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Why an Iran-Saudi Arabia Conflict Is More Likely Today Than Ever Before
NewsWeek ^ | 10/18/16 at 12:05 PM | Bilal Y. Saab

Posted on 10/23/2016 5:26:23 PM PDT by RC one

Much has been written about the cold war between Saudi Arabia and the Islamic Republic of Iran. Though this deadly strategic competition has not caused the sweeping disorder in which the Middle East finds itself, it has widened and deepened it.

Whether in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Afghanistan, Bahrain, Lebanon or elsewhere, the feud between Riyadh and Tehran has heightened societal divides and inflamed sectarian tensions, harming any efforts to defeat the Islamic State militant group (ISIS), end the civil war in Syria, stabilize Iraq, stop the fighting in Yemen, and solve the political crisis in Lebanon.

While both countries have always preferred to do battle by proxy—because they have more to lose than gain from a direct fight—relations have reached a boiling point, raising the possibility, for the first time in the history of their antagonistic relationship, of the cold war turning hot. This has less to do with the intensifying vitriol the Saudi and Iranian leaderships have hurled at one another recently (although that is surely of concern) and more with objective trends that go beyond sudden emotional bursts.

Indeed, five strategic trends help explain why escalation potentially leading to direct Iranian-Saudi confrontation is more likely now than ever before.

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: bho44; bhomiddleeast; iran; muslimworld; petrodollar; saudiarabia
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IMHO, the administration's confusing support for Iran is designed to foment this conflict in order to maintain US leverage over Saudi Arabia who has recently made threats to disengage itself from America and the petrodollar arrangement.
1 posted on 10/23/2016 5:26:23 PM PDT by RC one
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To: RC one

Good let them destroy each other.


2 posted on 10/23/2016 5:31:42 PM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist (TRUMP THAT BEYOTCH!)
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

That’s one way to look at it.


3 posted on 10/23/2016 5:32:17 PM PDT by RC one (The 2nd Amendment is a doomsday provision, one designed for those exceptionally rare circumstances)
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To: RC one

I really see no particular reason to prefer Sunni over Shia.


4 posted on 10/23/2016 5:33:00 PM PDT by DesertRhino (Novermber 8th. AMERICA'S BREXIT!)
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To: RC one

Really, when you get down to brass tacks, Saudi Arabia is probably only second to North Korea when it comes to the absolute absence of individual freedom.

Iran sucks, make no mistake. But at least they have some Christian and Jewish churches. The Saudis don’t.
A woman can drive a car in Iran, but not in Saud Arabia.
The Iranians can at least vote for their leader. Yes, the choices suck, but in Saudi Arabia its a pure feudal hereditary monarchy. They are both equal in terrorism, though the Saudi Sunni branch is probably worse.

So I couldn’t give a tinkers damn which one prevails. But I always laugh at the Saudis being described as an ‘ally’.


5 posted on 10/23/2016 5:40:17 PM PDT by DesertRhino (Novermber 8th. AMERICA'S BREXIT!)
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To: DesertRhino
I really see no particular reason to prefer Sunni over Shia.

Because of their evil pseudo-religion, they both want us dead.

So the best outcome is for them to decimate each other, and we vanquish the remainder.


6 posted on 10/23/2016 5:50:39 PM PDT by 867V309 (Lock Her Up)
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To: 867V309

Works for me.


7 posted on 10/23/2016 5:55:32 PM PDT by Nothingburger
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To: DesertRhino

I really think it all comes down to our 40+ year financial arrangement with them. they (and OPEC) trade their oil for dollars and nothing else and then recycle those dollars back into our economy through weapon sales and sovereign wealth fund investments. This makes the dollar the de facto global reserve currency and it allows us to distribute the consequences (inflation) of our easy money policy across the entire globe. In other words, it forces people to hold dollars and allows us to indirectly tax them for doing it by printing more dollars. So calling them a tool is probably more accurate than calling them an ally.


8 posted on 10/23/2016 5:58:43 PM PDT by RC one (The 2nd Amendment is a doomsday provision, one designed for those exceptionally rare circumstances)
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To: DesertRhino

Interestingly, Iran has a thriving Jewish community in their Southern region. I admit, Iran is a lot easier to deal with than Saudi Arabia, although I think for the sake of pragmatism, I am certain that both should be cultivated. An Iran/Saudi Arabia war will only destabilize the region forward and how that would benefit the US, I do not know.


9 posted on 10/23/2016 6:02:30 PM PDT by CorporateStepsister (I am NOT going to force a man to make my dreams come true)
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To: CorporateStepsister

It creates leverage over Saudi Arabia. they will need our weapons and our support.


10 posted on 10/23/2016 6:10:24 PM PDT by RC one (The 2nd Amendment is a doomsday provision, one designed for those exceptionally rare circumstances)
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To: DesertRhino; RC one

The U.S. actually has no ally in Saudi Arabia today. Only a remnant of what has been due to self interest.

But the U.S. must have ‘ muslim allies’ in the M.E. Jordan is not strong enough, and Egypt is on the cusp, but unstable. The rest in that region are only business-centers, like the Gulf states, or are pawns.

Things such as “women driving in Iran, non muslim religions having and being able to worship in Iran” are secondary considerations - anyway, they didn’t happen because of the U.S.

Examples: the late Shah’s father Reza Shah, in the 1930s, mandated that women remove their Islamic veil in public. His daughters and wife set public examples. Can you imagine MSM and social media today having a field day on this alone, calling him names.. then there was women voting in Iran, a right they got in 1963. Switzerland gave women the right to vote in 1971!

I’ve issues with the U.S. bringing sanctions on Iran, since the mullahs’ regime, and to begin with helping to remove the Shah. Sanctions are often a last resort when one doesn’t want to topple a regime but wants to keep a country weak.

And, the U.S. partly helped topple the Shah because the Saudis & co. felt threatened by him at the time. He was perceived to be getting too big for his shoes. Democracy nonsense is was simply nonsense.


11 posted on 10/23/2016 6:22:26 PM PDT by odds
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To: odds

Russia has seriously increased its global market share of petroleum sales and is widening it’s influence over the middle east such that it will have even more sway over the petroleum market. Putin has made it clear that he wishes to conduct petroleum trading in non-dollars and has in fact done so. We can’t have that. So, in the middle east, we are defending dollar hegemony and flirting with WW3 over it.


12 posted on 10/23/2016 6:42:45 PM PDT by RC one (The 2nd Amendment is a doomsday provision, one designed for those exceptionally rare circumstances)
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To: RC one

Can we hope for massive casualties on both sides?


13 posted on 10/23/2016 6:46:38 PM PDT by Little Ray (Freedom Before Security!)
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To: RC one

The Saudis are building a wall. In sand.

I think they’re serious.


14 posted on 10/23/2016 6:47:55 PM PDT by combat_boots (I no longer know what to say to put here. Pray for us.)
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To: RC one

Yeah, that’s precisely reason U.S. needs “muslim allies” of the Petroleum kind, first and foremost. When it wasn’t Russia, then it was USSR.

Don’t misunderstand, I don’t think Russians are any less self-interested today as they were when USSR.

But the U.S. chose the wrong ally with SA, and today, the Russians try to align themselves with the Mullahs in Iran, whenever they can.


15 posted on 10/23/2016 6:50:26 PM PDT by odds
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To: combat_boots; odds
A U.S.-Saudi Breakup Threatens the Demise of the Petrodollar

Wall Street Daily

Published Mon, May 30, 2016-Tim Maverick, Senior Correspondent

There are, perhaps, fewer more important– or more delicate – relationships between countries than the one between the United States and Saudi Arabia.

The very reason the U.S. dollar is the world’s reserve currency dates back to a deal struck in 1971 between Secretary of State Henry Kissinger and the Saudis, during which the petrodollar was brought into existence.

The U.S. promised to always protect the House of Saud – militarily. In exchange, the Saudis would only accept dollars for their oil. Under Saudi pressure, all of OPEC soon followed suit.

This meant every nation on the planet needed dollars if they wanted oil.

Currently, however, this crucial relationship is arguably at its least stable since the birth of the petrodollar.

This discontent was blatantly obvious during President Obama’s recent visit to Saudi Arabia.

Despite tradition dictating that government leaders show their respect for visiting foreign diplomats – with the U.S. President being the most revered in the world – Obama was not greeted at the airport by Saudi Arabia’s King Salman.

16 posted on 10/23/2016 6:59:45 PM PDT by RC one (The 2nd Amendment is a doomsday provision, one designed for those exceptionally rare circumstances)
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To: RC one

I have no problems with them getting into it.... as long as we don’t get involved. I suggest they use gas or bio weapons on each other. War would be over quicker.


17 posted on 10/23/2016 7:03:12 PM PDT by Dallas59 (Only a fool stumbles on things behind him.)
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To: RC one

” Obama was not greeted at the airport by Saudi Arabia’s King Salman.”

The Saudi what’s his name King may not like 0 but he likes military equipments and 0 likes payment for them. It’s a business deal, obviously.


18 posted on 10/23/2016 7:12:41 PM PDT by odds
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

Indeed, would like to lock both in a cage and have them go at it.

The rest of the world would benefit.


19 posted on 10/23/2016 7:14:04 PM PDT by PGR88
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To: odds
Moscow has said “no” to Saudi Arabia’s alleged proposal of a rich arms deal and protection of Russia’s gas interests in the Middle East in exchange for abandoning Syrian President Bashar Assad, according to Arab and European diplomats.

Russia and Saudi Arabia - which traditionally buys its military hardware from the US – have had a massive arms contract frozen since 2008. Back then, the sides agreed that Moscow would supply a huge assortment of equipment, including 150 T-90 tanks and more than 150 attack helicopters, to the Gulf state.

RT-Published: 8 Aug, 2013

20 posted on 10/23/2016 7:19:31 PM PDT by RC one (The 2nd Amendment is a doomsday provision, one designed for those exceptionally rare circumstances)
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