Post your Predictions for 2009

Free Republic ^ | 12.01.08 | Perdogg

[Perdogg]

Let's recap my 2008 Predictions

National/Political:

>Rudy Guiliani/Haley Barbour will defeat Hillary Clinton/Bill Richardson in November 52-47-1

WRONG

>Republicans will take back the House; Net -2 in the Senate.

WRONG

>Bush will pardon Scooter Libby, Ramos and Campeon Christmas eve 2008.

TBD

World:

>The US will hit Iran nuclear program hard causing the regime to fall in Tehran.

WRONG

>Israel and Hezbollah will take the gloves off in 2008, by early spring.

WRONG

>Major upheavals in North Korea.

Upheavals, yes - Major, unknown

>OBL will be declared dead by 01/31/08.

WRONG

>Terrorist attack in Europe, probably italy.

WRONG

>More details will come to light over the 9-11 commission. Iraqi involvement will be requestioned.

WRONG

Sports:

>2008 NCAA Football: Georgia will be number 1 will play Oklahoma number 2 in 2009 for the BCS championship.

TBD - Most likely half wrong

>NFL: Dallas will defeat New England in the Super Bowl; Tony Romo will announce his engagement to Jessica Simpson (She will have a hot bun in the oven). Gibbs to retire; McNabb traded.

1/4 Right

>NCAA Basketball: UNC over Memphis State for NCAA Championship.

Half right

>MLB: The Cubs will not make the playoffs, but the Cardinals will defeat the Yankees, 4-3 in the world series.

WRONG

>Jimmy Johnson will win another NASCAR championship beating out Tony Stewart.

RIGHT!

Entertainment:

>Nude pictures of Hayden Panettiere will hit the internet. She will be fired from Heroes.

WRONG, unfortunately

>Britney Spears will come out of the closet and blame her repressed sexuality for her problems.

WRONG

>Lohan will announce both marriage and pregnancy in 2008

WRONG

>Anna Kournikova will pose nude for Playboy.

WRONG

>The "it" girl for 2008 will be Ashley Tisdale.

WRONG

Business Economy Dow will finish around 15,500 at the end of 2008. WRONG No recession WRONG The Dollar will make a come back. RIGHT Oil will finish the year at around $70.00 ppb after hitting $115 ppb in the late Spring. Mostly WRONG

Ave atque vale:

Margaret Thatcher - WRONG

Charleston Heston - RIGHT

[SunkenCiv]

Thanks!

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/1935487/posts?page=38#38

[me] The price of crude will not fall below $80 a barrel, and if there is any major political, military, or paramilitary shock, crude may hit $125 a barrel.

Due to a continued devaluation of the US dollar, a continued flood of foreign cash will continue to finance gov’t deficits. If the interest rate rises as a result of gov’t deficits, a continued flood of foreign cash will continue to finance gov’t deficits.

I guess what I’m trying to say is, a continued flood of foreign cash will continue to finance US gov’t deficits.

The Dhimmicrats’ move to Alternative Minimum Tax relief will be the only income tax relief we’re going to see in 2007 and 2008.

[SunkenCiv]

thanks again Clemenza, from less than a year ago:

The Coming Oil Crash: Why Oil Prices Will Drop
Portfolio | January 2008 | John Cassidy
Posted on 12/31/2007 11:57:38 AM EST by Clemenza
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1946360/posts

[Clemenza]

Twas a great article. Thanks for posting the link.

[SunkenCiv]

Post your Predictions for 2007
12.28.06 | Perdogg
Posted on 12/28/2006 6:39:19 PM PST by Perdogg
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1759697/posts

[SunkenCiv]

My pleasure. I've got a prediction -- the Detroit Lions won't win a game this season. Their four remaining opponents are Vikings, Colts, Saints, and Packers, half the games are on the road.

[SunkenCiv]

freep this:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2140606/posts?page=15#15

[bert]

How ‘bout that 15,500 Dow!!

For ‘09

Teddy Kennedy will die. (Last Years Prediction of a stroke was very close to the mark)

The big time inflation will be evident by the beginning of the third quarter.

The Old Gray Whore will bankrupt before GM. There will be several others as well.

GM will be allowed to implement in 2009 the UAW contract provisions set for 2010.

A scheme will develop to pass Auto worker pension/healthcare to the Federal government

GM will absorb Jeep and the Vans. The remains of Chrysler will get GMAC and will become a bank

Michigan and California will bankrupt

Bibi will make Iran an offer it had best not refuse

[SunkenCiv]

Britney Spears makes a fool of herself in public

wow, you're pretty far out on a limb there... ;')

[SunkenCiv]

‘ja see it Sunday?

http://www.doonesbury.com/strip/dailydose/index.html?uc_full_date=20081130

http://images.ucomics.com/comics/db/2008/db081130.gif

[SunkenCiv]

Banking / Currency:

1. The value of the dollar will continue basically higher all year, provided crude prices remain low.
2. Commodity prices will decline all year.
3. Retail food prices will come down all year.

Aerospace:

1. NASA's budget will be cut in order to keep the desk jockeys and paperwork junkies instead of human spaceflight. Prospects for human spaceflight after retirement of the Shuttle will continue to be a matter for "study".
2. Boeing will lay off employees, Airbus will continue to be plagued with problems.

Transportation:

1. Air travel in the US will increase as the number of airlines decreases, provided crude prices remain low.
2. The price of crude will remain below $60 a barrel throughout 2009.
3. Ethanol subsidies will continue, much to the chagrin of many FReepers (not this one).
4. There will be no automobile company bailout.

Government:

1. Obama's cabinet will come to resemble Israel's.
2. Obama vs. Pelosi and Reid will be the hot fight card in D.C.
3. There will be one new Supreme Court justice in 2009.
4. There will be attempts by the Obama administration to harm the coal industry and agriculture.

War on Terror:

1. Obama plans to leave Gates as Sec'y of Defense, and to follow President Bush' lead by using surge tactics in Afghanistan. He will succeed in both, only because (and if) he succeeds with the first one.
2. Obama vs. Reid and Pelosi will mostly not involve the US presence in Iraq.
3. Obama's first foray into foreign intervention (as author) will be in Zimbabwe; the second will be in Somalia and Somaliland; the third will be in Sudan; the fourth will be in Nigeria. The level of Obama's preferred US intervention will decline as he goes down this list of four. Only the first one (Zimb) will work out.
4. Because of the cratering of crude prices, there will be more short wars of aggression by Russia for its interests in the area of the state monopoly on hydrocarbon production. Because Iraq is no longer run by Saddam Hussein, the likelihood of an inter-OPEC war for production market share has been reduced, but political instability due to its brewing budget crisis will finally result in a civil war or major insurrection in Saudi Arabia.
5. Venezuela will have the same problem and will not be able to buy the advanced fighters from Russia. Chavez' latest proposal to amend the Venezuelan constitution to extend his dictatorship in all but name will fail. Columbia's enemies in the US Congress will succeed in stymying efforts to help it financially, much to the delight of various coke-heads who call themselves conservatives.
6. North Korea will try to test a nuclear bomb, but the attempt will fail. Rumors about Kim Jong-il will continue, this time claiming he's been removed from day to day decisions governing the illegal Pyongyang regime.
7. Pakistan will launch yet another internal security operation, and this time will succeed in re-establishing control over one or more of its rebellious provinces. Members of the European Union will condemn supposed human rights violations committed by Pakistan during the operation.

Diplomacy:

1. Compliant with the aims of President Obama, Sec'y of State Hillary Clinton will be a hawk regarding US relations with Russia, to combat what is perceived as declining US influence over and support from various political entities of Central Asia, one of which is Pakistan. As a consequence, India will de facto be thrown under the bus.
2. India will host an Asian superpower summit which will include high officials of both China and Russia.
3. Israel will be surprisingly well treated under the Obama administration, much to the chagrin of his fellow Moslems.
4. As a consequence of the cratering of crude oil prices, Iran has less money coming in, but has less going out because it no longer has to pay the big bucks to import gasoline (it has no refineries). At some point there will be more violence in the upper political echelon of Iran. The diplomatic approach of isolation and containment used by the US against Iran will continue. There will be no nuclear weapon test by Iran in 2009.

Books and the Arts:

1. Virtually every title in the "urban myths" and "debunking" and "lies your teacher told you" genre will wind up on the cold hard slab of marble that is the remainder table (and good riddance).
2. Windfall profits taxes on overpaid Hollywood stars and television celebrities will be proposed (by me, right now, that's one correct prediction so far).
3. Hollywood will continue to suck, as will daytime TV.
4. Digital broadcast TV, which begins in February, will contribute to further declines in the dish and cable business.
5. Broadband will be installed in a former portajohn (has been someone's "home" for some time now) under the freeway onramp, marking the end of the first phase of broadband buildout in the US.
6. There will be Congressional hearings on the epidemic of movie piracy (including bootlegs shot off theater screens, which are sold to undiscerning criminals who apparently never watch the lousy things). Even more stupid anti-piracy measures are suggested by "witnesses" like George Clooney.

that oughta do it for a few days. :')

[TruthFactor]

India and Pak-ee-ston duke it out while Obama sits in the corner with a big wet spot in his crotch and his eye twitching.

LOL!!!

[Kevmo]

In terms of election 2006, note that the prediction markets nailed it, that we would be losing both the house & senate, whereas only about 8% of Freepers saw it coming.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts?page=22#22

The Efficacy Of Prediction Markets The Liberty Papers ^ | November 8, 2007 | Brad Warbiany http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1922961/posts

I suppose if there are to be predictions for 2009, Intrade would be the place to go. As a followup, note that Intrade nailed the 2008 election, they were correct on 48/50 states.

https://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/3090.page

05/11/2008 15:47:57 Subject: Re:Intrade correctly predicts each and every state
Lee

Novice

Joined: 09/02/2008 06:39:36
Messages: 27
Offline
Intrade got 48/50 by my count, reversing IN and MO. On election eve, the market predicted narrowly for McCain in Indiana and Obama in MO. But the electoral count was still right, because both states have 11 EVs.

[SunkenCiv]

Oil falls as gas prices hit 3-year low
(elderly, children, foreign despots most affected)
AP on Yahoo | 12/2/08 | Mark Williams - ap
Posted on 12/02/2008 11:51:28 AM PST by NormsRevenge
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2141625/posts

[SunkenCiv]

Is there anything on the prediction markets pertaining to Certifigate?

[Kevmo]

Not yet. But I’m trying.

https://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/3172.page

I recently came to realize why Intrade is likely not to be interested in posting this kind of contract. Intrade recently blocked a forum on the general discussions page that talked about Tradesports shutting down. John Remington wrote that Intrade is probably “strategically positioning itself to formally re-enter the US market. “ That means they need to deal with the commissions appointed by the new Obama administration. Having a contract that bets on Obama’s political damage or demise is going to hurt Intrade’s chances of getting back in.

---

Note that the most read thread on their forum is my CertifiGate thread.

https://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/2279.page

[Billthedrill]

OK, I guess I'll try.

1. Having gone through 128,352,956 names in her little black book, Paris Hilton will finally come to mine. She will then join a convent.

2. The Mariners will not win the World Series.

3. Pinch Sulzberger will go back into the closet, where he will encounter Tom Cruise, Prince, and Richard Gere's gerbil. The three of them will sue the state of California to recognize their marriage.

4. Joe Biden will take the oath to be Vice President of Zanzibar. The media will blame Bush.

5. Michael Jackson will start acting a little weird.

6. Oil will end the year at $85 a barrel, Regular gasoline in my state will be selling for $2.90 a gallon. I will be able to afford to run my lawn mower. To work.

7. FR will still rock.

[SunkenCiv]

The Coming Unsustained and Unnatural Real Estate Explosion
The Provocateur | 12/06/2008 | Mike Volpe
Posted on 12/06/2008 10:17:01 AM PST by repman
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2144087/posts

Financial doomsayer Schiff still grim on future
AP via Forbes | 2008-12-03 | Dave Carpenter
Posted on 12/06/2008 10:34:37 AM PST by rabscuttle385
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2144098/posts

The List: The World’s Largest Untapped Oil Fields
Foreign Policy | December 2008 Issue | Jerome Chen
Posted on 12/01/2008 4:50:30 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2141141/posts

-sidebar-

Life under an offshore oil rig : man made reef and habitat ( VIDEO )
http://www.fishkillavids.com/videos/hdrpromo.wmv
Posted on 12/06/2008 7:45:55 AM PST by Halfmanhalfamazing
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2144025/posts

[SunkenCiv]

CPAC 2009
CPAC | 11/21/2008 | Skye
Posted on 11/21/2008 8:39:39 PM PST by skyeblue
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2136370/posts

The European Union’s 2009 Plan For Israel
Jerusalem News Wire
Posted on 12/01/2008 3:43:01 PM PST by ps2
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2141106/posts

-longer perspectives-

The World a Century from Now
the current writer, et al | December 31 2004 | SunkenCiv, et al
Posted on 12/31/2004 12:46:20 PM PST by SunkenCiv
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1311725/posts

-economic/financial-

Sen. Dorgan Sees (2009) End for Cross Border (NAFTA Mexican Trucking) Program
Traffic World | November 14, 2008 | Ari Natter
Posted on 12/04/2008 9:55:13 PM PST by flattorney
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2143264/posts

Boeing warns of possible layoffs in 2009
Seattle Times | 11/21/2009 | Dominic Gates
Posted on 11/21/2008 1:07:49 PM PST by sionnsar
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2136147/posts

Financial Job Losses May Double to 350,000 by 2009 (Update1)
Bloomberg (link only) | 11/21/08 | Philip Lagerkranser
Posted on 11/21/2008 8:52:43 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2136379/posts

-apropos of nothing-

First timer takes bad sex award
BBC | 11/29/06 | n/a
Posted on 11/29/2006 12:40:09 PM PST by kiriath_jearim
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/1745987/posts

[SunkenCiv]

Global demand for oil to plummet
Financial Times | December 9 2008 | Javier Blas, Krishna Guha
Posted on 12/09/2008 6:40:06 PM PST by Lorianne
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2145915/posts

> Global oil demand will collapse next year and commodities will not return to the highs they reached this summer in the foreseeable future, two authoritative reports said on Tuesday as they forecast a long and painful worldwide recession.

[SunkenCiv]

Charles Schwab says: It will get better
(Markets will roar back sooner than we think)
Fortune | Dec 11,2008 | Geoff Colvin
Posted on 12/13/2008 12:33:39 PM PST by SeekAndFind
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2148303/posts

[freedumb2003]

I give a better than 50% chance the new fuhrer will be assassinated.

[BenLurkin]

[thecodont]

GB Trudeau is a PUMA. Just my opinion.

[SunkenCiv]

Probably so, especially since he’s one of those lily white limo libs from the NE; years ago, his “Clyde” character was just a vicious stereotype. Also, when Ford was president, he made his famous statement, “the print media, the electronic media, and Doonesbury, not necessarily in that order” and took along Trudeau (that is, we paid his way) when he went to China.

[SunkenCiv]

Perhaps, but it won’t happen on US soil.

[LukeL]

But that’s impossible. How will the Emperor Obama maintain control without the bureaucracy?

[SunkenCiv]

Pump prices fall to lowest since ’04
AP via Houston Chronicle | Dec. 26, 2008, 10:30PM | Chris Kahn
Posted on 12/27/2008 6:47:03 AM PST by thackney
Edited on 12/27/2008 6:48:35 AM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2154832/posts

[SunkenCiv]

American Thinker: The Future (”This is the Rosy Scenario”)
American Thinker | Randall Hoven
Posted on 02/01/2009 3:03:39 PM PST by quesney
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2176394/posts

[SunkenCiv]

Obama May Get to Appoint Two Supreme Court Judges
Yahoo News | November 6, 2008 | Lucile Malandain Lucile Malandain
Posted on 11/10/2008 7:09:07 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2129787/posts

[President]Barack Obama Wants SCOTUS To “Break-Free” From Constitution
Now Public | October 27, 2008 | Edmund Jenks
Posted on 01/28/2009 9:44:27 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2173531/posts

-pursuant to message 16-

USSC Justice Ginsburg has surgery for pancreatic cancer
CBS Radio | 02/05/09 | CBS Radio
Posted on 02/05/2009 10:02:56 AM PST by Kieri
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2179024/posts

U.S. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg had surgery today for pancreatic cancer.
CNN | Feb. 5, 2009 | CNN
Posted on 02/05/2009 10:12:46 AM PST by FocusNexus
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2179038/posts

(Supreme Court Justice) Ginsburg is hospitalized with pancreatic cancer
Breitbart | 02/05/09
Posted on 02/05/2009 11:22:30 AM PST by Pfesser
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2179102/posts

-archival-

Faith & frailty (Justice Ginsburg ill?)
ABC News | Jan Crawford Greenburg
Posted on 03/02/2007 9:26:09 AM PST by Owl_Eagle
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1794068/posts

NJDC Accuses McCain of “Picking on Jewish Supreme Court Justices”
IsraPundit | 8/21/08 | Bill Levinson
Posted on 08/21/2008 9:54:12 AM PDT by Winged Hussar
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2065602/posts

Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg: Change Basis for Allowing Abortions to Slavery Amdt
LifeNews.com | September 3, 2008 | Steven Ertelt
Posted on 09/03/2008 10:28:39 AM PDT by julieee
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2073857/posts

100 Most Powerful Women: #72 Ruth Bader Ginsburg
(Beware Obama’s Supreme Court Picks)
Forbes | 08/27/08 | Tatiana Serafin
Posted on 10/04/2008 12:51:54 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2097547/posts

[Perdogg]

Perdogg - May 11th, 2008

"Some people say we can survive 4 years of Hilabama because we "survived" four years of Carter and 8 years of Bill Clinton. Four years of Carter got us 29 years of an Islamic Republic in Iran and 8 years of Clinton gave us the rise of Al Qaeda.

If Hilabama is elected, they will go to great lengths ensuring that they will never be out of power. They will leave no dime unspent in their pursuit of unabated democrat rule.

Your vote is your business. Just get all of the facts and be prepared to be disappointed."

[SunkenCiv]

Well said. VERY well said. Bravo.

[Perdogg]

Predictions for 2009
Business/Economy

1) The last half of 2008 will be declared a recession and it will continue through the first quarter. We will have little growth in the 2nd and 3rd quarter, modest growth in the 4th quarter.

RIGHT

2) The Dow will finish at 11,500 on the last trading day of 2009, which will be Thursday, December 31st.

TBD

3) Dollar at the end of 2009 will equal € 1.32

doubtful

4) Unemployment will peak in early fall.

doubtful

5) Oil will be at $40 ppb on 12/31/09

doubtful

Sports

1) The Giants and the Steelers will play in the Super Bowl and the Giants will win.

wrong

2) UNC, UConn, Pittsburgh, and Texas will be in the 2009 Final Four - UNC will defeat Pittsburgh for the Championship.

Right

3) NBA - Shaq will retire after the season. The Rockets will defeat the Celtics 4-2 to win the championship.

Wrong

4) NHL - Red Wings over the Hurricanes 4-0.

Wrong

5) MLB - Boston over the NY Mets 4-3.

Wrong
6) Danica Patrick will leave IRL for NASCAR, Jimmy Johnson will lose the points race to Jeff Gordon.

Wrong

7) BCS #1 and #2 December 2009 - Florida and Ohio State. Pete Carrol and Mack Brown leave for the NFL after the college season of 2009.

Wrong the rest TBD

Entertainment

1) Jolie and Pitt marry by 12/31/09.

doubtfull

2) Spears and Lohan will stay out of jail in 2009, ‘Circus’ will be a commercial success, but critical failure.

right

3) AnnaLynne McCord will be the ‘it’ girl by the end of 2009

wrong

4) After nudes of Blake Lively hit the internet, Blake will be fired from the Gossip Girls.

wrong, unfortunately

5) Amy Whinehouse will O.D.

wrong

Politics

1) Obama will be at 45% approval on 12/31/09

right

2) Congress will be at 30%

right

3) A republican will be elected governor of Virginia - how is that for bold!

right

4) Bloomberg will lose in NYC.

wrong

5) Palin will announce her intentions for 2012 by 12/31/08.

maybe

6) Romney will drop out of the 2012 race.

doubtfull

7) Rudy will announce he will run for the open US Senate in New York.

right

World:

Depending on the severity of the following, my previous predictions may not be applicable.

1) Israel and Iran/Hezbollah will be at war by March.

wrong

2) Russia will invade the Ukraine in July.

wrong

3) Major Terrorist attack in the United States.

wrong

4) There will be an attempt on the life of a major world leader.

TBD

5) Bin Laden’s fate unknown 12/31/09

TBD

6) Bibi will be elected PM of Israel

right

Ave atque vale: Margaret Thatcher, Ted Kennedy, Patrick Swayze, and Robert Novak

unfortunately, 3/4 right

[Perdogg]

>A famous rock musician will die unexpectedly.

right!!!!!!!