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Where is this race, really? Trump is behind, but not by much. Here's why . . .
Political Ref ^ | 10/18/16

Posted on 10/18/2016 8:19:58 AM PDT by TheRef

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To: Sam Gamgee

LOL What is the D+ sample?


21 posted on 10/18/2016 8:56:34 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: TheRef

Elections ALWAYS ‘tighten up’ the last few weeks of the campaign. Given the difference between the two candidates is well withing the margin of error AND how polling have oversampled dems, I would say the advantage goes to the challenger, Trump.


22 posted on 10/18/2016 8:57:18 AM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: TheRef

Drill down on EVERY ONE of the polls above and you will find they ALL start with the assumption that the race will be D+5 AT LEAST.


23 posted on 10/18/2016 8:58:44 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: rktman; flaglady47; Maine Mariner; HarleyLady27; Jane Long; ExTexasRedhead; WENDLE; entropy12; ...
"Trump is behind, but not by much...here's why..."

Here's my take on it, in fewer words.

The polls have been skewed from the gitgo....however as D-Day approaches, in order to maintain their reputations plus future income and their very existence, the polling companies cannot afford to have had wildly incorrect/slanted results the day before election.

Therefore, the ratings between the two candidates will narrow as election day looms.

Rush touched on this exact same thing last week.

It's my feeling that Mr. Trump has been (with some obvious exceptions) leading the race by a comfortable margin across the fruited plain.

That's my take on the presidential polling situation....and I approve my own message.

Leni

24 posted on 10/18/2016 8:59:05 AM PDT by MinuteGal (GO, TRUMP !!!..........GO, PENCE !!!)
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To: wastoute

D+5?

You’re being too generous!

More like D+8 or D+9!!


25 posted on 10/18/2016 9:01:08 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: TheRef

Well that was one of the best noob posts I’ve seen.


26 posted on 10/18/2016 9:07:15 AM PDT by toast
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To: MinuteGal

I also agree with your decision and I second it...


27 posted on 10/18/2016 9:07:57 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence 100%)
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To: MinuteGal

I approve of your message, too.


28 posted on 10/18/2016 9:12:27 AM PDT by Liz (SAFE PLACE? A liberal's mind. Nothing's there. Nothing penetrates it.)
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To: bigbob

It is a pure waste of time to read stories about polls so why post them here on FR? The polls that actually publish who was in the sample and the margin of error prove their worthlessness due to the heavy imbalance of Dems+Independents polled compared with Repubs, plus the margin of error is usually so big that the results are pretty much flat. Any Poll that does not provide the sample information and margin of error should be completely ignored, like Monmouth.

Trump is bringing people out who will vote for the first time in a long time. The real problem is the Electoral College. The Big Commie-Hellhole Cities like NYC, Chicago, Detroit, Los Angeles, etc. overwhelm the vote in the most populous states. This is where the voter and election fraud will go to levels never before seen in the most banana of republics. This is War, my fellow Americans.


29 posted on 10/18/2016 9:25:54 AM PDT by Sioux-san
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To: bigbob

It is a pure waste of time to read stories about polls so why post them here on FR? The polls that actually publish who was in the sample and the margin of error prove their worthlessness due to the heavy imbalance of Dems+Independents polled compared with Repubs, plus the margin of error is usually so big that the results are pretty much flat. Any Poll that does not provide the sample information and margin of error should be completely ignored, like Monmouth.

Trump is bringing people out who will vote for the first time in a long time. The real problem is the Electoral College. The Big Commie-Hellhole Cities like NYC, Chicago, Detroit, Los Angeles, etc. overwhelm the vote in the most populous states. This is where the voter and election fraud will go to levels never before seen in the most banana of republics. This is War, my fellow Americans.


30 posted on 10/18/2016 9:26:15 AM PDT by Sioux-san
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To: TheRef
baloney! No way Hillary is up in every Battleground state!

It is interesting that Trump is never ahead in any of these polls.

31 posted on 10/18/2016 9:34:55 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Roman_War_Criminal

http://www.thecoachsteam.com/2016/10/gallup-survey-shows-same-11-point.html


32 posted on 10/18/2016 9:35:23 AM PDT by revivaljoe
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To: MinuteGal; HarleyLady27; flat; unkus; ZULU; sheik yerbouty; NFHale; Lumper20; Nachum; ...

The polls have been bogus propaganda since Day One. The MSM, GOPe, and RATs are employing Goebbels, Tokyo Rose, Baghdad Bob tactics on We The People since the beginning. That proves just how STUPID the vermin smugly and arrogantly think We The People are. They consider We The People to be mindless sheeple to be used and abused at their will. Make you angry yet?


33 posted on 10/18/2016 9:49:37 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: ExTexasRedhead

Was angry a long time ago. The same media which is in the bag for Clinton is manipulating the polls so no one will question bogus ballots in a close race.


34 posted on 10/18/2016 10:24:47 AM PDT by ZULU (Where the HELL ARE PAUL RYAN AND MITCH MCCONNELL ?????)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

Was angry a long time ago. The same media which is in the bag for Clinton is manipulating the polls so no one will question bogus ballots in a close race.


35 posted on 10/18/2016 10:24:50 AM PDT by ZULU (Where the HELL ARE PAUL RYAN AND MITCH MCCONNELL ?????)
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To: KavMan

Well, I said at least. I was trying to be “conservative”.


36 posted on 10/18/2016 10:55:19 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

Very!


37 posted on 10/18/2016 12:13:58 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: MinuteGal
Leni, I agree with you.

besides putting all kinds of "special sauce" on their polls, the pollsters are using OUTDATED figures; figures from the last two presidential races, which have less than NOTHING at all to do with turnout for Hillary. Her "plumbing" isn't as "exciting" as wee Barry's skin color and phony background story.

38 posted on 10/18/2016 1:23:44 PM PDT by nopardons
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