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Dick Morris: "I Goofed" And "Was Wrong" To Make Romney Prediction (video)
Real Clear Politics ^ | Nov. 7, 2012

Posted on 11/07/2012 7:08:30 PM PST by Free ThinkerNY

"I thought Obama would be buried in a landslide, instead I’ve been in a bit of a mudslide on my face.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 11/07/2012 7:08:35 PM PST by Free ThinkerNY
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Dick, just go away! Oh, and take Karl Rove with you!


2 posted on 11/07/2012 7:10:30 PM PST by Artcore
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To: Free ThinkerNY

At least he’s consistent.


3 posted on 11/07/2012 7:11:13 PM PST by gorush (History repeats itself because human nature is static)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Dick Morris is good entertainment but in nearly ALWAYS wrong.


4 posted on 11/07/2012 7:11:45 PM PST by 2banana (My common ground with terrorists - they want to die for islam and we want to kill them)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

How does anyone take Dick Morris serious at this point? Fox News needs to stop having this buffoon on night after night. His predictions are as bad now as they were when he wrote this:

http://www.amazon.com/Condi-vs-Hillary-Great-Presidential/dp/0060839139

Condi vs. Hillary: The Next Great Presidential Race


5 posted on 11/07/2012 7:12:10 PM PST by Longbow1969
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To: Free ThinkerNY

The Three Stooges - Dick, Karl and Mike. Careers over. Now get on Current TV.


6 posted on 11/07/2012 7:12:29 PM PST by frogjerk (Obama Claus is coming to town!)
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To: 2banana

My daughter kept telling me that Dick Morris’ pro-Romney predictions were a very bad sign. She was right.


7 posted on 11/07/2012 7:13:02 PM PST by sockhead (Socialism: trickle up poverty.)
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To: 2banana

My daughter kept telling me that Dick Morris’ pro-Romney predictions were a very bad sign. She was right.


8 posted on 11/07/2012 7:13:23 PM PST by sockhead (Socialism: trickle up poverty.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Note to Dick Morris...

This is not the first time you have been wrong...but we Americans will find it hard if not impossible to trust you ever again...as for Karl Rove..I think he will call it quits..sad because he is a smart political guy...but on a burnout and time to retire....

from haircutter in sad state of Pennsylvania where the welfare/food stamp moochers from Philly and the Burgh control...In my county, Romney~Ryan won 71%.

9 posted on 11/07/2012 7:15:06 PM PST by haircutter
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To: Free ThinkerNY

The real tragedy for the Repubs here, is the fact that there are too many of them that were wrong!

Obama bought the votes from selfish and mindless people who did not give a damn about the major issues and things that Obama has done to America. (and will continue to do to a much greater extent). Money speaks louder than morals with ignorant LibTards.


10 posted on 11/07/2012 7:16:05 PM PST by EagleUSA
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To: Free ThinkerNY

“Oh, and don’t forget to buy my new book based on this experience, Dubs Does Dissemination.”

No, Bill, I said disSEMINATION, not...oh, never mind.

Sorry if it seems like an inappropriate time to make a joke, but it seems that mocking the insanity that’s taken over the country is all we have left.


11 posted on 11/07/2012 7:16:05 PM PST by Cato in PA (May America reap the rotten fruit of the demon seed it's sown.)
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To: Artcore

He sure went away last night after he tweeted “don’t give up hope!”


12 posted on 11/07/2012 7:16:14 PM PST by MNDude
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To: Free ThinkerNY
The big dream -- Obama going away -- is not to be. :(

The small dream -- Dick Morris going away -- is all I have left...

13 posted on 11/07/2012 7:17:42 PM PST by mvonfr
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Has Michael Barone made any statement? He was the one that I thought was a better expert, but now....


14 posted on 11/07/2012 7:20:47 PM PST by Mark (Don't argue with my posts. I typed while under sniper fire.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Both Morris and Rove are stealing money from Fox. Morris wont stop shilling his books or magazines. And Rove was put in his place by Megan Kelly on election night.


15 posted on 11/07/2012 7:21:06 PM PST by deweyfrank
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Well, I take the view that Morris knew Romney wasn’t going to win in a landslide, but was being - to paraphrase another FReeper - a Hope Troll. In other words, it was a last ditch effort to give Romney supporters a “no worries.”

I agree, though, it’s time for him to go away. Perhaps one of the sanest things Chris Matthews ever did was to ban Dick Morris from his show (the old CNBC show).

Trump can go away with him, too.


16 posted on 11/07/2012 7:22:28 PM PST by DemforBush (100% Ex-Democrat.)
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Comment #17 Removed by Moderator

To: Free ThinkerNY

In all fairness to Mr. Morris, I think that it is would have been hard for anyone to predict just how staggeringly stupid the electorate of this country has become.

To do so is to contemplate the fall of man.

As far as I know, I am aware of only one person who did predict this, and that was Stu of Glenn, Pat and Stu.


18 posted on 11/07/2012 7:23:47 PM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: rockybalmon

It’s a deal!!


19 posted on 11/07/2012 7:28:44 PM PST by deweyfrank
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To: chris37

I think Mr. Morris is Stu and Pid.


20 posted on 11/07/2012 7:34:47 PM PST by deweyfrank
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To: haircutter
In my county, Romney~Ryan won 71%.

And here I've been going around bragging all day about how my PA county went Romney with 56% !!! You da champ!

21 posted on 11/07/2012 7:36:27 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: deweyfrank

lol, well he definitely missed the mark, but then again, so did I.


22 posted on 11/07/2012 7:39:48 PM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Thank You Chris Cristie!


23 posted on 11/07/2012 7:42:45 PM PST by tsowellfan
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To: sockhead
Yeah, Morris goofed alright, and his predictions are often the kiss of death. Nevertheless, one polling outfit got it just as wrong, yet had a sterling record of accuracy before yesterday. I'm speaking of the University of Colorado group whose model had predicted every presidential election since 1980.

Both last May and last August they were predicting a solid Romney victory:

According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes -- down five votes from their initial prediction -- and short of the 270 needed to win.

The new forecast by political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver is based on more recent economic data than their original Aug. 22 prediction. The model itself did not change.

“We continue to show that the economic conditions favor Romney even though many polls show the president in the lead,” Bickers said. “Other published models point to the same result, but they looked at the national popular vote, while we stress state-level economic data.”
So even the guys who had never missed a call (even in 2000 they got the Gore/popular vote vs Bush/electoral vote correct), blew it.
24 posted on 11/07/2012 7:45:20 PM PST by ishmac (Lady Thatcher:"There are no permanent defeats in politics because there are no permanent victories.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Reality. A firm grip this one has.


25 posted on 11/07/2012 7:47:22 PM PST by cableguymn (The founding fathers would be shooting by now..)
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To: deweyfrank
I think Mr. Morris is Stu and Pid

LOL. Thanks for the much-needed laugh.

26 posted on 11/07/2012 8:00:21 PM PST by ConservativeLawyer (America needs God's blessings)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Mr. Morris is a perfect reverse barometer.


27 posted on 11/07/2012 8:02:12 PM PST by rbg81
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To: ishmac

I’m not one for conspiracy theories, but when you look at those predictions from reliable sources, and the long, long lines at the polling centers....how did the vote come out millions less than 2008 and in favor of Obama?

People were still voting at midnight in Florida and Virginia, yet the final voter turnout was 10% less than 2008? Makes me wonder.


28 posted on 11/07/2012 8:03:05 PM PST by sockhead (Socialism: trickle up poverty.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

He is a toe sucking jerk.. all he wants is time to publicize his web page and books


29 posted on 11/07/2012 8:04:37 PM PST by RnMomof7
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To: smoothsailing
we are the county where 09/11/2001 and flight#93 was put on the map.. and only 30.5% of the Democrats came out to vote!!and Tom Smith vs 'church mouse Casey got almost 66% vote.and can you believe Republicans claim the 'old Murtha' seat..that was some good news on a sad evening...also only 34,384 voters came out to vote and it was a beautiful day...what will it take to wake the Americans up? we are seriously considering moving South to Georgia, and both our adult kids are jumping up and down...they have been encouraging the move for a long time...maybe it is now that time... Pray for the Nation we all knew ♥
30 posted on 11/07/2012 8:09:51 PM PST by haircutter
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Morris is twice as smart as Rove and Rove is a half-wit


31 posted on 11/07/2012 8:13:57 PM PST by Cyman
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Morris is twice as smart as Rove and Rove is a half-wit


32 posted on 11/07/2012 8:14:10 PM PST by Cyman
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To: Free ThinkerNY

I just did a quick lookup of the Obama vs McCain popular vote as compared to the Obama vs Romney Popular vote and here is what I see:

Election 2008

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2008

2008: Obama: 69,456,897 McCain: 59,934,814

TOTAL VOTES CAST: 129,391,711

Obama Victory Margin: 52.9% to 45.7% (9,522,083 votes)

Obama: 365 EV McCain: 173 EV

_______________________

Election 2012

Source:

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012-election-results

2012: Obama: 60,652,149 Romney: 57,810,390

TOTAL VOTES CAST: 118,462,539 (2,841,759 votes)

Obama Victory Margin: 51.2% to 48.8%

Assuming Obama takes Florida (which as of this writing is still uncalled)...

Obama: 332 EV Romney: 206 EV

___________________

What I find interesting are the following:

1) There were more people who voted in 2008 compared to 2012.

2) McCain got MORE votes in 2008 than Romney in 2012. In fact, McCain got 2,124,424 MORE VOTES than Romney !!

QUESTION : WHAT HAPPENED TO THOSE 2,124,424 McCAIN VOTES IN 2012?

3) Obama LOST OVER 8,804,748 Votes in 2012 compared to 2008!!

QUESTION: What happened to those 8,804,748 voters? Did they stay home?

I can only conclude the following, based on the above observations:

* There was LESS ENTHUSIASM by Americans to vote in 2012 than in 2008.

* Contrary to what we were led to believe by the GOP and what some FReepers claim they saw on the ground in their state, REPUBLICANS WERE NOT ENTHUSIASTIC TO VOTE THIS YEAR. In fact, I can see at least 2 Million of them staying home this year compared to 2008 based on the above numbers.

So much for the huge Get Out the Vote Effort, the huge, sellout crowds in Red Rocks Colorado and in Ohio...

* Even though Obama lost over 8 Million votes this year, most of those voters DID NOT switch to Romney, preferring to stay home ( I suspect many of these would be the disappointed youth of 2008 and the socially conservative blacks of 2008. The former still can’t find good jobs and the latter couldn’t vote for a gay marriage supporting candidate. However, they still could not vote for Romney. So, they stayed home ).

Also, I cannot help but conclude that a huge proportion of the GOP base STAYED HOME in 2012. Otherwise, where were the over 2 million votes that went to McCain in 2008?

This was a self-inflicted loss on the part of the Republicans.


33 posted on 11/07/2012 8:17:13 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: Cyman

Well heck. I forgive him. He was rash. He made a mistake. Mistakes are not sins.


34 posted on 11/07/2012 8:23:19 PM PST by Hound of the Baskervilles ("Nonsense in the intellect draws evil after it." C.S. Lewis)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Dick = dick


35 posted on 11/07/2012 8:32:32 PM PST by Bobalu (It is not obama we are fighting, it is the media.)
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To: haircutter

We’re about an hour west of you.

Romney, Smith, Diana Irey-Vaughn all won here.

And Keith Rothfus, that was the real treat of an otherwise very sad evening.

Georgia sounds nice, we like South Carolina! :o)


36 posted on 11/07/2012 8:34:40 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: sockhead

Yeah, I place conspiracies in the same category as miracles: they’re both realities and they’re both rare as hens’ teeth.

And yet it is so strange in this election...predictive models that had been infallible for decades were wildly wrong, speculations by seasoned and objective observers like Barone were just as wide of the mark, data gathered by Freepers like LS, et al., seemed to indicate one thing, but foretold its opposite, the body language of the major players prophesied victory for Romney and defeat for Zero, we saw long lines with our own eyes and stood in them to vote, and even pure intuitive types like Peggy Noonan—no enemy of Obama—seemed to see the writing on the wall; and yet what we a thought was UP, was really DOWN. I don’t know what to say other than that, as it stands, we lost and my homeland now seems as foreign to me as the dark side of the moon.


37 posted on 11/07/2012 8:46:00 PM PST by ishmac (Lady Thatcher:"There are no permanent defeats in politics because there are no permanent victories.)
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To: ishmac

Check out Freeper Jackmercer & his work out here. He NAILED this election using real science & data. LS & those people, God love them, but they were WAY off.


38 posted on 11/07/2012 8:51:24 PM PST by LongWayHome
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To: ishmac

Don’t forget the Redskins rule.


39 posted on 11/07/2012 8:58:15 PM PST by ari-freedom (Election Day should be after Thanksgiving, not right after Halloween)
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To: smoothsailing

They all won here also...

and both of the Carolina’s are nice...son just relocated from Lancaster, PA. to North Carolina and loves it in only four months time...he is what is drawing my hubby South..

I visit Georgia at least six times yearly, and love it...so the move will be really easy for me...just don’t like all the work involved with selling PA. property, but we already have several interested parties..


40 posted on 11/07/2012 9:00:27 PM PST by haircutter
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To: Free ThinkerNY

it’s hard to beleive these dolts get paid big money to ‘predict’ - how many times are they wrong while the general public pretty much knows they are wrogn all along? and they get paid for that? Wow! Sign me up- I can be ust as lousy at predicting outcomes as they are!


41 posted on 11/07/2012 9:36:20 PM PST by CottShop (Scientific belief does not constitute scientific evidence, nor does it convey scientific knowledge)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

He is a clown show.


42 posted on 11/07/2012 9:39:07 PM PST by boycott (CAL)
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To: LongWayHome

Will do, thanks!


43 posted on 11/07/2012 9:47:40 PM PST by ishmac (Lady Thatcher:"There are no permanent defeats in politics because there are no permanent victories.)
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To: ari-freedom

Well yes, but that’s more of a weird curiousity.


44 posted on 11/07/2012 9:50:06 PM PST by ishmac (Lady Thatcher:"There are no permanent defeats in politics because there are no permanent victories.)
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To: ishmac

The more I look into the tricks Gallup & Ras used the more pissed I get. We all like to hear what we want to, but I think it’s more important to deal with reality. And Nate Silver along with RCP was dead-on.


45 posted on 11/07/2012 10:34:24 PM PST by LongWayHome
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To: haircutter

Karl’s tantrum on global television last night was an absolute disgrace. It was uncomfortable and he just looked like a total sad loser.


46 posted on 11/07/2012 10:42:04 PM PST by My Favorite Headache (In a world where I feel so small, I can't stop thinking big.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY; All
Hugh Hewitt also was calling for a landslide victory...having supported Romney, RINO-like, since 2007.

So Barone, Morris, and Hewitt were the complete idiots.

Hewitt mentioned on his show today how bad off he was, and then had the nerve in the very next sentence to try to get listeners to get his newsletter -- as if Hewitt's analysis on much of anything has any "life" anymore...

Newt Gingrich was predicting 300+ electoral votes on Monday.

47 posted on 11/07/2012 11:34:35 PM PST by Colofornian (Some say "we're not voting 4 'pastor-in-chief'" --as if "gods-in-embryo" were divine only on Sundays)
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To: Colofornian

Yeah but Newt also said it could either Obama or Romney that just barely wins so actually Newt got it right when you consider that. Hey, I’ve got no horse in the race. Just sayin’


48 posted on 11/07/2012 11:37:24 PM PST by tsowellfan (Newt2016)
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To: Free ThinkerNY

The instrument has yet been invented that can measure my lack of “giving a shit” about anything uttered from the “toe sucker’s” mouth.


49 posted on 11/07/2012 11:40:58 PM PST by Mad Dawgg (If you're going to deny my 1st Amendment rights then I must proceed to the 2nd one...)
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To: LongWayHome

It’s a bitter pill to swallow, but the other side got a lot of stuff right.


50 posted on 11/08/2012 9:16:46 AM PST by ishmac (Lady Thatcher: There are no permanent defeats in politics because there are no permanent victories.)
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