Skip to comments.
Huge asteroid threatening Earth
AFP ^
| March 03, 2006
Posted on 03/03/2006 10:28:08 AM PST by presidio9
AN asteroid capable of devastating an area the size of a sub-continent has about a one in 1000 risk of hitting Earth early next century, NASA said today.
The rock, 2004 VD17, is about 500m long and has a mass of nearly a billion tonnes.
If it hit Earth it would deliver 10,000 megatonnes of energy, equivalent to all the world's nuclear weapons. Spotted on November 27 2004, VD17 was identified as potentially crossing Earth's orbit, with a one in 3000 risk of collision on May 4, 2102.
Further observations and calculations have prompted the risk on that day to be upgraded to "a bit less than one in 1000", said NASA Near-Earth Object (NEO) expert David Morrison in an emailed circular.
"The risk of an impact within the next century (is) higher than that of any other known asteroid," he said, stressing however that the likelihood of a hit was small.
"Fortunately, it is nearly a century before the close pass from VD17. This should provide ample time to refine the orbit and, most probably, determine that the asteroid will miss the Earth." Collisions by large asteroids or comets are extraordinarily rare, but can be watershed events when they happen.
The reign of the dinosaurs is believed to have ended 65 million years ago by a rock that smashed into the Yucatan peninsula in Mexico.
The theory is that the impact kicked up vast clouds of dust that were borne around the globe on high-altitude winds and filtered out light and heat from the sun, inflicting climate change that changed Earth's biodiversity.
TOPICS: Extended News; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: asteroids; awgeeznotthisshit; doomed; theskyisfalling; wereallgonnadie
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-50, 51-100, 101-137 next last
1
posted on
03/03/2006 10:28:09 AM PST
by
presidio9
To: presidio9
I hope it hits my neighbor's house. I hate that guy.
To: presidio9
So I guess this makes global warming moot.
3
posted on
03/03/2006 10:29:48 AM PST
by
Brilliant
To: presidio9
Will it breach the levees, or only top them?
-PJ
Comment #5 Removed by Moderator
To: Brilliant

Actually, NASA has the situation under control, as long as the flying saucer does not interfere.
6
posted on
03/03/2006 10:30:46 AM PST
by
presidio9
("Bird Flu" is the new Y2K Virus -Only without the inconvenient deadline.)
To: presidio9
The rock, 2004 VD17, is about 500m longCrap. VD is going to do us all in. It's long, massive and bringing the pain.
7
posted on
03/03/2006 10:30:47 AM PST
by
Sax
To: presidio9
8
posted on
03/03/2006 10:31:07 AM PST
by
HOTTIEBOY
(The more people I meet, the more I like my dog.)
To: presidio9
"Not Earth! That's where I keep all my stuff!" - The Tick
To: presidio9
Where's Bruce Willis when you need him?
10
posted on
03/03/2006 10:31:19 AM PST
by
theDentist
(Qwerty ergo typo : I type, therefore I misspelll.)
To: ClearCase_guy
I bet they will revise the odds to something more like 1 in 1,000,000,000.
11
posted on
03/03/2006 10:31:25 AM PST
by
cheme
To: presidio9
I hope it's not too early to wet my pants.
12
posted on
03/03/2006 10:31:28 AM PST
by
freedomson
(Tagline comment removed by moderator)
To: presidio9
WE_ARE_ALL_GOING_TO_DIE!!!!!!!! AAAAAHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!
13
posted on
03/03/2006 10:31:42 AM PST
by
kerryusama04
(The Bill of Rights is not occupation specific.)
To: presidio9
Like we don't already have enough problems!
14
posted on
03/03/2006 10:31:43 AM PST
by
mlc9852
To: presidio9
Actually, NASA has the situation under control, as long as the flying saucer does not interfere.I don't care who you are, that's funny.
To: presidio9
Women and minorities will be hardest hit.
16
posted on
03/03/2006 10:31:51 AM PST
by
FormerACLUmember
(No program, no ideas, no clue: The democrats!)
To: freedomson
Guess Visa isn't going to get that monthly payment afterall.
17
posted on
03/03/2006 10:32:36 AM PST
by
EQAndyBuzz
(To Serve Man......It's a cookbook!)
To: presidio9
18
posted on
03/03/2006 10:32:40 AM PST
by
Rummyfan
To: ClearCase_guy
I hope it hits my neighbor's house. I hate that guy.I know funny and brother, that is funny.
19
posted on
03/03/2006 10:32:55 AM PST
by
GreenAccord
(I move for a bad trial thingy!)
To: presidio9
a one in 3000 risk of collision on May 4, 2102. One in 3000 is "threatening?" Yeah, and I'm "threatening" to win the lotto.
20
posted on
03/03/2006 10:32:55 AM PST
by
Mr. Mojo
To: presidio9
21
posted on
03/03/2006 10:33:01 AM PST
by
kerryusama04
(The Bill of Rights is not occupation specific.)
To: Sax
It actually seems pretty small, at 500 meters, but a rock that size can do a lot of damage.
To: presidio9
That does it. I'm leaving work early today.
To: presidio9
24
posted on
03/03/2006 10:34:05 AM PST
by
Hatteras
To: presidio9
Where's that "aw jeez, not this sh** again" pic...fits perfectly
To: cheme
Is there another Astroid movie coming out this summer? The last time the scientist forgot to carry the 6 when doing their calculations and it actually missed the Earth by a gajillion miles instead of 3 miles like they originally said.
26
posted on
03/03/2006 10:34:19 AM PST
by
Holicheese
($1 tacos and $1 beers sounded like a good idea at the time!)
To: presidio9
To: FormerACLUmember
Women and minorities will be hardest hit.Thank heavens. The rest of us are safe.
28
posted on
03/03/2006 10:34:41 AM PST
by
Revolting cat!
("In the end, nothing explains anything.")
To: Hatteras
GMTA
(what, read the whole thread before posting? pffft!)
To: presidio9
We're Dooooomed!
Luckily, I'll be long gone.
30
posted on
03/03/2006 10:35:02 AM PST
by
nuconvert
([there's a lot of bad people in the pistachio business])
To: 4bbldowndraft
"I LIKE those odds!"
Never tell me the odds!
To: Brilliant
I was thinking 'that will take care of global warming.'
32
posted on
03/03/2006 10:36:12 AM PST
by
just me
To: Holicheese
Your probably right, its hype for another movie.
33
posted on
03/03/2006 10:36:34 AM PST
by
cheme
To: presidio9
34
posted on
03/03/2006 10:36:53 AM PST
by
JZelle
To: presidio9
In all likelihood, when scientists refine their calculations, they'll show the asteroid missing us.
The initial estimates are usually quite crude, and can be way off.
Still, the Mayan Calendar does end in 2012... ;^)
35
posted on
03/03/2006 10:37:06 AM PST
by
Termite_Commander
(Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
To: ClearCase_guy
"I hope it hits my neighbor's house. I hate that guy."Does he have a flood light with a motion sensor mounted over his garage that lights up the whole neighborhood when the wind rustles the leaves?
36
posted on
03/03/2006 10:37:46 AM PST
by
Hatteras
To: presidio9
I think Liberals are more of a problem than an asteroid.
37
posted on
03/03/2006 10:37:59 AM PST
by
Paige
("Guard against the impostures of pretended patriotism." --George Washington)
To: presidio9
Maybe it'll land on Pakistan or Iran.
38
posted on
03/03/2006 10:38:31 AM PST
by
DoctorMichael
(The Fourth-Estate is a Fifth-Column!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)
To: Revolting cat!
The rest of us are safe.Most of us will be dead by then. Does dead count as safe?
39
posted on
03/03/2006 10:38:37 AM PST
by
ASA Vet
(Those who know don't talk, those who talk don't know.)
To: presidio9
So much for global warming.
40
posted on
03/03/2006 10:38:39 AM PST
by
beltfed308
(Cloth or link. Happiness is a perfect trunnion.)
To: martin_fierro; Hatteras

Doomed as doomed can be, I must say.
41
posted on
03/03/2006 10:39:07 AM PST
by
presidio9
("Bird Flu" is the new Y2K Virus -Only without the inconvenient deadline.)
To: martin_fierro; Hatteras

Doomed as doomed can be, I must say.
42
posted on
03/03/2006 10:39:08 AM PST
by
presidio9
("Bird Flu" is the new Y2K Virus -Only without the inconvenient deadline.)
To: Brilliant
Reminds me of an old Al Sleet, the Hippy-Dippy Weather Man (George Carlin) bit...
Al: The Radar's pickin' up a line of thunder showers, from 100 miles north, northeast of Jackson Mississippi, to 50 miles south, southwest of Fondulac. But the radar's also pickin' up about 100 Russian ICBM's, so I wouldn't sweat the thunder storms!"
;o)
43
posted on
03/03/2006 10:39:17 AM PST
by
LIConFem
(A fronte praecipitium, a tergo lupi.)
To: presidio9
44
posted on
03/03/2006 10:39:24 AM PST
by
Termite_Commander
(Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
To: presidio9
Morgan Freeman For President!
45
posted on
03/03/2006 10:39:47 AM PST
by
dfwgator
To: presidio9
LMAO. Now that's funny.
PresidentFelon
46
posted on
03/03/2006 10:40:04 AM PST
by
PresidentFelon
(Reuters Reporter Adam Entous beats his mother)
To: presidio9
As you read this, Ted Kennedy is drafting legislation to declare the asteroid "illegal."
To: martin_fierro
"(what, read the whole thread before posting? pffft!)"What's the fun in doing that?! ;-)
48
posted on
03/03/2006 10:41:11 AM PST
by
Hatteras
To: beltfed308
Yup. And why bother to fix Social Security?
49
posted on
03/03/2006 10:41:25 AM PST
by
paddles
To: presidio9
Don't worry da levees will hold,
but I gotta go right now.
50
posted on
03/03/2006 10:41:58 AM PST
by
McGruff
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-50, 51-100, 101-137 next last
Disclaimer:
Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual
posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its
management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the
exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson