Posted on 10/24/2020 11:18:07 PM PDT by Signalman
MICHIGAN Trump 49% (+4) Biden 45%
Zia Poll, LV, 10/11-18
Who is ZIA?
in Michigan, a Zia Poll/Painter Communications survey released this week revealed. Zia Poll conducted the survey October 11-18 among 2,851 likely voters and found Trump leading Biden 49 percent to the former vice president’s 45 percent. The lead is outside the survey’s +/- 2.5 percent margin of error. Three percent of voters remain undecided, and two percent chose another candidate:
https://www.newsbreak.com/news/2088583830084/michigan-poll-donald-trump-49-joe-biden-45
I expect a clear victory in Michigan much of it because the African-American vote does more than abandons the Democrats but flips to Trump. If so, one can expect the pattern to repeat around the country.
The implications for this in the presidential race are clear but more interesting in a way are the implications for Senate and especially congressional races.
Are we looking at a big enough trend actually flip the House?
Wow, and this was before the debate!
Yes. The president’s support is three dimensional.
There are 31 Congressional districts that have a dem in them that President Trump won in 2016. We need 17 to flip the House. I think we will get a lot more than that. President Trumps coattails will be long and wide. In a polarized environment, there isn’t going to be much ticket splitting.
Good point.
Very good point. Most will vote straight party line.
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