That depends in which prognosticator you listen to. The NOAA seems to always predict warmer than average, or at least never below average in extended forecasts.
Right now it is trumpeting Globe had its 2nd-hottest October and year to date on record Arctic sea ice coverage also shrank to a record low last month
The "record" goes back just 140 years (1880).
Nothing about our much below normal November in the NE so far which they failed to predict in extended forecasts.
I just read on ‘Ice Age Now’ that West Hudson Bay has above average early ice for the third year in a row.