Skip to comments.Winter 2019-20 Outlook: Colder Than Average North, East; Warmer Than Average..
Posted on 11/18/2019 4:43:56 PM PST by daniel1212
A warmer than usual winter is forecast for much of the southern and western United States, but the northern and eastern U.S. will be shivering, according to an updated winter outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business.
Additionally, NOAA's winter outlook indicates that parts of the flood-weary Northern Plains and Midwest might see a wetter than average December through February.
Based on The Weather Company's outlook, temperatures are expected to be near or above average for much of the South and West, but parts of the North and East won't be so lucky. Temperatures there are projected to be near or below average.
Areas from southwestern Oregon into California, the Great Basin, Desert Southwest and southwestern Texas are forecast to have warmer than average temperatures during the three-month period from December through February. Colder than average temperatures are predicted from northeastern North Dakota into northern Minnesota, far northwestern Wisconsin and the far western Upper Peninsula of Michigan.
A broad area from the Pacific Northwest to the central Rockies, Southern Plains, lower Mississippi Valley and Gulf Coast will likely have temperatures that are near or slightly warmer than average this winter. Meanwhile, the northern Rockies, Northern Plains, Midwest and East can expect near or slightly below average temperatures for the December-to-February period as a whole.
Colder than average temperatures will return to the upper Midwest and Great Lakes while expanding into parts of far northern New England in January.
Areas from the northern Rockies into the Northern and Central Plains, mid-Mississippi Valley, Southeast and much of the Northeast may see near or slightly colder than average temperatures.
Meanwhile, temperatures are expected to be much above average from Central and Southern California into southern Nevada and parts of Arizona. Above average temperatures will likely extend from southern Oregon and Northern California into the Great Basin, southern Rockies and western and southern Texas.
Near or slightly above average temperatures are predicted from the Northwest into the central Rockies, Southern Plains, Gulf Coast and Florida.
February may have the coldest temperatures of the winter across parts of the North.
Below average temperatures are likely from the northern Rockies into the Northern Plains, upper Midwest and northern Great Lakes. The most anomalous cold is expected across North Dakota, northern Minnesota, far northwestern Wisconsin and the far western Upper Peninsula of Michigan.
Warmer than average temperatures are predicted from southeastern California through the Desert Southwest and much of Texas.
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Straight from morons I wouldn’t trust to get tomorrow’s forecast right, and they are trying to predict February.
Hmmm... Did any of the forecasts made at, say, the end of Summer 2019 predict the unusual(?) cold as far south as Memphis from mid-October into all of November so far?
The Paducah NWS posted the particularly impressive record low high for the day Nov. 12, 2019 of 26 deg. F (old record 36 deg. F) at Paducah, KY, and 25 deg. F (old record 39 deg. F — 14 deg. colder!!) at Cape Girardeau, MO.
14 degrees colder: That’s not a record broken, that’s a record annihilated!*
Further, it appears tomorrow will be the 1st day of temps in that region not below average since late October. Paducah NWS also headlined the snow and cold of Nov. 11 - 13 as rare, but then in their text conceded that this was the 3rd significant November snowfall in the last 6 years.
*Reports at other NWS offices in the region were similar, but I found none quite THAT extreme. (14 degree differential.) I could have easily missed such, though.)
My recollection (and utility bills) indicate a trend in the mid-South USA toward unusual cold from mid-October through December, but unusual warmth in late winter & early spring. Abrupt swings from warm early fall weather** to cold weather from mid-Oct. to Dec. seem to be getting more common, and “Indian Summer” seems to be getting rarer.
What this means globally is fairly insignificant, of course, and to be thorough, I would add a “**”:
**This year in particular, we went from downright HOT in Sept. and early Oct., then cold after that. Often in the past we’ve gone 2 Fall months or more with no AC and minimal heat - maybe just when getting up in the morning. This year it went from AC on to heat on most of the day, if not all day, in the span of a couple days, and it has stayed cool / cold.
Nostradumbass gives us the winter weather prophesy.
If there is one thing everyone knows for sure, is that it is IMPOSSIBLE to accurately PREDICT the weather.
Why? Because it hasn’t happened yet!
This November, we’ve already had 4 days of freezing weather (32* or less) in the DFW area of Texas.
I recall as a kid in the ‘50s-’60s playing football with neighbor kids and riding our bikes in T-shirts and jeans during Nov-Dec.
I really hate cold weather!
But like a conspiracy theory that will not die, it seems every negative or strange thing that can by attributed to Anthropogenic Climate Change (ACC), will be.
This is the real "global warming" that men ought to fear,
And the fourth angel poured out his vial upon the sun; and power was given unto him to scorch men with fire. And men were scorched with great heat, and blasphemed the name of God, which hath power over these plagues: and they repented not to give him glory. (Revelation 16:8-9)
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