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Home Equity is Not Savings
kitco ^ | 8/25/05 | Peter Schiff

Posted on 08/25/2005 11:56:51 AM PDT by hubbubhubbub

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To: hubbubhubbub
Listen folks there is no bubble, take it from me there has been a cosmic shift in real estate investing. Foreign money, "old money", dead baby boomer inheritance money and speculation type money is pouring into the real estate market faster then Carter can make liver pills. There is now absolutely no connection between home ownership and personal income, real estate (residential) in the US is now a global economic commodity, just like pork bellys and sugar cane. Who cares if the average income family can no longer afford the average home. Don't worry. Their money is unimportant. They should be renters anyway. The big players control the game now, the little guy is insignificant now and forever.

Housing will appreciate 10,15,20% a year, year in and year out- forever. Don't ever expect a correction. In just ten years the AVERAGE house will be well over $400,000, pricing completely out the average worker, which is a good thing in the long run for the invester class.

Buy a house if you can, actually buy 1,2,3 as many as you can!

21 posted on 08/25/2005 12:38:37 PM PDT by austinite
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To: fooman

I sold my house a year ago and netted $300,000. Half of it went to a downpayment on my new house and I used some to pay off credit cards and buy furniture. I still have over $80,000 in the bank. Why is that not savings? My new house has appreciated by almost $100,000 in a year. I could borrow against it and afford the payments based on my income. Why is that not savings? (BTW, I also have sizable retirement accounts and college savings plans for both my kids.)


22 posted on 08/25/2005 12:41:38 PM PDT by Dems_R_Losers (Where is Chris Lehane??)
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To: Dems_R_Losers

Yes, but...

I agree with you. And congratulations on all that savings.


23 posted on 08/25/2005 12:46:42 PM PDT by sine_nomine (Protect the weakest of the weak - the unborn babies.)
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To: austinite

I bought a nice home 7 years ago. Now I could not get up enough money for a down payment on it. Twenty percent down would be $58,000.

I like what has happened. It allows me to get low interest loans and then pay them off.


24 posted on 08/25/2005 12:47:59 PM PDT by sine_nomine (Protect the weakest of the weak - the unborn babies.)
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To: austinite

I see so what you are saying is joe 6-pack is just out of luck in the home ownership game, if you can't afford just rent. umm sounds like the early 20th century before the big crash


25 posted on 08/25/2005 12:49:41 PM PDT by markman46 (engage brain before using keyboard!!!)
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To: austinite

Many who read your post won't realize that you left out the "/sarcasam" tag.


26 posted on 08/25/2005 12:50:43 PM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (The Democrat party is the official party of the Morlocks.)
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To: BikerNYC

Every house I bought, I made money when I sold it. Once in a while it was a shocking profit. I have only lost money when buying stocks. I am not real smart in that department. LOL


27 posted on 08/25/2005 12:54:08 PM PDT by Dudoight
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To: blau993
Mr. Schiff needs to go back and re-take Economics 101....

Nah, he's making too much money posing as an economist.    Let's get together on definitions-- here's a good Wikipedia discussion of savings in economics terms:

In economics, personal saving has been defined as personal disposable income minus personal consumption expenditure. In other words, income that is not consumed by immediately buying goods and services is saved. 

There is some disagreement about what counts as saving. For example, the part of a person's income that is spent on mortgage repayments is not spent on present consumption and is therefore saving by the above definition, even though people do not always think of repaying a loan as saving. However, in the U.S. measurement of the numbers behind its gross national product (i.e., the National Income and Product Accounts), personal interest payments are not treated as "saving" unless the institutions and people who receive them save them.

Schiff was going way off line by saying that it ain't savings unless it "adds to society‘s stock of savings".  He's a Democrat; he believes that all wealth belongs to the state.   

On the other hand, I'll agree that home equity is not savings but for a different reason.   It's because we buy houses so we can have a roof, and we open bank accounts so we can have money.   If we say our house is our savings because we can sell it if we need the money, then that let's us say our car is savings-- our new snowmobile is savings-- and my really neat game cube is savings.  Pretty soon we'll start hearing politicians saying that they want to raise our taxes so they can 'invest' in new government programs.  We don't want that to happen do we? 

28 posted on 08/25/2005 12:56:10 PM PDT by expat_panama
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To: HereInTheHeartland

Who?


29 posted on 08/25/2005 1:07:27 PM PDT by ordinaryguy
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To: HereInTheHeartland
Many who read your post won't realize that you left out the "/sarcasam" tag.

It reveals alot, doesn't it?

30 posted on 08/25/2005 1:07:33 PM PDT by austinite
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To: lOKKI
" Anybody got any numbers"

From memory, 35% outright ownership, 51% fixed rate mortgages and the remaining 14% variable rate or interest only. As I recall from a Bloomberg story, only about 1/2 of that 14% is considered suspect as the other half are long time holders of ARMs. So we are talking about 7% of all mortgages. I seem to recall from the presentation that about 2% of all mortgages is what we are REALLY talking about. I think it was because only that 2% is in areas with what might be considered speculative price gains. It was data from an economist of the mortgage bankers association or similar.
31 posted on 08/25/2005 1:09:18 PM PDT by oldcomputerguy
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To: KC_for_Freedom
"Did not see the show referenced"

CEO of Coldwell Banker speaking on Bloomberg is the one equating excess supply and job losses with which he took exception
32 posted on 08/25/2005 1:12:05 PM PDT by oldcomputerguy
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To: OneLoyalAmerican
And that, m'friend, is a principal reason why Americans do not save, in the traditional sense. For the past few years, ''interest'' earnings have been very close to negative, after taxes and inflation. Why bother saving under those conditions, eh?

This will change at some point, but we'll be stuck w/a whole semi-generation who reached maturity w/o developing the habit of saving.

33 posted on 08/25/2005 1:12:50 PM PDT by SAJ
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To: Dems_R_Losers
Now, that $80K is indeed savings. Before you realised your gain, however, that sum was a non-liquid variable asset, not savings.
34 posted on 08/25/2005 1:15:16 PM PDT by SAJ
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To: bobbdobbs
"He's being pretty technical"

I don't think there is any shortage of loan money available at banks today. If you want to expand your business, I suspect you would have to beat lenders off with a club!

If the public declines the invitation to deposit money at .5% interest, it seems the Fed is more than willing to make up the difference these days. His argument is academic
35 posted on 08/25/2005 1:19:21 PM PDT by oldcomputerguy
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To: blau993

Home Equity is not savings. It can only be spent if you borrow against it or sell your house and buy a cheaper house.


36 posted on 08/25/2005 1:21:32 PM PDT by FightThePower!
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To: Dems_R_Losers

If you borrow against your home you still owe the money back. How is that savings?


37 posted on 08/25/2005 1:23:03 PM PDT by FightThePower!
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To: FightThePower!
"If you borrow against your home you still owe the money back. How is that savings?"

Due to the velocity of money. Money spent is considered to be multiplied by about 9 times as it is deposited and re-loaned as another poster described. It would be savings for someone else down the chain.
38 posted on 08/25/2005 1:26:08 PM PDT by oldcomputerguy
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To: hubbubhubbub
Unlike legitimate savings that are permanent, provide real security, earn interest, and represent future purchasing power

I can kind of see what this author is trying to say, but I question his pious attitude about what constitutes "legitimate" savings.

No "real" investments represent purchasing power until they are liquidated. Money-market savings? Inflation could wipe out any gains. Stock market? A downturn could lose equity. Gold or other commodities? Same thing there.

I think that what the author wants to say is that homeowners should not fool themselves into thinking their real estate is worth more ten years from now than it's worth presently. Those same homeowners should not kid themselves into think they are required to save less, simply because the present value of their home has more market worth than intrinsic value.

39 posted on 08/25/2005 1:26:18 PM PDT by Lou L
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To: FightThePower!
Home Equity is not savings. It can only be spent if you borrow against it or sell your house and buy a cheaper house.

Like a stock certificate, huh?
40 posted on 08/25/2005 1:26:56 PM PDT by BikerNYC
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