NEWSWEEK POLL: Kerry 48%, Bush 45%; Edwards 46%, Bush 46% (1000 adults, polled Thursday & Friday)

Newsweak ^ | 2.21.04

[Always Right]

On the topic of legalizing gay marriage, 45 percent of all those polled says they oppose any legal recognition for gay and lesbian couples; 23 percent support full marriage rights for the couples and 24 percent support civil unions or partnerships, but not gay marriage, the poll shows.

Let's see, 45 plus 24 is 69 percent who oppose gay marriage.....

[ambrose]

Kerry Keeps Lead Over Bush

If Bush had a 3% lead over Kerry in this poll, it would be billed as a "statistical dead head"...

These scumbags are so transparent at times.

[Jeff Chandler]

58 percent of all those polled say they think of Bush as an honest person by nature

This is what will doom the rat campaign.

[EllaMinnow]

They've been using both of the weapons they think that they have - the AWOL charge and missing WMD - to strip away President Bush's credibility.

If that doesn't work - and it isn't - they've got nothing. Zero, zip, nada.

[dc-zoo]

Three points down sure beats the hell out of twelve points from earlier in the week. This means Kerry dropped nine points in under a week.

[Piquaboy]

I don't trust anything Weaknews puts out.

[dc-zoo]

Sorry.. I was thinking CNN/Gallup and their 12 point Kerry lead which every news networks were fawning over.

[COEXERJ145]

Considering the fact that this is a NewsWeak poll of "adults", I'm really surprised it isn't Kerry 60% Bush 35%.

[raloxk]

So Bush is actually up by 2-3.

[CROSSHIGHWAYMAN]

In my family it's Bush 75%........undecided 25%.

[rightazrain]

I noticed that this is a poll of 1,000 "registered voters." In other words, any shmuck who agrees to register at their local DMV can be polled. "Likely" voters gives a much better perspective.

That is . . . except all polls are meaningless at this stage.

[dogbyte12]

As we learned from 2000, it really doesn't matter what the national numbers actually say.

As long as you get one more vote than your opponent in crucial states, that is all that matters.

If Kerry or Edwards mop up California and NY, it still is the same as winning by just one vote.

A good 35 states are probably out of play for both sides. The numbers that really matter are what the polls say in Florida, Louisiana, Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin, Nevada, West Virginia, New Mexico, etc...

California, New York, and Illinois are over 20% of the country for example. They went Gore in 2000, and are likely to go Democrat again. Bush won anyways. So, if Bush is leading by 51 to 49% in every other state, yet is getting creamed in those 3 by 60% to 40%. The national poll will show him losing 51 to 49%, even though he would absolutely kill in the electoral college.

He would have 47 states, and still lose the popular vote and the polls.

We are not running a national election here people. We are running a state by state one. These national polls are not only a waste of time, but extremely counter productive. I wish a decent polling unit would just do a state by state poll of battle ground states, and then give us the break down. That is all that will matter come November.

[OldFriend]

It's NewsWEAK after all.

[LuigiBasco]

"That is . . . except all polls are meaningless at this stage."

I couldn't agree more. Its too early in the game!

[AmishDude]

I hate Newsweek and their fraudulent polls.

[Mike Darancette]

1,019 adults aged 18 and older on February 19-20, 2004. The margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Not even registered voters - next time try taking the poll on Sunday morning to be sure to exclude people who go to church.

1,019 people just a little over 20 prople per state. LOL.

[ChadGore]

Looks all evened up to me. Now the real campain can begin.

[Jhensy]

Well, gotta give it the customary Newsweek 10-pt. insane-hatred-of-Bush factor, so reality looks like Bush 50%, Kerry 43%.

[COEXERJ145]

These national polls are not only a waste of time, but extremely counter productive.

Like Rush says, polls are now used by the media to "make news".