Posted on 04/02/2019 5:44:31 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
Reschenthaler won PA-37 by 55-44 in 2015. He did better than President Trump did in 2016. If Reschenthaler would have ran again tonight, he would have won by a similar margin.
This is completely on par with Smith’s win in 2012, and this seat can be flipped back with a better candidate.
75%+ reporting and down 7. He’ll underperform last time
Western PA strikes again!
He lost by 5.4% last time.
Key word: “bad candidate”.
Most of the R’s have been awful.
That’s an incumbent holding their district that is not representative of unseating an incumbent or winning an open seat.
GOP has no clue how to message here. They keep marketing and messaging here like it’s souther Alabama... and it doesn’t work. Stupid.
Yes Raja is slimey. But no ones winning with that messaging the GOP keeps using here
Thanks
Almost 90% reporting and down 7.5. Like I said will underperform last time
Not at all liking how PA has been trending, and continues to trend, going into 2020. Trump barely won PA in 2016 and it comes across as a comfort blanket when people respond to this kind of result with “had Trump been on the ballot we would have won this seat!”
Same deal in Michigan and Wisconsin. Both were trending right but have reverted. 2016 may have been the high water mark of their rightward creep. Trump’s popularity has been pretty stable but his victory resulted from a few thousand votes spread across three states that don’t usually swing our way. The breathtaking overdrive fraud that the dems perpetrated in plain sight in the midterms doesn’t fill me with confidence that we’ll pull razor-thin wins in multiple liberal states a second time.
Sounds as though the state GOP should think a bit about what James Carvile observed - that Pennsylvania was made up of Philadelphia and Pittsburgh with Alabama in between......
One more thing. Being REAL, Raja is not the type of candidate to win in PA. We need more candidates like Dan Crenshaw.
Allegheny is done. 53.66% - 46.22%. It’s a 4200 vote margin. Guess what the Margin was in Allegheny in 2012 when Raja lost this last time? 53.96% Smith - 46.04% Raja. So Raja actually overperformed his Allegheny results from the last time he ran.
There is still nothing from Washington. Reschenthaler won Washington 70-30 in 2015. Raja won Washington 60%-40% in 2012.
There almost certainly aren’t enough votes to win, but it will end up very close to what he lost this race last time.
That’s what I told you all the way back at the start of this thread. This is a baseline result.
Look at what’s happening in Wisconsin tonight. The conservative was written off by the state GOP and the chamber of commerce. The media attacked him for his faith.
He’s currently WINNING by 4K votes with 95% in.
Final:
Lovino - 32659 52%
Raja - 30131 48%
EXACTLY the same result as last time. Just like I told you.
Until they find more votes for the rat..WHICH WILL HAPPEN! Sorry to be so pessimistic but with the thousands upon thousand invading my city while our government sits there twiddling their thumbs...THESE WILL BE THE RATS FUTURE BASE now that more and more states are doing away with the electoral college and moving to the popular vote. I just feel like..WHAT THE HECK HAPPENED TO OUR COUNTRY?!! It’s mighty depressing!!
So if it doesn’t happen, will you post on this thread that you were wrong?
Or are you just “concerned.”
VERY concerned..the midterms taught us well!!
A statewide election in a fairly blue state as PA is not indicative of a state’s voting on a Pres election with trump at top of ticket vs any of the current leftist Dem candidates. Yes, PA, WI and MI were close in 2016 and if anyone thought there was a rightward turn that would transcend local and state races in off year elections for those states is mistaken. Those states will ontinue to be close in Presidential elections because they are blue states, like it or not....the candidate will make the difference. If the Dems continue the leftward march nationally, and a solid, pro-business, Pro-American candidate runs on the R ticket, the R will prevail, albeit close. It’s the way it is. We are a nation of 330 million people who are liking free stuff more and more, but we’re not socialist....yet....
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