Analyst Discovers a Major Flaw in IHME Model Used by White House; Actual Numbers Are a Fraction of Expected

Red State ^ | 04/02/20 | Elizabeth Vaughn

[DeplorableGirl]

I have no idea who to trust, what studies are dependable, who’s lying or telling the truth.
It’s very disorienting.

[Tamatoa]

I rather be dead working and enjoying life than dead, broke and missable. We are all prisoners now.

[1_Rain_Drop]

"Does this mean 1 out of 7 New Yorkers won’t get COVID-17?"

No.

It means if NYC closes the subways, 1 out of 17 won't get COVID-19.

[ballplayer]

They just say this many cases,how many deaths,they don’t explain how many seniors 60 and over,how many between 18 and 50,how many deaths were seniors who already in the hospital for other issues,heart disease,cancer etc..
How many cases were positive but no symptoms,how many young people who have the gurus but just have minor symptoms and recover completely.
Looking at evidence from other places most deaths are seniors who had preexisting conditions and were already in hospital for other conditions

[SanchoP]

That’s a 0.01 infection rate with no death. Am I missing something?

Nope,my model says anything passed Easter will see hostilities and even open rebellion when the "Past Due" notices start piling up.

[Buckeye McFrog]

Yup. The number Birx and Cuomo are putting out now is 93K which is in the ballpark. I knew from looking at Italy numbers that 240K-2M was B.S.

[Willgamer]

We the people paid for these models so-

WHERE IS THE SOURCE CODE?

Presently, the model is a black box with projections just as good as a magic 8 ball.

We need to be able to examine the code to understand it’s assumptions.

[olivia3boys]

My county in CA totaled 30 new cases yesterday—and almost all from a nursing home! Five deaths total (since March 1).

I wonder what will happen to the nursing home industry after this. Might be time to rethink institutionalization of the elderly. . .but not an easy problem to solve.

[Buckeye McFrog]

Some reporter FINALLY asked Birx about the source code yesterday. She seemed caught off guard. If only we had journalists who would ask Birx and Fauci the tough questions instead of aiming “gotchas” at Trump.

[eastexsteve]

My county in CA totaled 30 new cases yesterday—and almost all from a nursing home! Five deaths total (since March 1). I wonder what will happen to the nursing home industry after this. Might be time to rethink institutionalization of the elderly. . .but not an easy problem to solve.

My daughter is a nurse and a shift administrator in one of the three local nursing homes here. It has been a nightmare for her. They have been on lockdown for over a month, with no visitors. They clean and disinfect EVERYTHING coming in. All unnecessary employees have been furloughed. All employees coming in are temperature tested before they enter the building. They have to wear masks and gloves the entire shift. They have to deal with belligerent and flipped out family members who haven't visited Aunt Edna since they put her in the home, but suddenly show up and demand to see her. But, the result of all this hardship is no coronavirus.

Also, MANY people from the northeast are escaping and heading down to Texas where they think it is safe. Many of these people are health care workers. However, my daughters' facility has orders not to hire any healthcare workers from states that are hot spots.

[spacejunkie2001]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pIMD1enwd4&feature=youtu.be

do yourself a huge favor and watch this. It’s about the NYC hospitals and how empty they are.

[spacejunkie2001]

amen

[spacejunkie2001]

Sancho, watch this. Very illuminating. This is going to blow up in the faces of those that seek to destroy our country

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pIMD1enwd4&feature=youtu.be

[goodnesswins]

I heard President Trump say he was sure Birx/Fauci would make background available.

[Iscool]

They just say this many cases,how many deaths,they don’t explain how many seniors 60 and over,how many between 18 and 50,how many deaths were seniors who already in the hospital for other issues,heart disease,cancer etc..
How many cases were positive but no symptoms,how many young people who have the gurus but just have minor symptoms and recover completely.
Looking at evidence from other places most deaths are seniors who had preexisting conditions and were already in hospital for other conditions

Nor do they tell you nor can they, how many of these deaths are from the regular flu since most of the time the diagnosis is based on the symptoms and not a test...

I have read that the flu numbers are way down this year...While the corona virus numbers go up...Is this virus being misdiagnosed or mislabeled???

Here is one of the places that reports that

[Menehune56]

Thanks for posting this, pinging for later in depth read.

[SanchoP]

Yep,my son is a nurse in a big Austin hospital and his hours have been back to 3 days a week. The only thing keeping them afloat is his wife is a Hospice nurse.

Thanks for the video. I've downloaded it to my laptop and put a copy on my phone in case our rulers pull it. I'm sending the link to all our rulers in DC and Austin. It's only fair to warn them the Wuhan Scam is fixing to blow up in their faces.

[spacejunkie2001]

Awesome. Thanks so much for spreading it far and wide!

[SanchoP]

It's pushing a million views. :)
Maybe we can put it over the top.

[spacejunkie2001]

It’s all over FB, that should help