Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Urgent Katrina Update: New NHC Forecast Direct Hit on New Orleans as a CAT 4
MHC | August 26, 2005

Posted on 08/26/2005 8:03:22 PM PDT by janetjanet998

Therefore...the official forecast brings Katrina to 115 knots...or a category four on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale. The GFDL is more aggressive and calls for 124 knots and 922 mb. The FSU superensemble is even more aggressive bringing Katrina to 131 knots.

track info HERE


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: disaster; hurricanekatrina; lakepontchartrain; neworleans; pontchartrain; weather
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-100101-102 next last

1 posted on 08/26/2005 8:03:24 PM PDT by janetjanet998
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

I can imagine eating bignets and having coffee 16 feet under water... which is where Cafe du Monde will be.


2 posted on 08/26/2005 8:10:50 PM PDT by TWohlford
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998
Actually, Katrina could make landfall anywhere within the forecast cone -- not necessarily and specifically New Orleans.
3 posted on 08/26/2005 8:13:28 PM PDT by varina davis
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

One of these times New Orleans is going to get really wet.


4 posted on 08/26/2005 8:14:59 PM PDT by RightWhale (Withdraw from the 1967 UN Outer Space Treaty and open the Land Office)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

Still heading WSW at 11:00 pm - IMHO, they have no clue where it will make landfall again. But I'm not looking forward to breakfast at Brennan's anytime soon.


5 posted on 08/26/2005 8:18:13 PM PDT by ConorMacNessa (HM/2 USN - 3rd Bn. Fifth Marines RVN 1969)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

Here I thought taxpayers would have to but new boats for yacht owners in Pensacola for the third time.


6 posted on 08/26/2005 8:23:40 PM PDT by Last Dakotan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

New Orleans has dodged the bullet several times in the past. Sooner or later their luck is going to run out. Maybe Katrina will be the hurricane that finally floods the city.


7 posted on 08/26/2005 8:31:08 PM PDT by vox humana
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Warthogtjm

all the models are now tightley clusted with a LA or MS hit...this could even hit CAT 5 at times...water temps are at their seasonal peaks and still 2-5 degrees above normal..90-91 degress over the northern gulf


8 posted on 08/26/2005 8:32:17 PM PDT by janetjanet998
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

That does not bode well for the MS delta.


9 posted on 08/26/2005 8:34:03 PM PDT by ConorMacNessa (HM/2 USN - 3rd Bn. Fifth Marines RVN 1969)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Iowa Granny

marking for a later read


10 posted on 08/26/2005 8:34:40 PM PDT by Iowa Granny (Hippies - take a bath. Ted Kennedy can lead you to water.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

Is the prediction of New Orleans drowning going to finally come to pass?


11 posted on 08/26/2005 8:36:37 PM PDT by operation clinton cleanup
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

My son is at college in Melbourne, Florida and a good friend just moved to New Orleans.


12 posted on 08/26/2005 8:40:37 PM PDT by CROSSHIGHWAYMAN
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: operation clinton cleanup

better fill your gas tank up...lots of oil rigs in the path...oil above $70/bar on monday?


13 posted on 08/26/2005 8:41:00 PM PDT by janetjanet998
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

Lucky me, I can walk to work. I only fire up the 4WD Pathfinder once a week to get groceries and whiskey.


14 posted on 08/26/2005 8:44:23 PM PDT by operation clinton cleanup
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: All
Links to Weather discussion boards:

Wright Weather

Eastern US Weather

15 posted on 08/26/2005 8:54:46 PM PDT by Semper911 (Real estate is not real anymore.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998; All


16 posted on 08/26/2005 8:55:43 PM PDT by Conservative Firster
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Conservative Firster

Great graphics. It's easy to see how much of the city is below sea level.

It's a great city...I hope it's luck has not run out.


17 posted on 08/26/2005 8:59:36 PM PDT by Palladin (America! America! God shed His grace on Thee.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

This is not good....Big Easy to become Big Splash????


18 posted on 08/26/2005 9:01:36 PM PDT by Keith in Iowa (Liberals...they're so quixotic...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998
Drunken post alert. Please pull over and recite the Greek alphabet backwards.
19 posted on 08/26/2005 9:02:28 PM PDT by StockAyatollah
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

definitely $70 oil next week. Hell, Prince Bandar gets diarrhea and they take it up $2/bbl.


20 posted on 08/26/2005 9:03:26 PM PDT by oceanview
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Conservative Firster

how high are the levees?


21 posted on 08/26/2005 9:04:29 PM PDT by oceanview
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

Panama City, FL by 0600 29 Aug 05 (80 Kts sustained), by 2000 29 Aug 05 (30 Kts sustained) Atlanta, GA.


22 posted on 08/26/2005 9:07:30 PM PDT by raygun
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: oceanview

Just high enough.


23 posted on 08/26/2005 9:07:39 PM PDT by jayef
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

Galveston. This one may sneak in to Galveston.


24 posted on 08/26/2005 9:08:36 PM PDT by TaxRelief (You have two choices: Convert to Islam or suppress Islam. There is no other option, Mrs. Sheehan.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: oceanview
17.5 FT ASL


25 posted on 08/26/2005 9:15:02 PM PDT by Conservative Firster
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998
Oh, great. Not only it might clobber Louisiana, but it will definitely shut in Natural Gas and Oil on the Gulf Coast. We may see $70 per barrel oil.

Hurricane Betsy caused a levee to break in New Orleans in the 1960s, and people who lived through that have stories to tell.

In one case, a family had to get on the roof of the house because any lower point was in water.

The people had to fight critters and creatures for the roof -- snakes and other things wanted the high ground. It was very unpleasant from what I remember of these stories.

26 posted on 08/26/2005 9:17:05 PM PDT by topher (God bless and protect our troops and service personnel around the world)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998
Oh, great. Not only it might clobber Louisiana, but it will definitely shut in Natural Gas and Oil on the Gulf Coast. We may see $70 per barrel oil.

Hurricane Betsy caused a levee to break in New Orleans in the 1960s, and people who lived through that have stories to tell.

In one case, a family had to get on the roof of the house because any lower point was in water.

The people had to fight critters and creatures for the roof -- snakes and other things wanted the high ground. It was very unpleasant from what I remember of these stories.

27 posted on 08/26/2005 9:17:14 PM PDT by topher (God bless and protect our troops and service personnel around the world)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998
better fill your gas tank up...lots of oil rigs in the path...oil above $70/bar on monday?

not only that, but lots of refinery capacity in Southern LA and MS. This could really spike energy prices.

28 posted on 08/26/2005 9:18:06 PM PDT by liberty2004
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: All; NautiNurse; Dog Gone
New 00z guidance --MM5 GFS ETA RGEM, DISASTER for nat gas!!
Meteorologist: Dave Tolleris
29 posted on 08/26/2005 9:21:38 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: liberty2004

Doesn't anyone have some GOOD news?


30 posted on 08/26/2005 9:21:57 PM PDT by Palladin (America! America! God shed His grace on Thee.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Palladin
Doesn't anyone have some GOOD news?

I just save a bunch of money.... nah.... too corny.

31 posted on 08/26/2005 9:23:15 PM PDT by liberty2004
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: operation clinton cleanup

Do I sense a bit of anticipatory excitement at that prospect?
PLEASE remember that, tho it may be a fascinating news event for you, for REAL PEOPLE here in New Orleans it's their LIVES you're talking about being wiped out.
Have a little compassion- and maybe prayers that it WON'T happen. Thank you.


32 posted on 08/26/2005 9:23:22 PM PDT by ClearBlueSky (Whenever someone says it's not about Islam-it's about Islam. Jesus loves you, Allah wants you dead!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998; All

NE1 know if this is going to hit the rigs...

if it hits the rigs (oil/gas) there will be 70$ oil and 11+ natural gas...

yikes


33 posted on 08/26/2005 9:30:18 PM PDT by Flavius
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Flavius
NE1 know if this is going to hit the rigs...

there's also refineries up along the river. and in Pascagoula. It could be bad

34 posted on 08/26/2005 9:38:42 PM PDT by liberty2004
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: oceanview

High enough to keep water IN as well as out. Should be close to a new moon so there well be some high tide to add to the storm surge but not as bad as a full moon. It might be enough to push it over the edge. (literally) Not smart to build BELOW sea level.


35 posted on 08/26/2005 9:39:06 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Warthogtjm

Bananas Foster....yummm.


36 posted on 08/26/2005 9:41:10 PM PDT by dawn53
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Palladin

Yes. Check out the thread- U.S. Destroys Alleged Terror Lair.


37 posted on 08/26/2005 9:41:21 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: CROSSHIGHWAYMAN

Does he go to FIT, my niece graduated from there last year?


38 posted on 08/26/2005 9:42:23 PM PDT by dawn53
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: ClearBlueSky
If the levees around New Orleans fail (and they came perilously close several times in the past century), then the death toll shall reach at least the HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS. No, that's not hyperbole. New Orleans sits in an incredibly vulnerable environment, a giant pit ten feet below sea level home to more than one million people. Not all will leave; many cannot flee for various reasons (medically unfit, no transportation at least 30-50 miles to safety, terrible traffic congestion) and many more simply won't.
39 posted on 08/26/2005 9:45:18 PM PDT by dufekin (US Senate: the only place where the majority [D] comprises fewer than the minority [R])
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: ClearBlueSky

People there need to go on vacation ASAP and have a big New Orleans style party somewhere.


40 posted on 08/26/2005 9:47:11 PM PDT by spycatcher
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: dufekin
If the levees around New Orleans fail (and they came perilously close several times in the past century),

I am currently in New Orleans. Most people went to bed tonight thinking it is going to hit FL. I think they will be shocked on Saturday it it heads this way. The levees are much improved since Betsy, but still it's a bowl.

41 posted on 08/26/2005 9:49:11 PM PDT by liberty2004
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: ClearBlueSky

Aren't you in the NO area? I'm in Lake Charles and am keeping my on this thing.


42 posted on 08/26/2005 9:49:56 PM PDT by CajunConservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: Conservative Firster
Nice graphic!


43 posted on 08/26/2005 9:50:09 PM PDT by spycatcher
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: ClearBlueSky

Yea ya right, Blue!!


44 posted on 08/26/2005 9:50:46 PM PDT by nola61
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: liberty2004

No kidding!! Guess we'll be boarding up and heading out. And I thought I'd have a quiet weekend! Geesh!!!!!


45 posted on 08/26/2005 9:56:39 PM PDT by nola61
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: janetjanet998

It will miss NO, as they always do.


46 posted on 08/26/2005 9:56:57 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas
It will miss NO, as they always do.

I pray you are right. I wish this on no one, but I hope it misses us.

47 posted on 08/26/2005 10:00:17 PM PDT by liberty2004
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 46 | View Replies]

To: nola61
o kidding!! Guess we'll be boarding up and heading out.

until this afternoon, I thought it was heading east. It isn't looking good. The weekend is definitely going to be crazy.

48 posted on 08/26/2005 10:01:15 PM PDT by liberty2004
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: liberty2004

Of course, I could be wrong; I just say it will miss it due to my distrust of the models.

However, we really will not have a good handle on this until tomorrow afternoon at the earliest.

If it still is headed toward NO, GET OUT OF DODGE immediately because your luck may have run out.


49 posted on 08/26/2005 10:02:27 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=rwfromkansas)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 47 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas
f it still is headed toward NO, GET OUT OF DODGE immediately because your luck may have run out.,

The problem is that this one is going to surprise a lot of people because of the shift. I think the roads will be a parking lot by the time people realize they need to leave. We are staying. We actually live on a ridge (in Metairie), 12 feet above sea level.

50 posted on 08/26/2005 10:06:07 PM PDT by liberty2004
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-100101-102 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson