 posted on 05/11/2006 6:37:13 PM PDT by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: calcowgirl

I'd either vote for Busby, or vote for Bilbray, and go to the CA GOP in the region and hurl a bunch of explitivies.


27 posted on 05/11/2006 6:37:18 PM PDT by John Geyer
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To: John Geyer
...and go to the CA GOP in the region and hurl a bunch of explitivies.

Haven't you done that yet? ;-)

28 posted on 05/11/2006 6:38:37 PM PDT by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: AntiGuv; crasher
Great research job! I wish more here indicated anappreciation for your fine, and indeed without hyperbole, near Herculean efforts, but FWIW, at least I do.

If the 50th turns out to be about an even match, either way, that would suggest an erosion of 5% to 7% in the GOP vote versus what Bush 2004 got. (Maybe the South will remain a different playing field, somewhat, but that is by no means clear, and in any event, most of the action is not in the South.) That suggests that in all currently GOP held seats that where there is a creditable Dem challenger, and/or where the Pubbie is damaged goods, that went for Bush 2004 by say 55% to 57% or less, that the seat is in serious play. (Sure there are some oddities like Leach of Iowa.) That I suspect is about 20-25 GOP seats. Except for the Ney seat, that probably includes all your GOP seats that are in the lean category or less, plus a few of the likely GOP seats.

29 posted on 05/11/2006 7:08:43 PM PDT by Torie
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To: calcowgirl

All of those issues that you cite are close to zero traction in the subject election, even among strong conservatives, in CA-50. It is about corruption, time for a change, send a message to Bush, and immigration. That is what is tipping the partisan balance.


30 posted on 05/11/2006 7:12:52 PM PDT by Torie
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To: Clintonfatigued
On a brighter note, Dick DeVos pulled ahead of Gov. Jennifer Granholm in the polls in Michigan 46% - 45%. Granholm had a 20% lead six months ago.

Gov. Jen is as dumb as she is cute.
31 posted on 05/11/2006 7:12:56 PM PDT by BW2221
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To: calcowgirl

I'm not in California, can't afford it.


32 posted on 05/11/2006 7:17:06 PM PDT by John Geyer
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To: Torie

I don't think you are right, moderates are the greatest threat that this country has ever seen. They lull you into complacency with their readiness to compromise, and then they knife you in the back and start imposing a liberal agenda when they have enough power. Moderates are evil.


33 posted on 05/11/2006 7:19:54 PM PDT by John Geyer
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To: AntiGuv

What is your partisan lean baseline by the way? That is a rather critical question come to think of it. Bush was such a good partisan baseline. It was much messier in 1994. I say that because NJ-8 was not nearly as Dem as you suggest, generically. IL-5 was Rosty, no?


34 posted on 05/11/2006 7:19:58 PM PDT by Torie
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To: John Geyer

Stating that it is your opinion that moderates are evil, the most wicked witches of all, I don't think really addresses my point.


35 posted on 05/11/2006 7:23:37 PM PDT by Torie
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To: Torie

My opinion doesn't matter, I don't live in this district, I'm not sure if you live in this district. Where do you live anyways? We need to get more local voices.


36 posted on 05/11/2006 7:24:42 PM PDT by John Geyer
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To: John Geyer

I live in CA 48, two CD's to the north, the one Gilchrist ran in, against whom I voted, preferring instead the beta Pubbie former used car salesman, Mr. John Campbell.


37 posted on 05/11/2006 7:27:55 PM PDT by Torie
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To: Torie
All of those issues that you cite are close to zero traction in the subject election, even among strong conservatives, in CA-50.

They all have traction among my CD50 district family members and other voters I know.

It is about corruption, time for a change, send a message to Bush, and immigration. That is what is tipping the partisan balance.

Definitely the first and last are prominent. Most I know aren't trying to send a message, they just want a principled rep with a spine who won't roll over on their campaign promises and will fight to uphold traditional Republican values like smaller government, strong defesne, enforcement of immigration laws, fewer social programs, etc.

38 posted on 05/11/2006 7:29:56 PM PDT by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: LS
(And I sympathize, I'm a seal-the-borders guy: but I don't see it translating yet into election results.)

Yep. I'm actually surprised at how little effect it has. You could make plenty of excuses for Gilchrist, and often seal-the-borders candidates have a high goofball quotient. But even among reasonable candidates, the issue just isn't animating voters.

39 posted on 05/11/2006 7:30:26 PM PDT by AmishDude (AmishDude, servant of the dark lord Xenu.)
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To: Torie
Stating that it is your opinion that moderates are evil, the most wicked witches of all, I don't think really addresses my point.

These are people who won't take half a loaf, but already have their table covered with butter, jam and caviar.

40 posted on 05/11/2006 7:32:53 PM PDT by AmishDude (AmishDude, servant of the dark lord Xenu.)
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