Monba Monba Monba....
can’t eliminate Big Brown, but statistics are against him. Grade 1 races are won by GRADE 1 HORSES, as James Quinn said 25 years ago, and that really only encompasses for the KD, FIVE HORSES, and they are: Both Pletcher horses: MONBA and Cowboy Cal ,Colonel John, Tale of Ekati, and Big Brown. Those are likely to be the top five and two of them are longshots. Add the two “Vision” horses as possible longshots to sweeten a superfecta, and you’ve got a potential big payoff. But I am going with BOTH Pletcher horses, especially MONBA to finish first, in a suprfecta that will pay handsomely. GRADE ONE RACES ARE WON By GRADE ONE HORSES> That limits the possibilities to about SEVEN (OUT OF TWENTY) at the most. COUNT ON IT.
Yeah, I read The Handicapper’s Condition Book a long time ago.
Not to try and talk anyone out of Monba, but his best Beyer is a 92...must improve a ton.
Weak field this year, Big Brown a standout despite all the questions.
Cool Coal Man, Visionaire, Z Fortune, Pyro will be in my supers.
For amusement only.