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New mobile-focused Windows could last 20-30 years -- Gartner
C/NET ^ | 06/28/2012 | by Donna Tam

Posted on 06/28/2012 5:15:04 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Microsoft's new programming model WinRT -- showcased by the new Windows 8 -- is designed to keep Microsoft relevant in the increasingly mobile world, analysts from research firm Gartner said in a statement today.

"Windows 8 is the start of Microsoft's effort to respond to market demands and competitors, as it provides a common interface and programming API (application programing interface) set from phones to servers," Michael Silver, vice president and analyst at Gartner, said in a press release.

Gartner's analysts, who recently released a report on the changes to Windows, said enterprises will take about 10 years to fully move from WinNT to WinRT, but if it's successful, WinRT will be the face of Windows for the next 20 to 30 years.

WinRT, which is short for Windows Runtime, is the collection of application programming interfaces (APIs) that support Metro, the new user interface for Windows 8. It simplifies programming for developers. (And it's not to be confused with Windows RT -- yes, they're different, see the second question and answer in this FAQ.)

There's been plenty of buzz around Windows 8 recently, particularly with Microsoft's announcement of its new Surface tablet. Despite skepticism around when the new operating system will actually debut and how good it will be, the tablet seems to have put a positive spotlight on Microsoft's late, and necessary, move to a fully mobile focus.

Steve Kleynhans, vice president for client and mobile computing at Gartner, called Windows 8 a "technology shift."

"The user computing world is changing. PCs, although still critical components of the computing landscape, are no longer the only devices for delivering services and applications to users. Smartphones and tablets are fulfilling the role of the primary device for an increasing group of users, and most of these devices are from vendors other than Microsoft," Kleynhans said in the release. "In this environment, Microsoft needs to move to a platform that enables a new type of application and embraces new types of user experiences. Microsoft is responding to competitive pressures that have made it rethink not only how its products should look, but also how they should be architected for security and manageability."

Silver said Microsoft will continue to support applications created for the older operating system model but will encourage developers to create "more manageable and engaging" applications using WinRT.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Computers/Internet; Society
KEYWORDS: gartner; microsoft; windows8

1 posted on 06/28/2012 5:15:08 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I recall MS making a very similar claim about Win7: that it was the OS of their future and would only require minor tweaks to stay at the forefront of operating systems.


2 posted on 06/28/2012 5:39:09 AM PDT by Psycho_Bunny (Burning the Quran is a waste of perfectly good fire.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Smartphones and tablets are fulfilling the role of the primary device for an increasing group of users, who don't actually use computers for anything other than entertainment.
3 posted on 06/28/2012 6:17:39 AM PDT by chrisser (Starve the Monkeys!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Gartner has been SO wrong about long-term trends SO many times, I do not know why they make them any more.

Predicting the technological landscape in 20-30 years is a fool’s game. Only one change in technology (breakthrough in quantum computing, holography, superconductivity, etc.) could change the entire scene. Certain kinds of political or economic upheaval could do the same.


4 posted on 06/28/2012 6:26:15 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("I have a new zest for life!" -- Calvin from Las Vegas)
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To: SeekAndFind

Without bashing MS, I’d just like to note that 20 to 30 years is a verrrry long time in the world of computing!


5 posted on 06/28/2012 6:32:59 AM PDT by Pearls Before Swine
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To: SeekAndFind

Yeah, Gartner’s blowing smoke out of the back-end orifices here. This isn’t a Windows thing — there simply isn’t any computing platform that’s going to remain viable for 20+ years, no matter what it is. The industry is still evolving way too fast for that.


6 posted on 06/28/2012 6:36:15 AM PDT by kevkrom (Those in a rush to trample the Constitution seem to forget that it is the source of their authority.)
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To: Dr. Sivana
Predicting the technological landscape in 20-30 years is a fool’s game.

A better bet is Microsoft will not be a major player in 20-30 years. They follow the Detroit automaker business model: a mish-mash of marketing dept. requested features to make the sale but under the hood most everything is cheap junk.

7 posted on 06/28/2012 6:39:27 AM PDT by Reeses
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To: SeekAndFind

http://news.cnet.com/Gartner-Large-businesses-shouldnt-skip-Vista/2100-1016_3-6221925.html

“Gartner: Large businesses shouldn’t skip Vista”

http://www.mcpressonline.com/forum/showthread.php?7219-Gartner-Group-End-of-line-for-AS-400

“Gartner Group believes the AS/400 will not be a major system (from 1995)”
[Note: the AS400 architecture is still doing fine in the current IBM iSeries in the business and government markets where it has traditional had a home.]


8 posted on 06/28/2012 6:46:51 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("I have a new zest for life!" -- Calvin from Las Vegas)
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To: SeekAndFind

Convergence.

We have already witnessed the convergence of PC and Laptop where the laptop can completely replace the PC.

We are now witnessing the convergence of Laptop, Tablet and Smartphone into a product that can replace PC, Laptop, Tablet, and Smartphone.

This is the natural progression of both battery and CPU efficiency.


9 posted on 06/28/2012 6:50:27 AM PDT by Erik Latranyi (When religions have to beg the gov't for a waiver, we are already under socialism.)
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To: Dr. Sivana

i agree, 20/30 years is too long to predict. The arrival of the iPhone decimated RIM. the only company that has lasted for a very long in the tech world is IBM


10 posted on 06/28/2012 8:41:35 AM PDT by Cronos (**Marriage is about commitment, cohabitation is about convenience.**)
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To: Cronos
the only company that has lasted for a very long in the tech world is IBM

And HP, though now that they have been reposirtioned largely as a printer ink and commodity computer company, they may be the next to tumble.
11 posted on 06/28/2012 8:57:54 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: SeekAndFind
To put this "20-30 years" in perspective, the first web browser (Mosaic) was released 19 years ago in 1993. The Internet didn't really start taking off until 1995.

We have no idea what technology will be popular in TEN years, much less twenty.

12 posted on 06/28/2012 9:15:32 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (If I can't be persuasive, I at least hope to be fun.)
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To: Erik Latranyi
We are now witnessing the convergence of Laptop, Tablet and Smartphone into a product that can replace PC, Laptop, Tablet, and Smartphone.

I think we will see a divergence into two products: a phone/entertainment product that can fit in your pocket, and a larger-screened product that fits in your briefcase that you can read text and documents from without eyestrain, and which allows for some sort of full-size keyboard.

My attitude is that if it's too big to fit in my pocket, it might as well be big enough to have a 19"+ screen.

13 posted on 06/28/2012 9:21:19 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (If I can't be persuasive, I at least hope to be fun.)
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To: PapaBear3625
I think we will see a divergence into two products: a phone/entertainment product that can fit in your pocket, and a larger-screened product that fits in your briefcase that you can read text and documents from without eyestrain, and which allows for some sort of full-size keyboard.

Perhaps for a short time, we will see devices of various sizes, shapes and capabilities.

However, flexible keyboards and displays (or projectors) could create a pocket-size device that still has a full keyboard and display.

14 posted on 06/28/2012 9:40:30 AM PDT by Erik Latranyi (When religions have to beg the gov't for a waiver, we are already under socialism.)
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To: Dr. Sivana

now they’re trying to go the IBM route and claim they are a services company. it doesn’t work — they’re not very good.


15 posted on 06/29/2012 7:00:55 AM PDT by Cronos (**Marriage is about commitment, cohabitation is about convenience.**)
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To: Cronos
it doesn’t work — they’re not very good.

Agreed. If they wanted to be a great services company, they should have done that before letting go so many propeller-heads who will never darken HP's doors again.

It can take decades to build a reputation for excellence, and you can be only one Fiorina away from frittering it all away, never to return.
16 posted on 06/29/2012 7:44:42 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: Cronos
now they’re trying to go the IBM route and claim they are a services company. it doesn’t work — they’re not very good.

I also guarantee that the bulk of their @#$% Itanium servers will be replaced by non-HP units. EVEN Gartner knew the Itanium was a dog.
17 posted on 06/29/2012 7:46:29 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics.)
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To: Dr. Sivana

So are the zSeries boxes.

Want a job for the rest of your life?

Learn Cobol/DB2 and write your own ticket.

Those apps aren’t going away, no matter how many iPads they invent.


18 posted on 06/29/2012 7:55:17 AM PDT by djf ("There are more old drunkards than old doctors." - Benjamin Franklin)
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