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Marist Poll: Bush Holds Slight Lead Nationally (50 - 44 LV)
Newsday / AP ^ | 9/24/04 | Newsday / AP

Posted on 09/24/2004 7:02:16 AM PDT by comebacknewt

POUGHKEEPSIE, N.Y. -- President Bush holds a slight lead over Democratic challenger John Kerry among likely voters, a nationwide poll reported Friday.

The poll from Marist College's Institute of Public Opinion had Bush leading Kerry, 50 percent to 44 percent, with Ralph Nader at 2 percent. Four percent of likely voters were undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsday.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; kerry; kewl; marist; poll; polls
Didn't see this one posted yet.

More good polling news for the President despite the AP's efforts to spin a six point national lead as "slight".

1 posted on 09/24/2004 7:02:17 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: comebacknewt

WOW, good news just keeps rolling in. Lurch needs to decimate Bush in the 1st debate in order to have a chance. He could do it but not likely.


2 posted on 09/24/2004 7:03:46 AM PDT by mlbford2 (Brothers of the Pajamajahadeen, I declare a pajama fatawa against CBS)
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To: comebacknewt

This is a 'slight' lead?


3 posted on 09/24/2004 7:05:00 AM PDT by Trust but Verify (Charter member Broken Glass Republicans (2000))
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To: comebacknewt

I hope these polsters never tell me I have a "slight" problem.


4 posted on 09/24/2004 7:05:11 AM PDT by sierrahome
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To: comebacknewt

If it was Kerry the lead would be "BIG"


5 posted on 09/24/2004 7:05:23 AM PDT by skaterboy
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To: comebacknewt

Interesting choice of descriptors they have. Six points is not a "slight" lead, in my humble opinion.


6 posted on 09/24/2004 7:05:27 AM PDT by Capriole
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To: comebacknewt

6 percent is a slight lead..isnt that that around 16 million votes?


7 posted on 09/24/2004 7:06:02 AM PDT by alisasny ("BREAKING: PETA OUTRAGED, Kerry to use hampsters to fire spitballs.")
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To: comebacknewt
Six percent slight? If he won by 6 on election day that would be a landslide!
8 posted on 09/24/2004 7:06:07 AM PDT by RockinRight (W stands for whoop-a**!!!)
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To: mlbford2

A six point lead is "slight"? A six point win would be a landslide! The other thing Kerry should be worried about is the fact Bush has a six point lead with only 4% undecided.


9 posted on 09/24/2004 7:06:25 AM PDT by Russ
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To: alisasny

I like your perspective


10 posted on 09/24/2004 7:07:00 AM PDT by sierrahome
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To: mlbford2

The issue of the first debate: National Security. Bush will wipe the floor with Kerry's nuance.


11 posted on 09/24/2004 7:07:30 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: comebacknewt

If then numbers were reversed, the title would read "Kerry Surges to Six-Point Lead."


12 posted on 09/24/2004 7:07:58 AM PDT by Hank All-American (Free Men, Free Minds, Free Markets baby!)
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To: comebacknewt
Six percent ain't "slight" when a) your guy is at 50% and b) it's "likely" voters. It's decisive.

Kerry has peaked. He can go down, but not up. If he goes down much more, look for the DNC to shift senate money to save some seats there.

13 posted on 09/24/2004 7:08:28 AM PDT by LS
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To: alisasny

More like 7 million (105 million voted in 2000).


14 posted on 09/24/2004 7:08:48 AM PDT by JohnHuang2
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To: comebacknewt
The poll has some strong "internals," too...

In the latest poll, voters said Bush was a stronger leader than Kerry, 56 percent to 36 percent; and was more likely to prevent another terrorist attack in the United States, 54 percent to 36 percent.

15 posted on 09/24/2004 7:09:54 AM PDT by southernnorthcarolina (Free Republic: R/T history, 24/7.)
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To: comebacknewt

Six points is a SLIGHT lead?


16 posted on 09/24/2004 7:10:13 AM PDT by harrycarey
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To: comebacknewt


You gotta read the Associated Press manual, which reads that ALL leads by President Bush are "slight".

Comparable leads by John Heinz Kerry will be labeled "insurmountable".


17 posted on 09/24/2004 7:11:27 AM PDT by Rhetorical pi2
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To: JohnHuang2

Six points? That's all?? Factor out Nader, and factor in the margin of error, and factor in all the people who don't normally vote but we're SURE they're gonna vote this time, and factor in the dead poeple voting, and the illegals, and factor in all the college students who are gonna vote (unless there's, like, a hacky sack tournament or somethin'), and Bush is done for! < /DUh >


18 posted on 09/24/2004 7:24:09 AM PDT by TheBigB (I'm 100% correct. I have documents that say so.)
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To: comebacknewt

Six percent is "slight"? The Ministry of Truth marches on.


19 posted on 09/24/2004 7:26:23 AM PDT by katana (Iraq: Bug Zapper of the Middle East)
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To: comebacknewt

Since when is a 6 point edge in the polls "slight"


20 posted on 09/24/2004 7:26:38 AM PDT by Prysson
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To: comebacknewt

A "slight" lead of 6% should translate to a "slight" EV victory of around 350 to 190.


21 posted on 09/24/2004 7:26:41 AM PDT by TomEwall
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To: comebacknewt

Since when is a 6 point edge in the polls "slight"


22 posted on 09/24/2004 7:28:06 AM PDT by Prysson
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To: comebacknewt

Time for an eye exam. I first misread the headline as Marxist poll.


23 posted on 09/24/2004 7:28:41 AM PDT by Graybeard58
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To: comebacknewt
Here's a visual representation of the "slight" lead, based on 2000's outcome:


24 posted on 09/24/2004 7:30:32 AM PDT by TomEwall
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To: TomEwall

Wow. That map really drives home the true meaning of a six point lead.


25 posted on 09/24/2004 7:45:28 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: TomEwall
"A "slight" lead of 6% should translate to a "slight" EV victory of around 350 to 190."

Not only that, but based on the last presidential election where 103 million people voted, that would be a popular vote victory of 6,180,000 votes. A tremendous landslide.
26 posted on 09/24/2004 7:57:26 AM PDT by Lee'sGhost (Crom!)
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To: TomEwall

Regarding the posted map, I believe if one were to color Michigan and Washington state grey it would then be a nearly perfect representation of how things will be on Nov. 3. Maybe MN will be gray too depending on if jfk can get any traction at all with his willing accomplice media.


27 posted on 09/24/2004 9:15:57 AM PDT by SolomoninSouthDakota
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To: Trust but Verify
This is a 'slight' lead?

Yes, don't you have your Guide to the Mainstream Media handbook ?

It says right on page 27, "Any lead by a Republican must be characterized as "slight" unless said Republican is running against a more conservative Republican. Any lead by a Democrat should be characterized as "leads" if it is greater than zero and less than five, "significantly leads" if between five and ten, and "has already won" if it exceeds ten."

All you have to do is read the book ...

Don't you watch CBS ?

28 posted on 09/24/2004 9:28:10 AM PDT by af_vet_1981
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To: TomEwall

I agree with you regarding Maine 2CD and all of New Hampshire. I don't believe that Bush will ever carry Maine 1CD...Bush will take either 1 or 3 EV out of Maine.


29 posted on 09/24/2004 12:55:12 PM PDT by Meldrim
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To: comebacknewt

Yeah - Slight now is 6% ...


30 posted on 09/24/2004 12:56:48 PM PDT by Robert A. Cook, PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: TomEwall
Now, do that one again showing the red-blue counties!

Even more remarkable!
31 posted on 09/24/2004 12:58:16 PM PDT by Robert A. Cook, PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: Trust but Verify

Well, the lead among registered voters is 2%, and among registered voters with leaners, 3%. I suppose that's "slight." But it's still better than the last Marist poll.


32 posted on 09/24/2004 2:21:55 PM PDT by Bonaventure
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To: Bonaventure

bump


33 posted on 09/19/2008 3:00:27 PM PDT by ConservativeMan55 (Obama is the Democrats guy. They bought the ticket, now they must take the ride.)
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