Posted on 05/17/2019 1:07:06 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Pennsylvania's unemployment level has plummeted to its lowest point in 43 years. Here's what that could mean for 2020.
Pennsylvania's unemployment rate is at a near record low, dropping to just 3.8 percent, the lowest its been since 1976, according to statistics published by the state on Friday. That hovers just over the national rate of 3.6 percent.
That number is down a half a percentage point from April 2018, when the unemployment rate sat at 4.3 percent.
The total number of Pennsylvanians who are employed — 6,222,000 — is an all-time record, the state says.
With Pennsylvania once again a focal point of a Presidential election, it remains to be seen how these numbers might influence the race. While strong employment should reflect well on President Trump, a Quinnipiac University poll released Thursday shows him trailing Democratic front runner Joe Biden in the state a significant margin, 53 percent to 42 percent.
Specifically, women in Pennsylvania are backing Biden disproportionately over Trump, 60 to 36 percent. Trump, however, leads with men in the state, 49 percent to 45 percent, the poll showed.
Analysts noted that Biden's advantage existed despite the economic numbers.
"More than half of Pennsylvania voters say they are better off financially than they were in 2016," Mary Snow, a pollster with Quinnipiac University, said in a statement. "But the economy isn't giving President Donald Trump an edge in an early read of the very key Keystone State."
Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes were crucial in Trump's 2016 victory, and the popular refrain often has it that he managed to win over a working class that felt alienated by Hillary Clinton and the left. Studies analyzing the 2016 election, however, cast further doubt on the relationship between economic harship and Trump's victory. A more powerful impetus for white voters, according to University of Pennsylvania professor Diana C. Mutz, was a sense that their status was threatened by racial diversity and globalism.
The gains noted in Pennsylvania over the past year were general for nearly all types of workers, with gains in nine of the state's 11 biggest employment sectors. The largest employment gains over the past year came from education, business services, and health services, according to the state's Department of Labor.
While the balance appears to have shifted to the left at this early stage, early is the key word: polls were similiarly low for Trump at this point in the 2016 lead-up, and they turned out not to be reflective of the electorate.
Both Biden and Trump have made Pennsylvania a 2020 linchpin. Biden, a Scranton native who served for decades in the Senate in nearby Delaware, has made Philadelphia his campaign headquarters. He's holding a rally in the city on Saturday.
Trump, meanwhile, will rally in Lycoming County in Montoursville next Monday.
PA is not a Red State or Blue State.
It is a Trump State
Yes but this poll suggests that they want Biden to manage their decline as Obama did.
It is hard to argue against a high and rising economic prospect.
But there are those who just cannot STAND prosperity.
And what kind of charm does Joe Biden have that should attract women more than Donald Trump? How is it that sniffing of hair and hugs from behind benefits these females?
I had an uncle on my father’s side that my mother called “the most charming man she ever met”. She did not mean it in a nice way, more like gazing into the eyes of a snake. She despised him and would not stay in the same room where he was more than a few minutes a a time.
PA license plates are 2d only to OH in new apartment buildings in my Atlanta area. Is it possible that the PA unemployment rate is so low because so many PA residents who want to work emigrated to Atlanta?
BTW They are mostly tribal Democrats but not ideological Democrats. The Dems lose voters in PA (and OH) and gain them in GA.... as long as GA Dems go extremist and not common sense.
When they learn how to poll the Amish, we will actually learn where Trump stands in regards to Carrying PA. There are 70 thousand adult Amish is Lancaster County alone. I believe those hand counted ballots were the final ones counted which pulled Trump ahead of the bogus Philly vote.
Democrat Poverty Pimps hit Hardest!
He believes by focusing on PA he can win them over and bring them back into the Democrats' fold.
I don't know what the average man in the street of PA has to say about Trump.
If the economy is booming in 2020 he could win PA again.
But don't put it past people with connections to wall street, banks, and businesses to work to undermine the economy just to get rid of Trump.
SpyGate could evolve into EconomyGate.
What do early polls and election results have in common?
Not much.
Republican 27%
Democrat 34
Independent 30
Other/DK/NA 9
The poll also has its 'design effect' which goes unexplained. But to even hint that 53% will not vote for Trump is outrageous... unless half those polled live in California.
“Pennsylvania’s unemployment rate is at a near record low, dropping to just 3.8 percent, the lowest its been since 1976, according to statistics published by the state on Friday. That hovers just over the national rate of 3.6 percent.”
And all it took was President Trump? MAGA! 2020 Landslide, Baby!
https://www.bls.gov/web/laus/laumstrk.htm
Wisconsin is at 2.8% ! For now. We got a Dem Governor in January, but our House & Assembly are still in Republican hands. I’m hoping he can’t do too much damage, though he’ll TRY!
Actually Trump don’t need Pennsylvania and its 20 votes. It does show that those folks don’t care how well they are doing.
I will be campaigning for President Trump in Pennsylvania.
JoMa
“...women in Pennsylvania are backing Biden disproportionately over Trump, 60 to 36 percent....”
Airhead morons in Philly, Pittsburgh and Harrisburg.
Fixed
Much better; thanks.
All the blue speckles on the otherwise MAGA-red map.
And ... Allentown, Johnstown, Hazeltown, Erie ... lots of quasiCatholic Democrats in PA who resonant with Joe’s cafeteria-style Catholicism ... not to mention the progressives floating into Lancaster like locusts.
I was going by county colors on the 2016 electoral map.
Fortunately enough conservatives in the counties surrounding most 3rd class cities to keep ‘em red.
Harrisburg/Dauphin has been the outlier.
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