Good news. Nice post (for a newbie).
3 Full Legislative Days Left Until The AWB Expires
Posted on 09/08/2004 4:34:11 PM PDT by jacko63
WASHINGTON -- Sen. John Kerry and the Democratic Party are limiting television advertising to just 14 states as the fall campaign opens, curbing their ambitions for a broader playing field against President Bush. The shift reduces Missouri, Colorado, Arizona and four Southern states to second-tier status. The Republican incumbent is likely to follow suit, perhaps by pulling money out of those same seven GOP-leaning states and shifting it to traditionally Democratic battlegrounds.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsday.com ...
This is all you need to know about the real polls (the ones taken by the campaigns, which can't afford to be wrong). Kerry's writing off Missouri and Colorado. He's hoping to get his magic 270 by taking Florida, Ohio, West Virginia, and/or New Hampshire (Bush is at 278 if he keeps all of those). It's probably his best strategy, but it's a very narrowly focused strategy.
* The Kerry campaign has bought time in Florida, Ohio, Iowa, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, West Virginia, New Hampshire, Michigan and Oregon.* The Democratic National Committee is airing commercials in most of those states to keep Kerry competitive with Bush's large ad budgets. In addition, the DNC is on the air in Maine, Washington state, Nevada and Minnesota.
There are a lot of pro-Kerry ads in Washington state but none lately seem to come from Kerry himself. There are some from Pres. Bush. Is Washington still in play?
And Bush needs to pick about 2 states such as New Jersey, Maryland and hit them hard....make Kerry spend money and time there that he ordinarily wouldn't. Keep him out of OH, PA, FL as much as possible and this election should be a landslide.
I like W's chances. Ohio is trending in our direction (despite what Rasmussen says), and Florida has been moving our way as well.
On top of this, if W picks off a couple of Gore states like Pennsylvania / Wisconsin / Minnesota, he can still win evn if he loses OH or FL. Kerry may not be dead, but I sure wouldn't want to trade places with him.
Meaning that Bush still wins if he loses West Virginia (unlikely) or New Hampshire (possible.) If he loses both, we get the dreaded 269-269 tie. Bush would win in the House, but if you thought that the 2000 aftermath was ugly...
And now that Bush doesn't have to defend these ex-swing states, his chances of picking off a Gore state in the Midwest go up nicely. If he grabs Pennsylvania, he can lose Florida or Ohio and still win.
Tie's as good as a loss.
Now that Bush has moved out to a 15 point lead in AZ, that brilliant Kerry team might want to reconsider putting their money there. Shhhhhh! Don't tell em.
Good news. Nice post (for a newbie).
3 Full Legislative Days Left Until The AWB Expires
OH and FL are must wins for Bush. If Kerry wins one, it's going to a very long night, two, Bush is toast. But, it seems Ohio is going out of reach of Kerry. But it's still a long time till election.
More good news for Bush. So called ~20 swing states have become 14 states. Swifties have shot up Kerry's butt in Arizona and few other states.
The liar appears again. Ohio is not in doubt. Not even close. Why do you keep posting this crap?
kerry is asleep at the wheel,Calif. is coming on strong for Bush.Slowly
The DNC ads in Arizona seem hopelessly out of touch. They seem to be aimed at union workers, although Arizona is a right to work state. They keep harping on the bad economy, even though our Democrat Governor is taking credit for unprecedented prosperity.
Bush had a commercial a while back that named specific weapons systems built in Arizona which Kerry voted against. That was much more effective.
But, if Bush gets PA, he could lose FL or OH, and still win.
I never believed Colorado was ever in play. It was all based on the same bogus polls that had the 2002 Senate race all wrong as well as Denver Post wishful thinking.
I rather have PA, OH and FL!
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