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How dangerous is the COVID-19 coronavirus?
peacebyjesuscom.blogspot.com ^ | 04/02/20 | daniel1212

Posted on 04/02/2020 6:46:30 PM PDT by daniel1212


How dangerous is the COVID-19 coronavirus?  

[slightly edited and restructured answer I originally wrote on Quora, to the question, but which summarily deleted by them without explanation]

That depends on many factors.

The Guardian (March 21) and some other news media stated that about 80% of people who get Covid-19 experience a mild case [WHO said the same] – about as serious as a regular cold – and recover without needing any special treatment.[1]

Also, the amount of the coronavirus that you first take in may play a factor in the severity of your symptoms (other aspects being equal).[2]

CDC (March 18): among patients with COVID-19 in the United States the estimated fatality rate among persons aged 19 years and younger was 0%; 1% among persons aged 20–54 years; 1% to 3% among persons aged 55-64 years, and ranging from 10% to 27% among persons aged 85 and up.[3] 80 percent of US coronavirus deaths are people 65 and older.[4]

Live Science reported (March 30) that,

a recent study of COVID-19 cases in the United States estimated a mortality rate of 10% to 27% for those ages 85 and over, 3% to 11% for those ages 65 to 84, 1% to 3% for those ages 55 to 64 and less than 1% for those ages 20 to 54. South Korea, which conducted more than 140,000 tests for COVID-19, officials found a overall fatality rate of 0.6%[5]

As of March 23 Italy and South Korea had reported no fatalities for the 10 to 19 years old age group. China reported that 0.2 percent of cases for these young people end in death[6]

Another study of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China, estimates that the death rate among people who were infected and developed symptoms was 1.4 percent. The study, reported yesterday in Nature Medicine, suggests that the overall CFR—including people who are infected but do not develop symptoms—will prove to be much lower in the United States than many people feared[7] .

The worldwide fatality rate (Feb. 29) for those 80 years old and up was 14.8%, almost twice that of those 70-79 years old (8.0%) and which itself is over twice as much as those aged 60-69 years old (3.6%), which rate is over twice as much as those aged 50-59 years old (1.3%) while for those aged 40-49 years old it is 0.4%, and 0.2% for those aged 10-39 years old. 

As regards health conditions, those must vulnerable are those with Cardiovascular disease, then Diabetes, and after that Diabetes, Hypertension, then Cancer.[8]

Relevant to that, more than 99% of Italy's coronavirus fatalities were people who suffered from previous medical conditions.[9]  Also, three out of four young NYC Coronavirus fatalities had other medical conditions (Mar. 27).[8] 

More on worldwide demographic and health condition fatality rates: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/

Therefore the COVID-19 coronavirus is especially dangerous to the aged and those with certain per-existing conditions, these being the most vulnerable.

However, since you use the word “dangerous” in regards to life then we should consider other dangers to the same. In regard to that, being in the womb means one is very vulnerable as it places one in danger death, especially since America murders over 2,000 of those souls a day[11].

And if we should consider a comparative perspective,  the US death toll from Covid-19 after 2 months (Feb-March) is 5,000[12] (4–1), which is less than the average yearly fatality rate from motor vehicle accidents (over 90 people deaths per day,[13] 39,404 people in 2018 - though many are omitted) which figures to be  a 12.04 death rate per 100,000 population[14]).

And out of 169,936 preventable deaths in 2017, an estimated 125,300 preventable injury-related deaths were in homes and communities, which constitutes about 75% of all preventable injury-related deaths[15].

In addition, obesity and being overweight are together the second leading cause of preventable death in the United States[16].

Meanwhile, though we are to seek to prevent deaths, what is most important is who and what we live for, and where we will spend eternity. May all repent and believe.

Hope this helps. Peace by Jesus 

Footnotes

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/21/coronavirus-symptoms-how-spread-should-i-see-doctor
[2] COVID-19: Does the amount of virus one gets infected with affect disease severity? Experts weigh in
[3] Severe Outcomes Among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19
[4] CDC: 80 percent of US coronavirus deaths are people 65 and older
[5] How deadly is the new coronavirus?
[6] The Covid-19 risks for different age groups, explained
[7] If COVID-19 Killed 1.4% of People With Symptoms in Wuhan, the Overall Fatality Rate Is Likely to Be Much Lower Than People Feared
[8] Coronavirus Age, Sex, Demographics (COVID-19)
[9] 99% of Those Who Died From Virus Had Other Illness, Italy Says
[10] Three Out of Four Young NYC Coronavirus Fatalities Had Medical Conditions
[11] Induced Abortion in the United States
[12] US COVID-19 Cases and Deaths
[13] Crash Deaths in the US: Where We Stand
[14] Introduction - Injury Facts
[15] Obesity: Facts, Figures, Guidelines


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Education; Food; Government; Religion; Science; Sports
KEYWORDS: covid19; covidcaptivity; falsegodspunishment; flubrodenial; hysteriavirus; quora
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Quora actually has some very informative and or interesting articles, and with some good writers, though its allowance of vulgarity and profanity only degrades it, but per usual it is much policed by political correctness. I am not sure if my brief exhortation to repentance and faith in Christ made them react so quickly in executing the post, and or my mention of abortion.
1 posted on 04/02/2020 6:46:30 PM PDT by daniel1212
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To: daniel1212

Stopped reading when Chinese data was used. I smell Panda.


2 posted on 04/02/2020 6:48:23 PM PDT by datura
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To: datura
Stopped reading when Chinese data was used. I smell Panda.

Only twice as I recall, but the hysteria-promoting media invokes it much, and it is not all false, so why not show them some that is contrary to their typical misrepresentation?

3 posted on 04/02/2020 6:52:28 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

We are closing down the country for around a 1% or less chance of dying?


4 posted on 04/02/2020 6:54:32 PM PDT by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: datura

I don’t even go past “blogspot” in a web address.

A free blog. Must be official.


5 posted on 04/02/2020 6:56:33 PM PDT by Pollard (shadowbanned)
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To: bray

Yeah, but living is hard.


6 posted on 04/02/2020 7:04:48 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: daniel1212

Sir, this is a nice run down of death riskz

Thank you.


7 posted on 04/02/2020 7:10:27 PM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: daniel1212

Do we know how much the death rate for Auto accidents and the other than CV virii have dropped as a result of our current efforts to slow the spread of CV?


8 posted on 04/02/2020 7:15:25 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: daniel1212

COVID-19 isjust a cold that turns everyone into a frightened pussy.


9 posted on 04/02/2020 7:24:44 PM PDT by wildcard_redneck (If the Trump Administration doesn't prosecute the coup plotters he loses the election in 2020)
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To: wildcard_redneck

LOL. Wish there was a like button.


10 posted on 04/02/2020 7:27:30 PM PDT by Yogafist
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To: bray

We are closing down the country for around a 1% or less chance of dying?

Yea isn’t that something? I’ve never heard or seen this before..


11 posted on 04/02/2020 7:33:02 PM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: tallyhoe

More talk on FNC tonight about hospitals not at the model predicted capacity levels. Deaths also trailing.


12 posted on 04/02/2020 7:37:15 PM PDT by John W (Trump/Pence 2020)
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To: wildcard_redneck

My poor mom, who has virtually jailed herself, just told me that some lady sat on a church pew inhabited by an infected woman 3 days before and “caught it”.

I find this hard to believe, unless she was licking the seat.

No idea who told her this wild tale.

We communicate either on the phone or with me standing outside on the sidewalk, in the infernal cold, when I drop off her supplies.


13 posted on 04/02/2020 7:44:25 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: tallyhoe

It’s an election year, silly.

TDS [unlike the Red Death] holds sway over all.


14 posted on 04/02/2020 7:47:12 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: Vermont Lt

Josey Wales, is that you?


15 posted on 04/02/2020 7:47:35 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: bray
We are closing down the country for around a 1% or less chance of dying?

Or less when the estimated, vs. tested, cases are includes. Also,

As of March 16, the CDC reports that 12 percent of known Covid-19 cases in the US have resulted in hospitalizations, and 20 percent of those hospitalizations were among those ages 20 to 44. - [16 ]

16 posted on 04/02/2020 7:48:44 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: John W

The “projected” Maryland statistics really need to step up their game, as well.

Supposed to be dozens dropping every day, right now...and they’re not.


17 posted on 04/02/2020 7:49:10 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: Pollard
I don’t even go past “blogspot” in a web address. A free blog. Must be offici

Seriously that blith dismissal is worse than whatever you think this address means, for regardless of the address, it is the quality and degree of substantiation that matters, and which (unlike blog pimps) is all includes here by me. I could have posted 15 articles for each point from the sources carefully listed, and it is with them that you must take issue with. Which you can.

18 posted on 04/02/2020 7:52:50 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: Paladin2
Do we know how much the death rate for Auto accidents and the other than CV virii have dropped as a result of our current efforts to slow the spread of CV?

No figure but that it has dropped I am sure, and which, along with the draconian response that did it, Climate Change alarmists will use to advocate for a permanent draconian response which includes using vehicles only for essential travel.

19 posted on 04/02/2020 7:56:34 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

Not dangerous at all for snake handlers.


20 posted on 04/02/2020 7:56:35 PM PDT by familyop ("Welcome to Costco. I love you." - -Costco greeter in the movie, "Idiocracy")
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