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No to Hillary - (west coast Democrats skeptical about her chances in 2008; too much baggage)
TOWNHALL.COM ^ | JUNE 9, 2005 | ROBERT NOVAK

Posted on 06/09/2005 8:07:44 AM PDT by CHARLITE

LOS ANGELES -- Back east, well-placed Democrats have agreed that the party's 2008 nomination is all wrapped up better than three years in advance. They say that the prize is Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton's for the asking, and that she is sure to ask. But here on the left coast, I found surprising and substantial Democratic opposition to going with the former first lady.

Both the Hollywood glitterati and the more mundane politicians of Los Angeles are looking elsewhere. They have seen plenty of Sen. Clinton over the past dozen years, and they don't particularly like what they've seen. Two far less well-known Democrats -- Virginia Gov. Mark Warner and Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh -- were hits on recent visits to California, mainly because they were not Hillary.

The concern here with Clinton is not borne in fear that she might fail to carry California. Almost any Democrat would be likely to win in the nation's most populous state, where the advent of Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger is an exotic event that has not changed the GOP's minority status in California. Rather, the fear here is pronounced that Clinton cannot win in Red America, guaranteeing a third straight Republican term in the White House.

Party insiders in Washington and New York, including many who ran the last two losing Democratic presidential campaigns, say they have never before seen anything like the way Clinton has sewed up the nomination. In particular, they say, she has cornered Eastern money in a way nobody else ever has done at such an early date.

At a dinner party in a private room of a Los Angeles restaurant attended by eight Democratic politicians (including City Council members and a county supervisor), I was asked to assess the political scene. I concluded with a preview of the distant events of 2008. While there had not been so open a race for the Republican nomination since 1940, I said, Clinton was dominant for the Democrats. For someone who is neither an incumbent president nor vice president to have apparently locked the nomination so early is without precedent.

As I made this analysis, the liberal Democratic functionary across the table from me shook his head in disagreement. He left his seat between courses, and then returned with this announcement: "There are eight Democrats in this room. I've taken a little poll, and none of them -- none -- are for Hillary for president. They think she is a loser."

Talking to some of them, I found concern that Hillary carries too much baggage from her turbulent marriage and her husband's presidency to do any better than John Kerry did last year. One female office holder was looking hard for another Southern moderate who could bite into the Confederacy as Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton had done.

Another woman office holder was hostile to a Clinton candidacy on a more personal basis. "Don't think that Hillary has the women's vote," she told me. "I will never forgive her for sticking with her husband after he humiliated her. It's something I can't get over."

Eight Democrats, no matter how prominent, constitute a tiny sample. But I checked with Democratic sources in California and found broad early resistance to Clinton. Warner wowed listeners on a recent trip, though he was not as big a hit as Bayh on his L.A. sojourn. The Hoosier senator may be a dull, moderate Midwesterner to the party cognoscenti who already have bestowed the nomination on Clinton, but he looked like a winner to the Hollywood crowd.

These anti-Clinton Democrats are not reassured by what Republican National Chairman Ken Mehlman said Sunday on NBC's "Meet the Press." Moderator Tim Russert asked: "Do you think that Sen. Clinton would be a formidable presidential candidate?" "I do," Mehlman replied, adding: "Sen. Clinton is smart. She's effective." As Mehlman himself said, Republicans don't want to repeat the 1980 mistake of the Democrats when they relished the nomination of Ronald Reagan as an easy mark.

Nevertheless, in private, Republicans say they would much rather run against Hillary Clinton, who votes a straight liberal line, than an unknown moderate from Virginia or Indiana. Savvy Democrats in Los Angeles agree.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2008; baggage; candidate; democrat; flaws; hillaryclinton; history; novak; party; past
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1 posted on 06/09/2005 8:07:45 AM PDT by CHARLITE
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To: CHARLITE

Dean's the man.


2 posted on 06/09/2005 8:08:08 AM PDT by Brilliant
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.


3 posted on 06/09/2005 8:08:38 AM PDT by eureka! (It will not be safe to vote Democrat for a long, long, time...)
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To: CHARLITE

Question: Is she gay?


4 posted on 06/09/2005 8:09:09 AM PDT by bubman
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To: CHARLITE
Nevertheless, in private, Republicans say they would much rather run against Hillary Clinton, who votes a straight liberal line, than an unknown moderate from Virginia or Indiana. Savvy Democrats in Los Angeles agree.

But who would they run? Condi?

5 posted on 06/09/2005 8:10:06 AM PDT by sionnsar (†trad-anglican.faithweb.com† ||Iran Azadi|| WA Fraud: votes outnumber voters, court sez it's okay!)
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To: Brilliant
Dean's the man.

He'll never live down that scream. It's the perfect campaign-killing soundbite.

6 posted on 06/09/2005 8:11:09 AM PDT by Oberon (What does it take to make government shrink?)
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To: CHARLITE
Jiminy Crickets. Is there even go to be an election in 2008 or do we go straight to Hillary's coronation??
7 posted on 06/09/2005 8:12:00 AM PDT by Millee (So you're a feminist......isn't that cute??)
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To: CHARLITE
Baggage? What Baggage?

Other than the Vast Right Wing Conspiracy Lie, The White Water Lie, The Rose Law Firm lie, All the Bimbogate lies, The FBI Files Lie, Various and Sundry Lies, Character assassination lies,...

Well maybe SOME baggage
8 posted on 06/09/2005 8:12:02 AM PDT by Mikey_1962
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To: prairiebreeze
As I made this analysis, the liberal Democratic functionary across the table from me shook his head in disagreement. He left his seat between courses, and then returned with this announcement: "There are eight Democrats in this room. I've taken a little poll, and none of them -- none -- are for Hillary for president. They think she is a loser." A friend of ours is engaged to Senator Leahy's daughter (who is seriously ill with lymphoma). Senator Leahy may stand by the Clintons in public, but in private, he hates them with a passion. Both of them.
9 posted on 06/09/2005 8:12:19 AM PDT by Peach
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To: CHARLITE

Novak is more off base now than when he said that Bush would choose McCain as his running mate in 2000. Hollywood loves Hillary, or anyone else that gets the nomination.


10 posted on 06/09/2005 8:12:39 AM PDT by aynrandfreak (When can we stop pretending that the Left doesn't by and large hate America?)
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To: bubman
"....Question: Is she gay?...."

Is the Pope a Catholic?

Bill Clinton himself famously remarked that Hillary has probably eaten more pu$$y than he has.

11 posted on 06/09/2005 8:14:16 AM PDT by Victor (If an expert says it can't be done, get another expert." -David Ben-Gurion, the first Prime Minister)
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To: aynrandfreak

Hollywood and party insiders are two different groups, though.


12 posted on 06/09/2005 8:15:26 AM PDT by HarryCaul
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To: CHARLITE
Call me skeptical...I've never believed she would actually run. I think it's a rouse.
13 posted on 06/09/2005 8:15:44 AM PDT by Katya (Homo Nosce Te Ipsum)
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To: Peach

I'm not surprised at all. There really isn't much to like about either of them. Rushless, Power-hungry trashy phonies, both of them.


14 posted on 06/09/2005 8:18:52 AM PDT by prairiebreeze (Jimmy Carter is hands down the worst ex-President the nation has ever endured.)
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To: prairiebreeze

Rushless = ruthless


15 posted on 06/09/2005 8:19:17 AM PDT by prairiebreeze (Jimmy Carter is hands down the worst ex-President the nation has ever endured.)
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To: Peach
My sympathy and prayers for your friend's fiance. (Interesting info about her father, Leahy, though. 'Wish he'd come out of the closet re clintons.)

Novak's mentioning Bayh as someone the dem leadership in California think would be a winner........although my theory on that one is that he's pretty. LOL

16 posted on 06/09/2005 8:22:45 AM PDT by Carolinamom
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To: Katya

Well, that's what Rush Limbaugh said about her when she was "expploring" running for the Senate. I believe she's serious because she has raised the dough. I don't see Kerry or Edwards getting any play. Clinton's presidency largely drained the Dems farm team by decimating the number of elected officials from southern states. At the rate they are going, the ONLY Dems in positions of leadership will be from New England and the left coast.


17 posted on 06/09/2005 8:24:52 AM PDT by sittnick (There's no salvation in politics.)
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To: Victor
"Bill Clinton himself famously remarked that Hillary has probably eaten more pu$$y than he has. "

Carumba!

18 posted on 06/09/2005 8:25:37 AM PDT by Enterprise (Coming soon from Newsweek: "Fallujah - we had to destroy it in order to save it.")
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To: bubman
Question: Is she gay?

No, she seem quite angry most of the time.


19 posted on 06/09/2005 8:25:42 AM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: Carolinamom

And there's something about pretty men that just turns me off.

Leahy's daughter is down to 67 pounds; the wedding has been postponed once and I think indefinitely.


20 posted on 06/09/2005 8:26:01 AM PDT by Peach
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