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Yep, Gun Sales Have Fallen Off A Cliff (RGR)
businessinsider.com ^ | 10-29-2009 | Joe Weisenthal

Posted on 10/30/2009 11:15:30 PM PDT by smokingfrog

The economic crisis combined with the election of a potentially anti-gun liberal to the White House acted as a big stimulus for the gunmakers.

But it seems that all that happened was that gun demand got pulled forward, because now sales are totally falling off a cliff.

A reader sends along some recent numbers from Ruger (RGR).If you look at the bottom line -- firearm sales -- it only looks like there was a slight sequential dip. But ignore that.

The number to look at is orders received in 3Q, which were down 80%. Due to their backlog, actual firearms sales only dipped a little, but they've only got a few quarters of that left, and then that's finished. The bubble is popped.

< -snip ->

This chart of Smith & Wesson (SWHC), which shows a clear series of lower and lower highs may since spiking in the spring may be proof that the gun bubble is just about finished. On an up day, the stock ended down about $.05 to $4.85, hitting a level not seen since June. Thoughts?


(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Chit/Chat; Hobbies; Sports
KEYWORDS: banglist
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bb on Oct 30, 12:15 AM said:

I think we're going to need a rebate like the car and real estate programs. They worked great for people needing houses and cars. I know there are people out there who need a gun or maybe would want to add to their arsenal. What better way to keep those GDP numbers up.

Reply

ordinary moderate on Oct 30, 1:43 AM said:

Excellent. Wingnuts wasted a bunch of cash on fancy paperweights instead of mailing it off to the Talibangelicals or Dick Armey.

Reply

Conventional Wisdumb (URL) on Oct 30, 9:44 AM said: @ordinary moderate:

At least we have the finger strength to pull the trigger.

You squishy liberals would likely rupture a muscle and break a nail. Good thing we are here to save your limp-wristed, pasty faced, androgynous butt.

:)

Just returning the sarcasm dude.

shmitty on Oct 30, 10:41 AM said:

after awhile imbecile, federal govt.-fearing,repub, southern, non-union hillbillies who have been hoarding guns and ammo just plain run out of money. fortunately- pleasuring youself to fantasies of Sarah Palin clutching a shotgun in a duck blind are still free.

Reply

Shooter on Oct 30, 12:39 PM said:

Looks like we need Cash for Carbines!

Reply

redneck on Oct 30, 1:01 PM said:

Ya us rednecks are feeling the crunch too

Reply

1 posted on 10/30/2009 11:15:32 PM PDT by smokingfrog
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To: smokingfrog
See also:

http://www.businessinsider.com/this-chart-says-the-gun-bubble-is-just-about-burst-2009-10

http://www.businessinsider.com/the-anti-obama-gun-craze-falls-off-a-cliff-2009-9

2 posted on 10/30/2009 11:20:10 PM PDT by smokingfrog (No man's life, liberty or property is safe while the legislature is in session. I AM JIM THOMPSON)
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To: smokingfrog

Gun show next weekend. I’m not in the market for a Ruger, but I’m gonna pick up some ammo and magazines.


3 posted on 10/30/2009 11:28:05 PM PDT by PLMerite (Speak Truth to Stupid.)
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To: PLMerite

its all about ammo now. Most people have what they need or can afford. Ammo is still pretty short out there.


4 posted on 10/30/2009 11:30:14 PM PDT by Mr Inviso (ACORN=Arrogant Condescending Obama Ruining Nation)
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To: smokingfrog

No job, no money, no gun. No mystery here.


5 posted on 10/30/2009 11:31:51 PM PDT by skr (May God confound the enemy)
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To: PLMerite

Yep.

Have all of the delivery systems we need.

More food required.


6 posted on 10/30/2009 11:33:27 PM PDT by ButThreeLeftsDo (FR.....Monthly Donors Wanted.)
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To: smokingfrog
Roger on the backlog working itself out... I just took delivery of a S&W M&P15T that I ordered back in May... A few weeks earlier I took delivery of a Stag upper that I ordered in March... Just a few weeks before that I took delivery of a DPMS LR308 that I ordered in February... Once I get my hands on the .50 BMG upper that I ordered in April, I'm done... If I had waited, I might have saved a few bux, but the threat that the Obama administration poses to our rights was (and still is) so severe that it's better to have the stuff in-hand than to wait for a lower price...

Now, if only ammo prices would come back down to reality, I could complete my 'ammo fort'...

7 posted on 10/30/2009 11:37:16 PM PDT by Zeppo (Save the cheerleader, save the world...)
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To: Zeppo

BTW, I’m proud to say that I’ve done my part to support S&W since last November (between a couple of AR-15’s and a J-frame Airlite .357 revolver)...


8 posted on 10/30/2009 11:39:45 PM PDT by Zeppo (Save the cheerleader, save the world...)
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To: Mr Inviso

Ammo is available...

It’s all about who you know at small town bait and tackle shops....

;-)


9 posted on 10/30/2009 11:40:13 PM PDT by ButThreeLeftsDo (FR.....Monthly Donors Wanted.)
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To: Mr Inviso

I’ve got a fair amount of ammo put away, but it makes me feel good to pick up a box or two once in a while. I don’t get out to shoot much, but if the balloon goes up any time soon, I can more than feed my side of a firefight.


10 posted on 10/30/2009 11:40:40 PM PDT by PLMerite (Speak Truth to Stupid.)
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To: Zeppo

When you order something like that, do they make you pay anything up front? If so, how much?


11 posted on 10/30/2009 11:44:46 PM PDT by smokingfrog (No man's life, liberty or property is safe while the legislature is in session. I AM JIM THOMPSON)
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To: Zeppo
What do you think about your M&P? I am planning on building a sort of "franken-rifle" but if I can get a good deal on a high quality AR I'll just buy the whole rifle.

Oh yeah, Arsenal AKs (SGL21) are selling for $499 right now.
12 posted on 10/30/2009 11:55:27 PM PDT by randomhero97 ("First you want to kill me, now you want to kiss me. Blow!" - Ash)
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To: smokingfrog
It depends...

The M&P15T was ordered from Express Police Supply in Kansas (they sell to civilians as well as to police, and have pretty good prices) and they didn't charge my credit card until they shipped it... The order for the Ferret50 .50 BMG upper from Spider Firearms required 50% up front with the balance due upon shipment. The Stag upper was part of a group buy through ar15.com, and it required full payment up front, as did the DPMS LR-308 from Clark Custom Guns...

13 posted on 10/31/2009 12:01:32 AM PDT by Zeppo (Save the cheerleader, save the world...)
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To: randomhero97

I’m going to shoot it for the first time next week... I’ve heard lots of good things about them, which is why I went for it...


14 posted on 10/31/2009 12:03:26 AM PDT by Zeppo (Save the cheerleader, save the world...)
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To: Zeppo

Part of my ‘buying strategy’ was to get the hardware first, just in case the Commies in Congress decided to jump on the ban bandwagon... I also made a serious investment in ammo, but I’m nowhere near what I’d like to have on hand. My next hurdle is to invest in the optics - but those are the least likely to become scarce due to government meddling...


15 posted on 10/31/2009 12:15:25 AM PDT by Zeppo (Save the cheerleader, save the world...)
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To: skr

Exactly. Just means almost everyone’s stocked up for the winter.


16 posted on 10/31/2009 12:24:18 AM PDT by max americana (i)
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To: smokingfrog

I have guns but was recently thinking about getting one of those “The Judge” I think made by Taurus. It’s 45 cal but also shoots 410 shotgun shells. So I went on line to a local dealer here on Maui Hawaii and he had posted the regulations and procedure of attaining one. After reading the regulations I put the whole thing out of my mind. It had a whole page of instructions etc. that were so bad I quit before I got started, not counting the classes I would have to attend after I got it. I understand they make it like that so people just wont buy a gun in the first place. Well , It worked with me.


17 posted on 10/31/2009 12:42:44 AM PDT by fish hawk (It's sad that science gathers knowledge faster than society gathers wisdom. Isaac Asimov)
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To: smokingfrog

Personally I haven’t bought any guns for a while, and have in fact sold a few. I also have a lot of ammo I bought in the Clinton years for those I still own.

In any case, it’s not about how many you own. As a wise man once said, “Beware the man who only owns one gun. He probably knows how to use it.”


18 posted on 10/31/2009 12:50:23 AM PDT by Hugin (Sarah Palin: accept no substitutes!)
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To: Hugin

Totally agree. I don’t really have time to shoot that much so I want to be proficient with what I have.


19 posted on 10/31/2009 1:16:56 AM PDT by randomhero97 ("First you want to kill me, now you want to kiss me. Blow!" - Ash)
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To: PLMerite

Ruger was my first.
My first was just a few months ago.


20 posted on 10/31/2009 2:35:25 AM PDT by Global2010 (Strange We Can Believe In)
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To: smokingfrog

I just bought another AK-47 variant.


21 posted on 10/31/2009 2:45:59 AM PDT by SIDENET ("If that's your best, your best won't do." -Dee Snider)
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To: SIDENET
I've been building AR’s for the last year. Even in Cali you can build them as long as us use a different mag release. I'm not going to go into a lot of detail here, but check around. They are easy to build and all the parts are pretty to get right now.
Later this winter I'll be after a couple 308 length actions for some longer range rifles. I can put together a 1K rifle for under 2 grand and that includes good glass. I'm talking about a true thousand yard rifle.
If you reload take a look at shepherdscope.com
I have several bolt rifles with this scope on top. By adjusting the load and the weight of the bullet you can make the bullet drop right in the proper circle out to 1k. Do some reading about the 80% receivers. Do a search on lightening link. You all just might be surprised.
22 posted on 10/31/2009 3:07:57 AM PDT by oldenuff2no (I'm a VET and damn proud of it!!! I did not fight for a socialist America!!!!!!!)
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To: Zeppo

Would love to get one of those!

894gr!!!!!


23 posted on 10/31/2009 3:52:10 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA (Obama, Hitler, Stalin: Who are 3 people nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize.)
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To: Hugin
In any case, it’s not about how many you own.

Unless, of course, you have a large family in which case it very well might be about how many you own. ;-)

24 posted on 10/31/2009 4:13:25 AM PDT by GnL
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To: skr

“No job, no money, no gun. No mystery here.”

Exactly. Nobody has any money to buy guns. Maybe that’s the idea? This administration has no clue what it’s doing. I think we’re being told it’s getting better but it certainly isn’t where I live. If it wasn’t for the gas drilling around here, it would be a lot, lot worse!


25 posted on 10/31/2009 4:32:20 AM PDT by Cricket24 (Conservatives Only...NO RINO'S!!!!!!!!!!)
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To: Zeppo

I am looking at getting either a Sig Sauer 556, FN SCAR, Robinson Arms XCR or a Remington ACR(assuming Remington comes out with the civilian version). Decisions, decisions.


26 posted on 10/31/2009 5:19:21 AM PDT by SVTCobra03 (You can never have enough friends, horsepower or ammunition.)
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To: fish hawk

If you want a shotgun, buy a shotgun. If you want a .45 Colt, buy a .45 Colt.

Since you live in Hawaii, I would suggest buying either a Remington 870 or a Mossberg 500. You mentioned you own some guns so you might already own those.


27 posted on 10/31/2009 6:07:46 AM PDT by Shooter 2.5 (NRA /Patron - TSRA- IDPA)
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To: harpseal; TexasCowboy; nunya bidness; AAABEST; Travis McGee; Squantos; Shooter 2.5; wku man; SLB; ..
Click the Gadsden flag for pro-gun resources!
28 posted on 10/31/2009 7:28:50 AM PDT by Joe Brower (Sheep have three speeds: "graze", "stampede" and "cower".)
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To: smokingfrog

I could use a Redhawk. and an LCR


29 posted on 10/31/2009 7:43:15 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Zeppo

A 50 Bmg upper for what?!!!


30 posted on 10/31/2009 7:44:53 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Cricket24; skr

We always thought they would come for our guns, then we thought they would come for our ammo. It turns out they just came for our money.


31 posted on 10/31/2009 7:50:23 AM PDT by Sender (It's never too late to be who you could have been.)
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To: smokingfrog

Weisenthal is an idiot. His own chart shows gun sales exploding the day after Obama was elected and remaining at 250% of what they were before the elction. "falling off a Cliff?" LOL! Typical Liberal asshat.

32 posted on 10/31/2009 8:00:56 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: smokingfrog

Weisenthal probably wrote this while sharing Jayson Blair’s hot tub, and their left wing wet dream became another warped oped posing as news.

Weisenthal should stick to writing articles pushing the gay agenda:

http://search.yahoo.com/search?ei=utf-8&fr=slv8-hptb5&p=Joe%20Weisenthal%20%20%2b%20gay&type=


33 posted on 10/31/2009 8:13:56 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Does 0b0z0 have any friends, who aren't traitors, spies, tax cheats and criminals?)
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To: Grampa Dave

Ha! Good to know. I never heard of the guy before.


34 posted on 10/31/2009 8:55:40 AM PDT by smokingfrog (No man's life, liberty or property is safe while the legislature is in session. I AM JIM THOMPSON)
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To: mylife

For an AR-15 lower...


35 posted on 10/31/2009 9:00:25 AM PDT by Zeppo (Save the cheerleader, save the world...)
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To: mylife

I want a New Vaquero. (.45 cal)


36 posted on 10/31/2009 9:00:58 AM PDT by smokingfrog (No man's life, liberty or property is safe while the legislature is in session. I AM JIM THOMPSON)
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To: pabianice

I guess he’s all wee wee’d up because the gun mfg’s are making too much money,


37 posted on 10/31/2009 9:05:41 AM PDT by smokingfrog (No man's life, liberty or property is safe while the legislature is in session. I AM JIM THOMPSON)
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To: Zeppo

bohicaarms.com

Not sure why their site is down. They added a forum a while back. Could have something to do with that.


38 posted on 10/31/2009 9:11:21 AM PDT by Dead Corpse (III)
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To: smokingfrog
The author is nuts if he thinks that the stock price of a company is directly correlatable to sales of individual products.

While gun sales have slowed down, a dip in the stock price does not really mean anything with regard to sales as the stock price depends on many other factors other than just accounts receivable figures.

39 posted on 10/31/2009 9:23:41 AM PDT by Dayman (My 1919a4 is named Charlotte. When I light her up she has the voice of an angel.)
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To: smokingfrog
The author is nuts if he thinks that the stock price of a company is directly correlatable to sales of individual products.

While gun sales have slowed down, a dip in the stock price does not really mean anything with regard to sales as the stock price depends on many other factors other than just accounts receivable figures.

40 posted on 10/31/2009 9:23:48 AM PDT by Dayman (My 1919a4 is named Charlotte. When I light her up she has the voice of an angel.)
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To: Joe Brower

Be Ever vigilant!


41 posted on 10/31/2009 9:53:04 AM PDT by blackie (Be Well~Be Armed~Be Safe~Molon Labe!)
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To: smokingfrog

Whoever wrote that article only selected a few points in the industry... basically wishful thinking. Our sales are still up and strong, ammunition sales are still insane, and Obama’s push for communisim and the collapse of America will fuel even greater sales in the near future.

Sadly, while we’re doing well, I’d rather it be for different reasons.

Mike


42 posted on 10/31/2009 10:38:21 AM PDT by BCR #226 (07/02 SOT www.extremefirepower.com...The BS stops when the hammer drops.)
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To: Zeppo

I did not know they made them.

Gotta link? I bet thats tuff on the shoulder


43 posted on 10/31/2009 10:38:26 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: smokingfrog

That would be nice.


44 posted on 10/31/2009 10:38:57 AM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Shooter 2.5
I have lots of guns, rifles and shotguns and pistols. I wanted a pistol that shoots shot gun shells and The Judge is the only one that is legal that I know of. My point, anyway, was buying a gun of any kind here.
45 posted on 10/31/2009 10:42:26 AM PDT by fish hawk (It's sad that science gathers knowledge faster than society gathers wisdom. Isaac Asimov)
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To: smokingfrog

16% unemmployment, go figure.


46 posted on 10/31/2009 10:54:44 AM PDT by School of Rational Thought (I got a rock)
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To: mylife
It has turned into quite an active category - see this page for a list of .50 BMG rifle manufacturers including 'upper' mfgs. and also see the FCSA vendors page.

There's a lot of discussion about the merits of different uppers here on ar15.com

Many (most?) of them are shot from bipods or rests, but some of them advertise the capability to shoot from a handheld, standing position (especially the ones with the shorter, 18" barrels). When I get mine, though, I'm going to look into putting some lead weight into the A2 stock that I plan to use (and will only shoot it from the bipod - I'm getting a 36" barrel).

The humongous muzzle brakes that most of them use help with the recoil (but make it "interesting" for observers behind the shooter and in the adjacent lanes)...

47 posted on 10/31/2009 11:59:16 AM PDT by Zeppo (Save the cheerleader, save the world...)
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To: Zeppo

Thanks for the info.


48 posted on 10/31/2009 12:07:31 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: smokingfrog
I don't know anything about him either, but I do know what I saw at the local Walmart 2 days ago.

3 boxes of 20 rounds of 243 ammo 2 weeks before opening day of deer season.

Normally Walmart has a display 6 feet high and 5 feet wide of the 6 to 8 most popular deer cartridges, with other calibers on the shelves and under the counter at this time of year.

Locally it does not appear the supply of ammo has flooded the market, nor is it even a trickle. What I have seen is a few tiny drops.

If I have time I want to see how much ammo is displayed a week from now ( 1 week before opening day of the deer season ).

The MSM has caused me to believe only what I see with most things they write about.

49 posted on 10/31/2009 12:13:45 PM PDT by TYVets (Let's Roll!!! The leadership of the GOP has no spine and no guts, but we conservatives do)
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To: fish hawk

Re your post 17, one of the downsides of living in Hawaii I suppose. You ought to live in one of the semi-free states.


50 posted on 10/31/2009 1:58:19 PM PDT by OldPossum
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