0bambi and Senior Advisers (those old balding white geezers)
Advisor: "Yes Mr President....the odds of your re-election are about the same as the coin landing on its edge."
Posted on 12/11/2011 5:46:39 PM PST by The_Obama_Gerbil
Let's just assume that thanks to Jon Corzine, Obama has lost Jersey,and add to that Indiana,Ohio,Virgina & North Carolina. All we need is Pennsylvania or Florida and Obama loses. Either that, or a combination of other swing states like Colorado,Nevada and Michigan. No matter how you do the math, Obama's chances of winning are as equal to M.C. Hammer making a Comeback!
Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana, and Ohio should be a certainty. New Hampshire is all that is needed.
It’s not voter fraud, there are tons of inner cities, unions, demorats who work in new York, liberal Jews, the list is endless.
Dems were just reelected to conrol the legislature.
And I don’t think Corzine will do a damn thing, in New Jersey anyway.
Good don’t vote for them.
I will vote for Rubio for any office.
Well, I can imagine how badly McCain would have lost but for Palin... and Bush needed a Cheney.
But I don’t see the VP making as big a difference this time.
We’re gonna have more-or-less a RINO at the top.
The down-ballot races are gonna have to be where the passion is.
Of the states you listed, I think the safest bets right now are (in order) North Carolina, Indiana, and Virginia.
Obama took North Carolina by a third of a percent and Indiana by just a hair over 1% in a year when the GOP fielded the weakest nominee in a generation, in an environment that was the most politically toxic environment for Republicans since Watergate. And in the case of Indiana, he probably still only won the state because Lake County is, for all intents and purposes, part of the Chicago Metro Area. Both those states should go GOP this time. Virginia is (IMHO) very likely to go GOP, but you never know with the D.C. types living in NoVa. A decent GOP ticket should be able to carry it.
As for the rest, my SWAG’s (Scientific Wild Arse Guesses)
Florida: Right now, I’d bet 60/40 it goes GOP.
Ohio: Tossup. Could go either way, maybe slight GOP
favorite (Ohio FRiends feel free to correct/educate me here)
PA: 55/45 chance in favor of the Democrats. A tough fight for Republicans, but absolutely winnable.
NJ: Obama carries it by 7-9 points.
Why would you even assume that??.Christie is not all that popular in Jersey and the biggest shaker and mover politically in the state is the teacher’s union and they’ll be out in droves for DaBama.
How about Gov Susan Martinez of NM...a swing state, a female, and an Hispanic.
Which just goes to show you how far over the edge kooky birtherism has lead some people.
0bambi and Senior Advisers (those old balding white geezers)
Advisor: "Yes Mr President....the odds of your re-election are about the same as the coin landing on its edge."
NJ is way outside our reach. Actually, I’m a bit concerned about NV and CO. Even if we can win FL, OH, IA, VA, NC, and even NH, I think we will still lose without NV and CO. Assuming, of course, none of the ‘purple states’ like WI, MI, or PA goes Republican, which next year might be.
“Any strategy that assumes we will win in New Jersey is utter foolishness.”
I am afraid that is true. It would be great if the R’s took Jersey, but it’s nothing to count on.
You are either a coward or a traitor. Or both.
Yep. You aren’t nuts, just more patriotic and brave than the sane people. That’s it for sure.
A wise choice: http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/mexico-gov-susana-martinez-republican-party-vice-presidential-194521974.html.
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