Posted on 08/10/2018 10:55:53 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
It isn’t supposed to happen this way in Democrat Medialand.
In deep blue Oregon and super nova blue Rhode Island Democrats are thought to be just so loved by the people that the governor’s race in both states should be donkey party walkovers.
But that’s just not happening.
The two Democrat damsels in distress, Governor Kate Brown of Oregon and Governor Gina Raimondo of Rhode Island aren’t supposed to be home campaigning to save their jobs, they are supposed to be out organizing fund raisers to bring Venezuelan socialism to all of America not just their states; but they aren’t.
Delusional babble from media “experts” aside, Brown and Raimondo are not fundraising for others but fighting for their pollical lives because support for Democrats is eroding by the week.
A look at the latest generic surveys asking respondents to declare which party they would rather see control the House of Representatives shows that where the average among four polls showed a 6-point lead for Democrats a few weeks ago, it now shows a 2.25% lead for Democrats with one actually saying it’s a tie.
To put this in perspective, the Brennan Center for Justice, a liberal think tank, reported last spring (when Democrats were leading in generic polls by double digits) that in order to win the House back Democrats would need to out vote Republicans nationally by 11 points.
In Oregon the drop of support for Brown has been sharp and scary for the evil donkeys. In January a softball poll by NPR had Brown up an expected 17 points.
By July the race fell to a 45/45 tie;and last week Brown fell behind to Knute Buehler the Republican 43/42.
Clearly the fact that Antifa has made Portland Oregon its capital city is moving the dial in Buehler’s direction.
That won’t change because as a Democrat Brown is rooting for them. It will kill her chances for reelection.
In Rhode Island the situation is strange but very hopeful for Republican Allan Fung who trails by 39/37 to Raimondo. In this race there will be no runoff.
This is a rematch election. In 2014 Raimondo won 40.7 / 36.2 so neither candidate has made up much ground since then. This time there is a 14% undecided segment and another 10% voting third party.
There is also a third-party candidate who was a Republican, but left to start his own party. That candidate is pulling 6-points of support.
If support for Democrats continues to erode nationally it need only barely touch Rhode Island to swing this to Fung.
If that doesn’t happen but the third-party Republican’s supporters move to Fung as a way to taste victory it is all over for Raimondo who seems to have maxed out her support and actually lost some support over the past four years.
These races make you wonder if Brown and Raimondo believe the Democrats will retake the House.
Thanks jmaroneps37.
Knute Buehler for Governor
https://knutebuehler.com/
Allan Fung for Governor
https://www.allanfung.com/
Screaming “Blue-Wave” is a tactic intended to create defeatism among they inclined to vote Republican.
Let’s let them think they are so clever while we vote for our future.
“..the Brennan Center for Justice, a liberal think tank..”
Stink tank.
There’s an easy solution for all the Democrats: MORE FREE STUFF!
MORE SOCIALISM!
MORE LIBERALISM!.................
Depends on how many “lost and unaccounted for” ballots they can find. This is their MO and they have gotten good at it recently. I do not trust them.
And, there was no way HRC wasn't going to be POTUS. This kind of thinking is why she lost. She didn't think she needed to really campaign. She was a shoo-in.
And, that kind of thinking is why these guys are going to lose. I think people want you to ask them for their vote, not just expect them to vote for you because -- why, again?
Trump went to everywhere, asking for support from people who don't normally support any Republican. His opponent sat on her ass in her condo in Manhattan. This is a big part of why he is POTUS and she isn't. Now, if only she would go away.
Are these Republicans like the current GOP Govs of VT & Mass who are favored to be reelected but are moderate/liberals?
it is the best of times and the worst of times and sometimes the best of the worst of times.
The Repub Gov is your average pro abortion, pro homosexual marriage Repub who will be lucky to get 40% of the vote.
Democrats are afraid they’re going to prison for voter fraud and they’re starting to ‘back off’... Still hope we can catch a bunch of ‘em...
Democrats are afraid they’re going to prison for voter fraud and they’re starting to ‘back off’... Still hope we can catch a bunch of ‘em...
Listen, I’m giving Cox about a 25% chance of beating Gavin Newsom here is California. Newsom is coming off an 8 year no show job as Lieutenant Governor, so no accomplsihments. He has to run on the gas tax and sanctuary state, both of which are unpopular with the voters
Why do you think that turnout is low?
People in CA don’t know that the lt. governorship is undemanding. They just see promoting one who has “done well” to the governorship, and they shall do so as surely as Bishop Romney prevails in UT.
Lack of awareness among the electorate; lack of discernment; lack of understanding that elections have consequences
I don’t disagree. With my handicapping a 25% chance for Cox I’m not exactly giddy over his chances. Hard campaigning and a boatload of money would be necessary to utilize the potentials boosts at hand. And to overcome the fact that quite goodly number of my fellow Californians are dolts
If it’s close then democrat fraud will prevail.
Those people in those states are too brain dead to vote anything other then Democrat.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.