Posted on 11/04/2012 6:36:44 AM PST by Blue Turtle
RASMUSSEN SUNDAY: O 49% R 49%... DEVELOPING....
(Excerpt) Read more at drudgereport.com ...
Question? Have early votes actually been counted or are they assumed because voter affiliation? and what about the indies? How do they know how they voted.
What did they say the morning after the 1980 election?
You Don’t GET OUT THE VOTE, by being over confident.
I’m still making calls and knocking on doors!
I think youre on to something there. No one wants to stick their neck out. Romney up 9 with indies is good enough for me.
Interesting as the final polls will be forthcoming today or tomorrow then we’ll see how they stack up against Tuesday vote. I think Gallup is trying to put one together to be released tomorrow.
The events up in the northeast has to be factored into their data gathering efforts.
I tend to believe this poll. Every national poll now shows the race to be deadlocked.
And I know it looked like Romney in a landslide just a week ago, but it appears Christie helped out Obozo just enough to close the gap.
However, the key is who will turn out?
To be tied going into the last day against an incumbent who cannot break 50% is a good thing. There is no question who has the enthusiasm on their side. That’s Team R/R.
I think it’ll be Romney 51-48 with well over 300 EVs (with surprises like PA and/or MI coming through).
where do u see this?
A lot of them drop their final polls today but i think Rasmussen does a complete round up tomorrow but as his polling center got whalloped by Sandy, he might just throw in the towel today with his final predictions.
Oh BS. Ras is a solid pollster and fairly GOP friendly too. If he says the race is tied, it's probably tied.
one of the GOP numbers guys on twitter dropped the info.
No votes have been counted, its all a projection based on party affiliation. What the results do say is that dem early voting is way down from 08 though still ahead of pubbie early voting. This is not good news for the commie in chief.
These pollsters are also going on party I’d while ignoring Romney gets more crossover than Obama.
I think a lot of people are seeing Obama as one of the most vindictive leaders since Hitler and Stalin.
Thanks for posting this graph. As they say in investing, the trend is your friend — and Romney’s got it.
This uptick for Obama is very annoying.
You know, this may seem weird, but I just got to thinking.
All of these polling outfits magically have it at the SAME numbers for both candidates in every poll.
48-48
49-49
50-50
Now, I’m no statistics major, but you cant flip a coin 10 times 4 times and get 5 heads and 5 tails over and over again, so how can you poll 1200 people 5 times in 5 different polls and get an even split over and over again? That is statistically impossible at this level.
So what it, just what if, these guys are all “standing down” as a bloc and putting out “dead even” polls as a group, not to try to keep the story “interesting”, although it does help them, but as a way to officially take “no position”, so to speak, on this so that if they are all totally wrong, they are totally wrong together or if they are right, they are all right together and thus will all have the same level of credibility for the next election. There are literally no other pollsters out there that people are going to turn to, so they all have a virtual monopoly on this and there is plenty of suckers... business to be had.
Can’t believe im saying to myself, at least it’s tied. It wasn’t supposed to be this way.
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