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Guns, butter, and hubris [What made Zuckerman write this]
US News ^ | 2-2-04 | Mort Zuckerman

Posted on 01/28/2004 1:07:06 PM PST by ex-snook

Editorial 2/2/04
By Mortimer B. Zuckerman • Editor-in-Chief
Guns, butter, and hubris

How do you stop a runaway elephant? If words could do it, particularly words from the Republican camp, there might just be a sliver of hope of reining in what the Wall Street Journal describes as "the most profligate administration since the 1960s." Reaching back to his Navy days for a more colorful metaphor, Sen. John McCain says, "I've never known a sailor, drunk or sober, with the imagination this Congress has." The omnibus appropriations bill just approved, covering seven of the 13 spending bills Congress was supposed to complete months ago, is well and truly dubbed "a pork-laden monstrosity" (by Club for Growth, a political action committee). "Grotesquely stuffed with pork," echoes the Washington Post. The federal budget, declares the investment firm Goldman Sachs, is, quite simply, "out of control." And the beat goes on.

 

What we have here is nothing short of fiscal disaster. America has gone from a $280 billion surplus when George W. Bush was inaugurated to $500 billion annual deficits as far as the eye can see. And those deficits would be $100 billion higher if the government wasn't raiding the Social Security surpluses now treated not as a lockbox but a candy jar. These numbers understate the scale of the spending binge because historically lower interest rates have sharply cut interest costs on the $3.9 trillion federal debt.

Disarmament. Most critically, the $5.6 trillion surplus once estimated for the first decade of this century is now projected to be a $5 trillion deficit. So what? Vice President Cheney is reported (by former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill) as saying that President Reagan proved "deficits don't matter." They do. And they will do just what they did back then, which is to crowd out private investment, raise interest rates, and slow economic growth to the point where our legacy to our kids will be lower living standards.

President Bush, who has not vetoed a spending bill in three years, has fractured the fragile bipartisan consensus of the late 1990s to dedicate the surplus to reducing debt. Now there is no pretense of fiscal discipline. We do not choose between guns and butter; we have guns and butter and tax cuts. This is the first war where the president and Congress seem totally unwilling to sacrifice. It is the equivalent of fiscal disarmament, and it will compromise our ability to respond to problems at home and abroad.

The Bush team defends the excesses by pointing to higher productivity (hardly the result of the Bush years) and increased profitability, as well as the higher stock market, all of which will increase federal revenues. But their claim stands economics on its head. Why? Because larger long-term deficits can lead only to reduced private capital spending, higher interest rates, and increased indebtedness and interest costs to foreign creditors.

In happier times, the GOP was the party of hard money, balanced budgets, and a shrinking public debt. Back then, it was Democrats itching to prime the pump with deficits while blithely ignoring the size of the debt. Now the roles are reversed. And the public has noticed. In a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll last year, 64 percent disapproved and only 29 percent approved of tax cuts as the best way to improve the economy. In a CNN/Gallup/USA Today poll last September, 74 percent said a candidate's position on the deficit would be taken into account this year. By a whopping 60 to 21 percent, Americans said they would reduce the deficit by canceling some tax cuts, rather than spending less on health and education. And now, in a Pew Research Center poll this month, 51 percent call the deficit a top priority for Bush and Congress. All of which would seem to give Democrats a major issue, especially as Bush proposes to make the tax cuts permanent, at a cost of $1.7 trillion added to the deficit over the next decade.

The public will be even more outraged to discover that in the next spending bill, total discretionary spending soars to more than $900 billion, compared with $649 billion in 2001, the last of the Clinton-era budgets. These increases cannot be blamed on the war in Iraq. The 18.6 percent increase in nondefense discretionary spending under the last Congress is the largest in decades. Dozens of special programs got more money. Agricultural support (for big agribusinesses mainly) is up approximately $50 billion over the decade, while projects earmarked for specific congressional districts (that is, political pork) have quintupled to almost 10,000, at a cost of $23 billion.

 

Our politicians are so focused on the next election they don't seem to care about the next generation. If the war cry back in 1992 was "It's the economy, stupid!" this year it seems to be "It's politics, stupid!" Only it should say, "It's stupid politics!"

 


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: bush; deficit; economy; mortzuckerman; zuckerman
Why suddenly did Zuckerman out the Bush Administration financial policies? What is in his crystal ball?
1 posted on 01/28/2004 1:07:08 PM PST by ex-snook
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To: ex-snook
I guess he couldn't stomach this runaway spending any longer.
2 posted on 01/28/2004 1:21:04 PM PST by kevao
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To: kevao
"I guess he couldn't stomach this runaway spending any longer. "

But it sure does not seem to give GOP politicians any indigestion!

3 posted on 01/28/2004 1:28:02 PM PST by ex-snook (Be Patriotic - STOP outsourcing American jobs.)
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To: ravingnutter
Have at it.
4 posted on 01/28/2004 1:31:39 PM PST by ex-snook (Be Patriotic - STOP outsourcing American jobs.)
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To: ex-snook
Nor does it seem to give many Freepers indigestion.

(We must be careful when discussing fiscal conservatism around here, lest our fellow Freepers perceive us as "DU-ing, DNC-loving trolls.")
5 posted on 01/28/2004 1:32:19 PM PST by kevao
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To: kevao
The reason we had a "surplus" is the stock market bubble of the 1990s. (all that cap gains tax money coming in) When we went into a recession (and stocks tanked) the surplus vanished and we had a deficit. Economic growth will cut into the deficit...along with killing several agencies like PBS,NPR,BLM,BIA
6 posted on 01/28/2004 2:01:28 PM PST by kaktuskid
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To: kaktuskid
Economic growth will cut into the deficit...

Yes, it will. Unfortunately, economic growth will have to be much more robust, because the deficit is much larger now.

along with killing several agencies like PBS,NPR,BLM,BIA

The Republican Party is not proposing this.

7 posted on 01/28/2004 2:11:50 PM PST by kevao
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To: ex-snook
Have at it.

Don't need to...Bush is handling it...

Bush to propose spending freeze- Jan 22, 2004 Washington Times Article

One interesting excerpt:

"In Bill Clinton's last year, fiscal year 2001, the growth rate in this category was 15 percent." Mr. Bush trimmed spending growth in the non-homeland security, nondefense category, to 6 percent, then to 5 percent, and then, in the omnibus bill passed yesterday, to 4 percent.

8 posted on 01/28/2004 2:16:34 PM PST by ravingnutter
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To: ravingnutter
So how much is the deficit being decreased? [all things considered] Zuckerman was not impressed.
9 posted on 01/28/2004 2:24:51 PM PST by ex-snook (Be Patriotic - STOP outsourcing American jobs.)
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To: ex-snook
[Treasury Secretary John] Snow said the federal government faces a deficit "in the $500 billion range" in the current fiscal year, which would be a record in dollar terms although at 4.5% of the total economy , as measured by the gross domestic product, the deficit would be smaller than the 6% high hit in the 1980s.

While arguing that the deficit "is entirely manageable," Snow said the administration intended to reduce it by working with Congress to impose spending restraint.

"With adoption of the president's policies, our projections show a solid path toward cutting the deficit in half, toward a size that is below 2% of GDP, within the next five years," Snow said.

US Snow: Bush Committed To Halving Deficit In 5 Years

10 posted on 01/28/2004 2:34:11 PM PST by ravingnutter
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To: ravingnutter
"US Snow: Bush Committed To Halving Deficit In 5 Years"

5 years? How about 2 years? 5 passes the buck to the next guy. But anyway how about 1/5 this year to show good intentions?

11 posted on 01/28/2004 2:39:41 PM PST by ex-snook (Be Patriotic - STOP outsourcing American jobs.)
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