Vanity - Kentucky Derby 2013 Picks and Predictions

5/04/2013 | Self

[Slump Tester]

Lets's start a thread for posting our Derby picks. We need an FR bookie. We can play for told-ya-sos.

I'm a cheapskate who's broke all the time, so I'm only betting on the big race. I'm putting $2 across the boards on "Normandy Invasion" and also $2 across the boards on "Frac Daddy".

I know it's stupid to pick them because you like their names, but every once in a while it works. I picked a horse named "Frisk Me Now" once in some podunk race and it won even though it went off at like 50 or 60:1.

The last time we went to the derby was in 2006, I lost small bets all day Friday at the Oaks and the next day at the derby. I had 6 bucks on a horse in the big race to place that was at 15:1, and he placed and I got almost everything back I had lost. I went home about $15 in the red. Not bad for 2 days of fun.

What was really stupid though was that I had picked the 2rd place horse, and my other half had correctly bet the 1st and 3rd places. If we had combined our picks for a trifecta (just $6), it would have paid out over 11 grand!

[Vindication]

Normandy Invasion for the win.

[RWGinger]

thank you for that link

after reading it and loving the name
I am cheering for Revolutionary with calvin borel on top.

Love this thread~!

[ken5050]

Verrazano, by a car length..

[Moonman62]

I don’t know which horse will win but it looks like another stampede.

[supremedoctrine]

The horses with the best mud ratings are OXBOW, REVOLUTIONARY, AND NORMANDY INVASION.
Only a couple horses in this Derby have raced, and won or gotten a close 2nd
on sloppy tracks, but at MUCH shorter distances,like
5/8 mile and they are mostly also-rans, like *rac Daddy.
Vyjack won at 7/8 mile in the slop and earned a 96 Beyer number,which is quite good. I think the reason Vyjack is a longshot going into this Derby,is because o his #20 post,
but never underestimate the abilities o his phenomenal jockey Garrett Gomez. NOW, thanks to your question I have taken another look and will put VYJACK on top in some $1 super*ectas. WITH or WITHOUT rain, he is a contender even *rom post 20

[stylecouncilor]

My picks are: 1. Orb 2. Goldencents 3. Revolutionary

[ClearBlueSky]

I pick by name- what ‘feel’s’ like the winner. I have gotten several Derby’s right. This year I pick Revolutionary and Orb. Kinda like Overanalyze too since its such a big field.

[jungleboy]

12 - 16 - 10 Trifecta

[Conservative4Ever]

OK...going with Overanalyze...because I didn’t. Oh...to show. I think thats 3rd place. Correct me if I’m wrong.

[Slump Tester]

That’s a great human interest story, but since The Derby is on NBC, you can bet it won’t get mentioned.

[Liberty Valance]

Gotta go with Warner Wolf on this one. ;o)
"Normandy Invasion" for the win.

------>Happy Derby Day!

[gorush]

Frac Daddy

[deport]

Looks like rain...... Any mudders in the field?

[Slump Tester]

Normandy Invasion has never ran in the mud before. I'm thinking Mylute and Goldencents, but first hunches are usually best, so I'm sticking with Normandy Invasion.

Maybe he's a mudder and no one knows it yet.

[Slump Tester]

See # 20.

[RWGinger]

“I have taken another look and will put VYJACK on top in some $1 super*ectas.”
You sound pretty analytical.
I don’t actually bet but now I will be cherring for Vyjack too, maybe to win and Revolutionary to place.
I know it is stupud to not bet but I hate to lose money

thanks for mentioning how sucessful Vyjack is both on wet and dry tracks

[TLOne]

I like Overanalyze with Frac Daddy as a longshot or pairing.
Overanalyze dominated the Arkansas Derby with Frac Daddy being his only competition in that major prep race. Frac Daddy finished second in the Arkansas Derby.

[supremedoctrine]

Oh, you have no idea how analytical I am!
I just now got done making my bets on the TVG.com website
(horseracing channel) sitting at a Starbucks with wi*e and
daughter, enjoying a hal*-price *rappucino.
Mostly $1 supers with a 5-11 exacta box and also a couple bucks to win on #9 AND #11. I never bet big on any o* these big Triple Crown races—especially this one, which is a real crapshoot which nearly hal* the *ield could win. I make my money mostly on 10 cent supers-—woulda made a lot more super bets 4 this Derby, but 4got that 4 the Derby the minimum is a dollar. Last week I had 2 10 cent supers that paid a total o* $894 and a couple days b4 that had 3 that paid a total o* $1366. Sometimes it’s like “taking candy *rom a baby”, but sometimes you’re the baby, and the track takes it away *rom you. SORRY—the letter b4 “G” is not working. Gotta see i* I can use an old keyboard in this laptop, connecting with USB, because THIS IS IRRITATING!

[the OlLine Rebel]

I have to say this field is probably the best field of names I’ve ever seen. I love them - most of them.

Like the name, like the horse, in sync with my FR name and 1 of my passions, I want Revolutionary.

Andy Beyer likes Goldencents, but while the figure may be good, I just don’t like that name.

[John W]

I always look to see if I’ve heard of a horse’s Daddy, Mommy or Grandparents. The only name I recognized this year was AP Indy in the lineage of Revolutionary. So Revolutionary it is.